Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Stuttgart II Predictions
3. Liga · Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Full Time
1 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 2
Stuttgart II
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Stuttgart II Win
Match Result
6.5/10Fortuna Düsseldorf Edge Stuttgart II with Second-Half Strike
Fortuna Düsseldorf began their 3. Liga campaign with a hard-fought 1-0 victory over Stuttgart II at the Merkur Spiel-Arena. After a cagey first half, the breakthrough arrived in the 59th minute, providing the home side with a crucial lead in a match characterized by physical battles and disciplined defending from both teams. Both sides showed plenty of commitment, as evidenced by a flurry of yellow cards—three for Düsseldorf and four for Stuttgart II—but clear-cut chances were at a premium. Stuttgart II pushed for an equalizer in the closing stages, but Fortuna's defense held firm to secure all three points.
💀 AI Prediction Report
DOWN BADPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
1 - 0
💰 Bet Results0/2 hit
Key Moments
59' — Goal
Fortuna Düsseldorf break the deadlock with the only goal of the match.
Various' — Yellow Cards
Three Düsseldorf players and four Stuttgart II players are booked in a physical contest.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Fortuna Düsseldorf produced a professional display, showing patience and composure to break down a resilient Stuttgart II side. Their second-half goal proved decisive, and although they picked up three yellow cards, their defensive organization ensured the visitors rarely threatened their lead. The hosts managed the game well after going ahead, maintaining discipline and composure under pressure as Stuttgart II pressed for a late equalizer.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Stuttgart II
Stuttgart II matched their hosts for long spells and showed plenty of fight, picking up four yellow cards in their efforts to disrupt Düsseldorf's rhythm. However, they lacked the cutting edge in the final third to turn their possession and pressure into goals. After conceding just before the hour mark, Stuttgart II increased their attacking intent but were unable to find a way past a resolute Fortuna defense.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With both lineups unavailable, the tactical battle unfolded as a contest of discipline and organization. Fortuna Düsseldorf maintained a compact shape, focusing on defensive solidity and waiting for opportunities to strike, which paid off with a second-half goal. Stuttgart II pressed aggressively, looking to disrupt Düsseldorf's buildup, but were forced into fouling, as reflected by their four yellow cards. After conceding, Stuttgart II likely pushed more men forward, but Fortuna responded by tightening their defensive lines and seeing out the result. The match was largely played in midfield, with neither side able to dominate for extended periods.
Turning Point
The 59th-minute goal for Fortuna Düsseldorf, which shifted the momentum and forced Stuttgart II to chase the game.
Man of the Match
Unknown Goalscorer
Provided the decisive moment with the only goal of the match and led the line effectively.
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Stuttgart II: Match Preview
Fortuna Düsseldorf enter the third matchday rooted to the bottom of the table, having lost both opening fixtures (1-2 away to Waldhof Mannheim, 0-2 at home to Hoffenheim II) and scoring just once. Stuttgart II, meanwhile, have split their league start: a 3-2 away win at Havelse and a 1-3 home defeat to Viktoria Köln, leaving them mid-table. Düsseldorf's form string (LLWLW) reflects a side still searching for rhythm, while Stuttgart II (LWLWW) have at least demonstrated attacking intent.
Statistically, the game profiles as high-variance. Stuttgart II are averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over their last five, with 100% of their league matches clearing 2.5 goals. Düsseldorf, by contrast, have managed just 0.5 goals per game in the league and have yet to keep a clean sheet. Both sides have defensive issues: Düsseldorf's last five average 1.4 goals conceded, Stuttgart II's league rate is 2.5. The first half could be decisive, as Stuttgart II have already scored four first-half goals across their last five matches.
The model expects Stuttgart II's superior attacking rate to be the difference, projecting a 2-1 away win. With both teams conceding at least two per game in league play and Stuttgart II's recent away success, the likeliest scenario is an open contest with goals at both ends, but the visitors' edge in finishing quality should prove decisive.
