FC Sion vs FC Thun Predictions
Super League · Switzerland
FC Sion
AI Predicted Score
2 - 0
FC Thun
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Draw
@ 4.1(+6% edge)
🎮 Prediction Playground
Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.
Expected goals · model says 1.45
Expected goals · model says 0.65
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
BTTS: Yes
37%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 2-0 · 0-0
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
FC Sion vs FC Thun Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: FC Sion vs FC Thun?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: FC Sion vs FC Thun(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
BTTS: No@ 1.28
Sion have kept 5 clean sheets in their last 5, Thun have failed to score in 3 of their last 5, and the model gives a strong 81% probability for 'no'.
Read more ↓
Match Result: Draw@ 4.1
The model sees a higher draw probability (30%) than the odds imply (24%), creating a value edge, especially with Sion's tendency for draws at home.
Read more ↓
More Super League Predictions
The Case For This FC Sion vs FC Thun Prediction
FC Sion come into this match in red-hot form, riding a five-game winning streak with a perfect defensive record in that span. FC Thun, despite leading the league, have hit a rough patch with three consecutive losses and a notable drop in attacking output. Sion's home solidity and Thun's recent struggles suggest the hosts are well positioned to control the match, likely keeping another clean sheet.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Sion: 5 straight wins, 5 clean sheets, 2.8 goals scored per game last 5
- →Thun: 3 straight losses, 0.8 goals scored per game last 5, 0 clean sheets
Match Context
- →Sion home record strong (9W, 6D, 3L); Thun away record good but declining (12W, 6L, 0D)
- →Sion have not failed to score in last 5; Thun failed to score in 3 of last 5
- →Head-to-head historically favors Thun, but Sion won the most recent meeting 2-0
🚩 FC Sion vs FC Thun Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.6 corners for FC Sion and 4.2 for FC Thun, for an expected total of 9.8. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (51%). Over 8.5: 64% · Over 10.5: 39%.
How FC Sion and FC Thun Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
FC Sion vs FC Thun Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
FC Sionlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
FC Thunlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Sion are in exceptional form, winning their last five matches without conceding a single goal and averaging nearly three goals scored per game. In contrast, Thun have lost three in a row, scoring just once across those defeats, and look to be struggling for both confidence and attacking cohesion.
FC Sion vs FC Thun — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +5/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.8 goals/game (last 5)
- +Defensively solid — 0.0 conceded/game
- +5 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 75% of games this season
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: FC Sion vs FC Thun
Historically, Thun have had the upper hand in this fixture, winning eight of the last ten meetings. However, Sion's recent 2-0 home win signals a potential shift in the matchup dynamic, especially given Thun's current downturn.
FC Sion vs FC Thun Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
1
FC Sion wins
1
Draws
8
FC Thun wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: FC Sion vs FC Thun
The strongest value edges are on 'BTTS: No' and the draw, with the model rating both as more likely than the odds suggest. Sion's defensive form and Thun's attacking slump make the 'no' on BTTS particularly attractive, while the draw is a live possibility given Sion's home draw rate and the match's likely low-scoring nature.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: FC Sion vs FC Thun
- ⚠️Thun's overall season away record is strong, so a bounce-back is possible.
- ⚠️H2H history is heavily in Thun's favor except for the most recent match.
- ⚠️If Sion's defensive run regresses, BTTS could land despite model's lean.
- ⚠️Market odds for Sion win are short, limiting value.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for FC Sion vs FC Thun: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 10 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.