Goias vs CRB Predictions
Serie B · Brazil
Goias
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
CRB
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Recommended Bets: Goias vs CRB
Goias vs CRB: Match Preview
Goias enter this match sitting 10th with a negative goal difference and just two wins in their last five, including a goalless draw at home to Nautico Recife. Their home form is patchy: nine wins but six losses from 17, and they have failed to score in three of their last five overall. CRB, on the other hand, are 6th and still in the promotion mix, coming off a 2-1 home win over Londrina and averaging 1.6 goals scored in their last five matches.
Statistically, this is a clash between a low-output home side and a high-variance visitor. Goias generate plenty of shots (18.2 per game last five) but convert poorly, while CRB's matches are open—62.86% over 2.5 goals for the season, and four of their last five have seen both teams score. Goias's defence allows 1.18 per game, and CRB concede 1.4, with both teams' clean sheet rates below 27%. Set-piece activity is high, especially for CRB (8.8 corners per game last five), and both teams average over 12 fouls per match, but cards are moderate.
The model expects CRB's attacking intent and Goias's finishing regression to shape a match with goals at both ends. The likeliest scenario is CRB exploiting Goias's defensive lapses, but Goias's shot volume suggests they will create chances. With both teams struggling for clean sheets and recent H2H history supporting BTTS, a 2-1 away win is the most probable outcome.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.25
Expected goals · model says 1.50
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS: Yes
55%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 0-1 · 1-2
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Goias vs CRB Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Goias vs CRB that most previews miss.
- 1CRB away matches average 2.88 goals, with 10 of 17 seeing over 2.5 goals.
- 2Goias have failed to score in three of their last five, but averaged 18.2 shots per game across that run.
- 3Four of the last five H2H meetings have seen both teams score, including a 2-2 draw in July 2026.
Who do you think wins: Goias vs CRB?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Goias vs CRB(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
CRB matches average 2.91 goals per game with 62.86% over 2.5, and Goias have defensive vulnerabilities at home (1.00 conceded per home game); the model gives over 2.5 at 54%.
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BTTS: Yes
CRB have seen both teams score in 4 of their last 5, and Goias have failed to keep a clean sheet in 74% of their home games; model probability for BTTS is 58%.
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Match Result: CRB Win
CRB's away attack (1.18 goals per away game) faces a Goias side averaging just 0.94 goals for and 1.00 against at home; CRB are 6th with a positive goal difference and higher shot output.
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More Serie B Predictions
The Case For This Goias vs CRB Prediction
This fixture pits a Goias side with a negative goal difference and inconsistent home form against a CRB team whose matches are among the highest-scoring in the division. The statistical profile points toward a contest shaped by CRB's attacking output and Goias's defensive lapses, particularly at home.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Goias have only kept a clean sheet in 26.47% of matches this season.
- →CRB average 1.51 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, with 20 scored and 29 conceded away.
Match Context
- →CRB's season over 2.5 goals rate is 62.86%, compared to Goias's 35.29%.
🚩 Goias vs CRB Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 6.5 corners for Goias and 6.6 for CRB, for an expected total of 13.1. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (84%). Over 8.5: 90% · Over 10.5: 76%.
How Goias and CRB Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Goias vs CRB Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Goiaslast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
CRBlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Goias's form is inconsistent, with just two wins and three matches without scoring in their last five, but their shot volume remains high. CRB are more dynamic, scoring in four of their last five and winning three, though their defence has not kept a clean sheet in that span.
Goias vs CRB — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +High-volume attack — 18 shots/game
- +Dominant in possession — 56% avg
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +High-volume attack — 24 shots/game
- +Dominant in possession — 56% avg
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Goias vs CRB
Head-to-head encounters have been closely contested, with three draws and two away wins in the last five meetings. Both teams have scored in three of those, including the most recent 2-2 draw, and Goias have not beaten CRB at home since 2021.
Goias vs CRB Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
4
Goias wins
3
Draws
3
CRB wins
Things to Watch: Goias vs CRB
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value assessment is limited.
- ⚠️Goias's home attack underperforms but their shot volume is high (18.2 per game last 5), suggesting some finishing variance.
- ⚠️CRB have not kept a clean sheet in their last 5, so defensive volatility is a risk.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Goias 1–2 CRBThe model projects a 2-1 win for CRB, driven by their 1.51 goals per game average and a 62.86% over 2.5 rate, against a Goias side that concedes often and struggles to convert high shot volume. The most plausible way this goes wrong is if Goias's finishing woes continue and the match trends under, but the underlying rates point to goals and an away edge.
Goias vs CRB: Common Questions
Who will win Goias vs CRB?
CRB have a 40% win probability, with Goias at 27% and the draw at 33%. CRB's stronger attack and higher league position tilt the model in their favour, but the margin is not decisive.
Will there be over or under 2.5 goals in Goias vs CRB?
The model estimates a 54% probability for over 2.5 goals, reflecting CRB's 62.86% season rate and both teams' defensive vulnerabilities.
Will both teams score in Goias vs CRB?
Both teams to score is rated at 58%, with CRB seeing BTTS in four of their last five and Goias keeping just two clean sheets in their last five.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Goias vs CRB: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 26 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.