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Expected goals · model says 1.30
Expected goals · model says 1.65
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS: Yes
59%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Stuttgart II Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Stuttgart II that most previews miss.
- 1Stuttgart II's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 100% of league games so far (2/2).
- 2Düsseldorf have failed to score in two of their last five matches and have not scored at home in the league.
- 3Stuttgart II have scored four first-half goals in their last five matches, double Düsseldorf's total.
Who do you think wins: Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Stuttgart II?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Stuttgart II(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Stuttgart II Win
Stuttgart II have scored four goals in two league matches and average 2.2 goals per game over their last five, while Fortuna Düsseldorf have managed just one goal in two league outings and have lost both. The away side's attacking rate and recent away win (3-2 at Havelse) tip the balance.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have seen high-scoring matches early: Düsseldorf's matches average 2.5 goals, Stuttgart II's 3.5, and 100% of Stuttgart II's league games have gone over 2.5. The combined defensive records (4 and 5 conceded) further support an above-average goal environment.
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More 3. Liga Predictions
The Case For This Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Stuttgart II Prediction
This fixture matches a struggling Fortuna Düsseldorf side, winless and goalless at home in the league, against a Stuttgart II team that has shown more attacking punch and already claimed an away victory. Düsseldorf's attack has sputtered, while Stuttgart II's recent scoring rate (2.2 per game last five) stands out. Expect Stuttgart II to edge a match with above-average goal potential, as both sides' defensive frailties outweigh any home advantage.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Stuttgart II average 2.2 goals scored per game over their last five matches.
Defence
- →Both teams concede at least 2 goals per league match on average so far.
Match Context
- →Düsseldorf have failed to score in two of their last five and have yet to win in the league.
How Fortuna Düsseldorf and Stuttgart II Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Stuttgart II Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Fortuna Düsseldorflast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Stuttgart IIlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Düsseldorf arrive on a two-game losing streak in the league, having scored just once and conceded four. Their form string (LLWLW) highlights inconsistency and a lack of attacking output. Stuttgart II, meanwhile, have won three of their last five in all competitions and netted seven times in their last three, signalling a sharper attacking edge.
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Stuttgart II — Last 3 Matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of games this season
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
What History Says: Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Stuttgart II
There is no head-to-head data available for these teams at this level, so no historical patterns or dominant trends can be cited for this fixture.
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Stuttgart II Head-to-Head History
Last 1 meeting between these sides
1
Fortuna Düsseldorf wins
0
Draws
0
Stuttgart II wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Stuttgart II
With bookmaker odds unavailable, value cannot be directly quantified. However, the model's strongest conviction is on Stuttgart II's win probability and the over 2.5 goals market, both supported by underlying scoring and concession rates. If market odds on these outcomes are above 2.3 and 1.8 respectively, they would merit close attention.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Stuttgart II
- ⚠️Small league sample (2 matches) limits confidence in season-long rates.
- ⚠️No head-to-head data available for these sides at this level.
- ⚠️Lack of available bookmaker odds prevents value quantification.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Fortuna Düsseldorf 1–2 Stuttgart IIThe model projects a 2-1 win for Stuttgart II, driven by their 2.2 goals per game average across the last five and Düsseldorf's ongoing struggles in front of goal. The biggest risk to this outcome is the small league sample and the potential for Düsseldorf to stabilise defensively at home.
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Stuttgart II: Common Questions
Who will win Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Stuttgart II?
Stuttgart II are rated 44% likely to win, compared to 27% for Fortuna Düsseldorf and 29% for the draw. This is based on Stuttgart II's superior scoring rate (2.2 per game over the last five) and Düsseldorf's winless league start.
Will there be over or under 2.5 goals in Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Stuttgart II?
The probability of over 2.5 goals is 58%, with both teams averaging at least two goals conceded per league match and Stuttgart II's matches clearing this line in all league outings so far.
Are both teams likely to score in Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Stuttgart II?
Both teams to score is rated at 54%. Stuttgart II have scored in both league games, while Düsseldorf have failed to score in two of their last five, so the edge is only marginal.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Stuttgart II: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 21 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.