Grazer AK vs SCR Altach Predictions
Bundesliga · Austria
Grazer AK
Full Time
2 - 2
AI predicted 1 - 1
SCR Altach
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Double Chance: Grazer AK or Draw
Match Result
8.2/10Grazer AK Stun Altach with Late Comeback in Four-Goal Thriller
Grazer AK produced a dramatic late rally to snatch a 2-2 draw against SCR Altach at Merkur-Arena, salvaging a point with two goals in the final minutes. Altach looked set for victory after taking a 2-0 lead, but the hosts refused to surrender, showcasing resilience and attacking intent in front of their home supporters. The visitors struck first, capitalizing on their chances despite having just 39% possession, and doubled their advantage shortly after the break. However, Grazer AK's relentless pressure paid off as they clawed back with goals in the 87th and 90th minutes, turning what seemed a certain defeat into a share of the spoils. The match was a tale of shifting momentum, tactical adjustments, and late drama.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
2 - 2
💰 Bet Results1/3 hit
Key Moments
37' — Goal
Srdjan Hrstić puts Altach ahead, finishing a swift counter-attack.
59' — Goal
Altach double their lead, capitalizing on a defensive lapse from Grazer AK.
87' — Goal
Mark Große pulls one back for Grazer AK, igniting hopes of a comeback.
90' — Goal
Grazer AK complete the comeback with a dramatic equalizer in stoppage time.
Various' — Yellow Cards
Grazer AK pick up five bookings, reflecting their aggressive approach.
Grazer AK
Grazer AK dominated possession with 61% and registered 14 shots, 6 of which were on target, reflecting their attacking intent throughout the match. Despite falling behind by two goals, their persistence and tactical tweaks in the second half paid dividends as they mounted a spirited late comeback. The midfield was particularly influential, driving the team forward and maintaining pressure on Altach’s backline. Discipline was a concern, with five yellow cards collected, but the team’s fighting spirit and ability to respond under pressure were key to securing a valuable point.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
SCR Altach
SCR Altach executed a disciplined game plan, absorbing pressure and striking clinically on the counter. With only 39% possession and 9 total shots (4 on target), they made the most of their opportunities, taking a 2-0 lead by the 59th minute. Their defensive shape held firm for much of the match, but fatigue and mounting pressure saw them concede twice in the dying minutes. Despite a strong away performance, Altach will rue their inability to close out the game, as lapses in concentration proved costly.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Grazer AK set up in a 3-1-4-2 formation, seeking to dominate midfield and push their wing-backs high up the pitch. Their control of possession (61%) allowed them to dictate play, but they were vulnerable to Altach’s quick transitions. Altach’s 3-4-2-1 shape prioritized defensive solidity and fast breaks, which paid off with two well-taken goals. Substitutions and tactical tweaks in the second half saw Grazer AK commit more bodies forward, increasing the tempo and width of their attacks. This pressure eventually overwhelmed Altach, whose defensive line dropped deeper as the match wore on, inviting the late onslaught that led to the equalizer.
Turning Point
Grazer AK’s first goal in the 87th minute shifted the momentum, setting the stage for their dramatic stoppage-time equalizer.
Man of the Match
Mark Große
Sparked the comeback with a crucial late goal and led the attacking charge in the final minutes.
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Expected goals · model says 1.20
Expected goals · model says 1.05
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
BTTS: Yes
45%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Grazer AK vs SCR Altach Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
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Where the Model Sees Value: Grazer AK vs SCR Altach(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 1–1
Both teams have struggled for wins and average just over 1 goal per game. Recent H2H and current form suggest a low-scoring draw is likely.
Double Chance: Grazer AK or Draw
Grazer AK are stronger at home and Altach have a poor away record (2W in 15 away). The home side is less likely to lose.
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams have low scoring averages in recent matches and Altach's away games are often under 2.5 goals (season over 2.5%: 37.93%).
More Bundesliga Predictions
The Case For This Grazer AK vs SCR Altach Prediction
Grazer AK and SCR Altach meet in Graz with both sides struggling for wins and goals in recent weeks. Grazer AK have been inconsistent but are more solid at home, while Altach have found away games difficult and are coming off a heavy defeat. Both teams' attacks have underperformed, and H2H history suggests another tight, low-scoring contest. A draw or narrow home win seems most likely, with few clear chances expected.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Grazer AK's home record is much stronger than their away form (5W, 6D, 3L at home).
Attack
- →Both teams have scored fewer than 1.2 goals per game in their last 5 matches.
- →Recent H2H meetings are low-scoring and often close (four of last seven ended 1-1 or 1-0).
Injuries & Team News
- →No key injuries reported for either side.
Match Context
- →SCR Altach have just 2 away wins in 15 and a low away goals average.
🚩 Grazer AK vs SCR Altach Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.3 corners for Grazer AK and 4.3 for SCR Altach, for an expected total of 9.5. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (52%). Over 8.5: 61% · Over 10.5: 35%.
How Grazer AK and SCR Altach Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Grazer AK vs SCR Altach Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Grazer AKlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
SCR Altachlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Grazer AK vs SCR Altach — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
What History Says: Grazer AK vs SCR Altach
Grazer AK vs SCR Altach Head-to-Head History
Last 8 meetings between these sides
3
Grazer AK wins
4
Draws
1
SCR Altach wins
Things to Watch: Grazer AK vs SCR Altach
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available; value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Some recent match stats missing (shots/corners for a few games).
- ⚠️Motivation/lineup rotation risk late in season not quantifiable from data.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Grazer AK vs SCR Altach: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 2 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.