Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt Predictions
Eliteserien · Norway
Fredrikstad
Full Time
1 - 2
AI predicted 1 - 2
Bodo/Glimt
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Bodo/Glimt Win
Match Result
7.5/10Bodo/Glimt Edge Fredrikstad in Tight Eliteserien Contest
Bodo/Glimt claimed a hard-fought 2-1 victory over Fredrikstad at Fredrikstad Stadion, overcoming a spirited second-half comeback from the hosts. The visitors took the lead in the 29th minute and, despite Fredrikstad's equalizer early in the second half, restored their advantage midway through the second period to secure all three points. Statistically, Bodo/Glimt were the more assertive side, controlling 58% possession and firing 17 shots to Fredrikstad's 9. However, Fredrikstad made the most of their opportunities, keeping the contest close with a determined display. Ultimately, Bodo/Glimt's clinical edge and midfield control proved decisive in a match that showcased both teams' strengths and resilience.
🔮 AI Prediction Report
PSYCHIC MODEPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
1 - 2
💰 Bet Results2/2 hit
Key Moments
29' — Goal
O. Brynhildsen opens the scoring for Bodo/Glimt, finishing a well-worked move.
56' — Goal
B. Thoresen levels for Fredrikstad, capitalizing on a rare attacking spell.
73' — Goal
A. Helmersen restores Bodo/Glimt's lead with a composed finish.
various' — Yellow Cards
Fredrikstad pick up three bookings as their intensity boils over; Bodo/Glimt receive one yellow.
Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad, lining up in a 3-4-3, delivered a courageous performance against one of the league's top sides. Though they saw less of the ball (42% possession) and were outshot, they made their moments count, especially with a well-taken equalizer early in the second half. Defensively, the back three held firm for long spells, but ultimately struggled to contain Bodo/Glimt's persistent attacks. The hosts showed character to fight back from a goal down, but their lack of attacking fluency and inability to sustain pressure after equalizing limited their chances of taking points. Three yellow cards also highlighted their combative approach, but discipline and composure in key moments were lacking.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Bodo/Glimt
Bodo/Glimt, set up in a classic 4-4-2, demonstrated their attacking intent from the outset, dominating possession and creating the bulk of the chances. Their midfield dictated the tempo, and the front line was a constant threat, as evidenced by 17 shots and 5 corners. After taking the lead in the first half, they responded well to Fredrikstad's equalizer, quickly regaining control and restoring their advantage in the 73rd minute. Defensively, Bodo/Glimt were largely untroubled, limiting Fredrikstad to just 4 shots on target. Their ability to manage the game after retaking the lead was impressive, and their discipline (only one yellow card) ensured they saw out the victory with minimal fuss.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Fredrikstad's 3-4-3 formation prioritized defensive solidity and quick transitions, but their wing-backs were pinned back for much of the match, limiting their attacking width. The midfield struggled to retain possession under Bodo/Glimt's pressing, often resorting to long balls toward the front three. After equalizing, Fredrikstad pushed higher but left gaps that Bodo/Glimt exploited. Bodo/Glimt's 4-4-2 provided balance and width, with the midfield quartet controlling the ball and supplying the forwards. Their full-backs overlapped effectively, and the team pressed high, forcing turnovers and creating sustained pressure. Subtle tactical tweaks after conceding—such as pushing the wingers wider—helped them regain momentum and eventually secure the winner.
Turning Point
A. Helmersen's 73rd-minute goal, which restored Bodo/Glimt's lead and deflated Fredrikstad's comeback hopes.
Man of the Match
O. Brynhildsen
Scored the opener, drove Bodo/Glimt's attacking play, and consistently troubled the Fredrikstad defense.
Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt: Match Preview
Fredrikstad come into this clash riding a wave of confidence, having won four straight matches in all competitions and conceding just once in that span. Their recent league run includes three consecutive 1-0 victories, a marked improvement from a stretch of heavy defeats earlier in the summer. Sitting eighth, they have stabilised their campaign and now face the ultimate test of their resurgence against the runaway league leaders.
Bodo/Glimt, meanwhile, have been relentless at the summit, stringing together four straight wins and scoring 16 goals in their last five across all competitions. Their away form is formidable (six wins, two draws, one loss), and they have averaged 3.2 goals per game in their last five. Statistically, their attack is the most potent in the division, and their tendency to strike early—nine first-half goals in five matches—contrasts with Fredrikstad’s more conservative, efficiency-driven approach. Set-piece and discipline data show little to separate the sides, but Bodo/Glimt’s shot volume and possession edge are stark.
Given these arcs, the model expects Bodo/Glimt to assert themselves early, leveraging both their firepower and psychological edge from a perfect H2H record in recent years. Fredrikstad’s defensive form should keep them competitive for spells, but the visitors’ ability to create and convert chances at a higher rate is likely to decide the contest. A 2-1 away win best reflects the current momentum and underlying numbers.
How Fredrikstad and Bodo/Glimt Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Fredrikstadlast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Bodo/Glimtlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Scoring consistently
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Fredrikstad have turned their season around with four consecutive wins, conceding just one goal in that stretch and keeping three clean sheets. However, Bodo/Glimt's form is even more imposing: unbeaten in five, with four wins and a draw, and a remarkable 16 goals scored. Both sides are riding high, but the visitors' momentum is built on more dominant performances and a higher calibre of opposition.
Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.8 goals/game (last 5)
Strengths
- +5/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 3.4 goals/game (last 5)
- +52.63% clean sheet rate this season
- +Over 2.5 goals in 73.68% of games this season
Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt that most previews miss.
- 1Fredrikstad have won four straight for the first time this season, but three of those were by a single goal and all came against bottom-half sides.
- 2Bodo/Glimt have scored nine first-half goals in their last five matches, compared to Fredrikstad’s six, signalling a likely early breakthrough.
- 3Six of the last seven H2H meetings have ended with a Bodo/Glimt win and under 3.5 total goals.
🎮 Prediction Playground
Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.
Expected goals · model says 1.00
Expected goals · model says 2.20
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
BTTS: Yes
56%
Likely Scores
0-2 · 1-2 · 0-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Who do you think wins: Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
The Case For This Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt Prediction
Fredrikstad have surged into September riding a wave of momentum, stringing together four consecutive wins in all competitions and conceding just one goal in their last four league matches. However, Bodo/Glimt are on their own relentless run, unbeaten in five and dispatching both domestic and European opposition with authority. The hosts' recent defensive solidity will be severely tested by the league leaders' multi-pronged attack, which has averaged over three goals per game across their last five outings. Statistically, this contest pits Fredrikstad's newly resilient back line against a Bodo/Glimt side that not only leads the league in scoring (2.53 goals per game) but has also been ruthless away from home, winning six of nine on their travels. Fredrikstad's shot and possession numbers remain modest even in victory, hinting at a side that has ridden efficiency and timely goals more than sustained dominance. Bodo/Glimt, by contrast, have fired off double-digit shots in four of their last five, and their first-half goal tally (nine in five matches) suggests they start quickly. The model expects Fredrikstad's momentum to keep this competitive, but Bodo/Glimt's attacking quality and psychological edge from six wins in the last seven H2H meetings should ultimately tell. Expect the visitors to seize the initiative early, with Fredrikstad likely needing to chase the game after the break. A 2-1 away win reflects both sides' current trajectories and the gap in underlying numbers.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Bodo/Glimt's last five matches: four wins, one draw, 16 goals scored, only five conceded.
- →Fredrikstad have kept three clean sheets in their last four league games, all won by a single goal margin.
Match Context
- →Head-to-head: Bodo/Glimt have won six of the last seven meetings, including a 1-0 home win just seven weeks ago.
Where the Model Sees Value: Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Bodo/Glimt Win
Bodo/Glimt arrive with four straight wins across all competitions, averaging 3.2 goals per game in their last five, and have a perfect record against Fredrikstad in the last seven meetings. Fredrikstad's recent form is strong, but their attack has not faced a defence of this calibre, and Bodo/Glimt's away record (6W, 2D, 1L) is league-leading.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams are trending over 2.5 goals in recent matches (Fredrikstad 3 of last 5, Bodo/Glimt 4 of last 5), and Bodo/Glimt's attack is in full flow with 16 goals in their last five competitive games.
Read more ↓
More Eliteserien Predictions
🚩 Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4 corners for Fredrikstad and 4.4 for Bodo/Glimt, for an expected total of 8.4. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (67%). Over 8.5: 46% · Over 10.5: 23%.
What History Says: Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt
Bodo/Glimt have thoroughly dominated this fixture, winning six of the last seven meetings and keeping Fredrikstad scoreless in four of those. The only draw came in 2024, but Fredrikstad have yet to register a win in this matchup in recent years. The most recent encounter ended 1-0 to Bodo/Glimt just seven weeks ago.
Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt Head-to-Head History
Last 8 meetings between these sides
0
Fredrikstad wins
1
Draws
7
Bodo/Glimt wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt
With no bookmaker odds available, the model cannot identify explicit value edges. However, the probabilities strongly favour Bodo/Glimt even after adjusting for Fredrikstad's form surge, suggesting that any odds implying less than a 60% away win chance could offer value. Over 2.5 goals also appears likely given both sides' recent scoring trends.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Fredrikstad's recent form spike could be overestimated if their run was against weaker opposition.
- ⚠️Bodo/Glimt's fixture congestion from European commitments could introduce rotation risk.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Fredrikstad 1–2 Bodo/GlimtThe model projects a 2-1 win for Bodo/Glimt, with the most compelling data point their sustained attacking output—3.2 goals per game in the last five—and a flawless recent record against Fredrikstad. The main threat to this view is Fredrikstad’s current defensive momentum, which could frustrate the visitors longer than expected, especially if Bodo/Glimt rotate after European action.
Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt: Common Questions
Who will win Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt?
Bodo/Glimt are strong favourites with a 64% probability of victory, reflecting both their league-leading form (four straight wins, 16 goals in five games) and a dominant head-to-head record (six wins in the last seven meetings). Fredrikstad's recent four-match winning streak gives them hope, but the model sees the visitors' quality prevailing.
Will both teams score in Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt?
The model rates both teams to score at 49%, almost a coin flip. Fredrikstad have scored in four of their last five, but Bodo/Glimt have kept two clean sheets in that span and have shut out Fredrikstad in four of the last seven meetings.
Can Fredrikstad's winning streak continue against Bodo/Glimt?
Fredrikstad are on a four-match winning run, but three of those wins were narrow and against weaker opposition. Against a Bodo/Glimt side averaging 3.2 goals per game recently and with a perfect recent H2H record, the probability of a home win is just 14%.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 28 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.