Gloucester City vs Mangotsfield United Predictions
FA Cup · England
Gloucester City
AI Predicted Score
1 - 1
Mangotsfield United
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Gloucester City vs Mangotsfield United: Match Preview
Gloucester City and Mangotsfield United approach this FA Cup tie with comparable recent records, each posting two wins from their last five matches. Gloucester's form string of WDLLW includes a pair of clean sheets, while Mangotsfield arrive off the back of three wins in their last four, highlighted by a run of three clean sheets and a stingy 0.4 goals conceded per game. With no league campaigns underway and no standings to reference, neither side carries a clear momentum or pressure advantage.
The statistical matchup points to a low-scoring contest. Gloucester average just 1.0 goals for and against per game across their last five, and Mangotsfield's matches have been even tighter, with only one of their last five seeing both teams score. Both sides have struggled to generate high shot volumes or possession dominance based on the available data, and neither has shown a tendency to score early — Gloucester have not scored in the first half in their last five, while Mangotsfield's only first-half goal came in a friendly.
Given these patterns, the model expects a tense, risk-averse opening and a match decided by narrow margins. The most probable outcome is a 1-1 draw, with under 2.5 goals favoured and a slight lean towards Gloucester at home, though the lack of strong attacking output on either side makes a goalless or single-goal game plausible.
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Expected goals · model says 1.10
Expected goals · model says 1.00
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
BTTS: Yes
42%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 1-1 · 0-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Gloucester City vs Mangotsfield United Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Gloucester City vs Mangotsfield United that most previews miss.
- 1Gloucester City have not scored a first-half goal in any of their last five matches.
- 2Mangotsfield United have kept three clean sheets in their last five, conceding just two goals in total.
- 3Only three of the last ten combined matches for these sides have produced over 2.5 goals.
Who do you think wins: Gloucester City vs Mangotsfield United?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Gloucester City vs Mangotsfield United(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams have averaged just 1.1 goals scored per game and 0.7 conceded across their last five, with only 3 of their combined last 10 matches seeing over 2.5 goals.
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BTTS: No
Gloucester City and Mangotsfield United have each failed to score in at least one of their last five, and only 3 of their last 10 combined matches saw both teams score.
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More FA Cup Predictions
The Case For This Gloucester City vs Mangotsfield United Prediction
Statistically, this is a low-scoring cup tie between two sides with similar recent output and little to separate them on underlying rates. Gloucester City have averaged 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last five, while Mangotsfield United edge them slightly at 1.2 scored and just 0.4 conceded, but both have shown a tendency for tight, low-event matches. With no league form or H2H data to draw on, the model expects a cautious first half and a narrow, evenly matched contest.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Both teams average just over 1 goal scored per game in their last five matches.
Defence
- →Mangotsfield United have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 5, conceding only 0.4 per game.
Match Context
- →Only 3 of the combined last 10 matches for these teams saw over 2.5 goals.
How Gloucester City and Mangotsfield United Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Gloucester City vs Mangotsfield United Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Gloucester Citylast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Mangotsfield Unitedlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Gloucester City have alternated between narrow wins and losses in their last five, with a form string of WDLLW and two clean sheets. Mangotsfield United have been marginally more consistent, posting three wins and a draw from their last five, conceding just twice and keeping three clean sheets. Both sides have shown a lack of attacking explosiveness but defensive solidity in recent outings.
Gloucester City vs Mangotsfield United — Last 1 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Strengths
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
What History Says: Gloucester City vs Mangotsfield United
There is no head-to-head data available for this fixture, so no historical trends or dominant patterns can be identified between Gloucester City and Mangotsfield United.
Gloucester City vs Mangotsfield United Head-to-Head History
Last 1 meeting between these sides
0
Gloucester City wins
1
Draws
0
Mangotsfield United wins
Things to Watch: Gloucester City vs Mangotsfield United
- ⚠️No league standings or season record data is available for either side.
- ⚠️No head-to-head data is available; model relies on recent match rates.
- ⚠️Lack of shot, possession, and set-piece data limits tactical granularity.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Gloucester City 1–1 Mangotsfield UnitedThe model projects a 1-1 draw, with the strongest data point being the low combined goals per game (1.1 scored, 0.7 conceded) across both teams' last five matches. The main risk is the lack of current season and H2H data, which means any early goal or set-piece swing could tip the balance in an otherwise evenly matched, low-event contest.
Gloucester City vs Mangotsfield United: Common Questions
Who will win Gloucester City vs Mangotsfield United?
The model gives Gloucester City a 36% chance of victory, Mangotsfield United a 30% chance, and the draw a 34% probability. The underlying numbers suggest little to separate the sides, with a 1-1 draw the most likely outcome.
Will both teams score in Gloucester City vs Mangotsfield United?
Both teams to score is rated at 44%, with 'no' at 56%. Only three of their combined last ten matches have seen both teams find the net, indicating a slight lean towards at least one side failing to score.
How likely is under 2.5 goals in this match?
The probability of under 2.5 goals is 62%, reflecting the low-scoring trend in both teams' recent matches. Only three of their last ten combined games have gone over this line.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Gloucester City vs Mangotsfield United: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 29 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More Gloucester City vs Mangotsfield United Resources
Gloucester City Predictions
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Mangotsfield United Predictions
All Mangotsfield United fixtures & tips
Gloucester City vs Mangotsfield United Stats
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Model Accuracy
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