SCR Altach vs Grazer AK Predictions
Bundesliga · Austria
SCR Altach
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 2 - 1
Grazer AK
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Draw
@ 3.3(+6% edge)
Match Result
7.2/10Grazer AK Edge Altach in Fiery Bundesliga Clash at Cashpoint-Arena
Grazer AK claimed a hard-fought 2-1 victory over SCR Altach at the Cashpoint-Arena, making the most of their chances despite being outplayed in possession. The visitors struck early through D. Maderner in the 6th minute, setting the tone for a competitive encounter. Altach responded with a well-taken goal by O. Diawara midway through the first half, but Grazer AK restored their lead before the break thanks to a clinical finish from L. Hermesh in the 38th minute. Altach dominated the ball with 62% possession and registered 14 shots, but struggled to break down a resilient Grazer AK defense. The away side, meanwhile, were efficient on the counter and defended stoutly, absorbing pressure and committing 21 fouls to disrupt Altach's rhythm. Despite late pressure and six corners, Altach couldn't find an equalizer, as Grazer AK held on for a valuable away win.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
2 - 1
Actual
1 - 2
💰 Bet Results1/2 hit
Key Moments
6' — Goal
D. Maderner puts Grazer AK ahead early with a sharp finish.
25' — Goal
O. Diawara levels for Altach after sustained pressure.
38' — Goal
L. Hermesh restores Grazer AK's lead with a well-taken goal.
67' — Yellow Card
Altach pick up their only yellow card as frustration builds.
78' — Yellow Card
Grazer AK's physical approach results in a booking.
SCR Altach
Altach controlled the tempo with 62% possession and created more chances, firing 14 shots with 4 on target. Their midfield trio of M. Bähre, V. Demaku, and P. Greil orchestrated play but struggled to break down a disciplined Grazer AK backline. O. Diawara's 25th-minute goal was a deserved reward for their attacking intent, but defensive lapses and a lack of clinical edge in the final third proved costly. Despite pushing hard in the second half, Altach's efforts were repeatedly thwarted by a compact Grazer AK defense and the safe hands of C. Stanković. The hosts' discipline was evident with just five fouls and a single yellow card, but they lacked the cutting edge to turn possession into points.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Grazer AK
Grazer AK executed a disciplined away performance, soaking up pressure and striking decisively on the break. Despite having just 38% possession, they made their 8 shots count, with 5 on target and two converted. D. Maderner's early opener and L. Hermesh's 38th-minute goal showcased their efficiency in front of goal. The visitors were physical and disruptive, committing 21 fouls and picking up a yellow card, but this approach successfully stifled Altach's attacking flow. Defensively, the back three marshaled by M. Sollbauer and the goalkeeping of C. Stanković were crucial in preserving the lead under late Altach pressure.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Both sides lined up in 3-4-3 formations, leading to a congested midfield and battles for control in wide areas. Altach sought to dominate possession and build patiently, using their midfield to circulate the ball and stretch play. However, Grazer AK's compact shape and aggressive pressing, evidenced by 21 fouls, disrupted Altach's rhythm and forced turnovers. Grazer AK were content to cede possession and hit on the break, with their front three capitalizing on defensive lapses. The away side's defensive discipline, combined with timely interventions from their back three and goalkeeper, allowed them to withstand Altach's late onslaught. Substitutions were used to reinforce midfield and defense, maintaining their shape and focus in the closing stages.
Turning Point
L. Hermesh's 38th-minute goal restored Grazer AK's lead and shifted momentum, forcing Altach to chase the game.
Man of the Match
L. Hermesh
Scored the decisive goal and was a constant threat on the break, crucial to Grazer AK's win.
SCR Altach vs Grazer AK: Match Preview
Altach and Grazer AK meet in a battle near the foot of the Austrian Bundesliga, with both sides desperate to reverse poor early-season form. Altach sit 11th with just one win in five, while Grazer AK are only a point better off in 10th, also claiming a single victory. Both teams have struggled for consistency, with Altach losing four of five league matches and Grazer AK winless in their last four.
The statistical matchup is defined by defensive frailty, especially from the visitors: Grazer AK have shipped 12 goals in three away games, failing to score in any. Altach's home attack is modest but functional, averaging 2.0 goals per home match, and their shot output at home (15.5 per game in the last two) suggests they can create chances. Both teams have seen 60% of their league games go over 2.5 goals, while Grazer AK's matches average a league-high 3.0 goals. Discipline could play a role, with both sides averaging over 1.5 yellow cards per game in recent weeks.
The model expects a match with above-average goal potential but a high likelihood of a close result, with Altach's home edge balanced by their own defensive issues. A 2-1 home win is rated likeliest, but the draw is a strong runner given both teams' inability to control matches and the frequency of draws in their recent head-to-head history.
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Expected goals · model says 1.55
Expected goals · model says 1.15
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS: Yes
54%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 2-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
SCR Altach vs Grazer AK Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind SCR Altach vs Grazer AK that most previews miss.
- 1Grazer AK have failed to score in all three away league matches this season, conceding an average of 4.0 goals per game on the road.
- 2Altach's last two home league matches have produced a combined 7 goals, with both teams scoring in one.
- 3Four of the last eight meetings between these sides have ended in draws, including two 2-2 results.
Who do you think wins: SCR Altach vs Grazer AK?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: SCR Altach vs Grazer AK(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw@ 3.33
The model assigns a 32% probability to the draw, slightly above the 30% implied by current odds. Both teams have struggled to win (Altach 1W/4L, Grazer AK 1W/3L/1D), and four of their last eight H2H meetings have ended level.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5@ 1.95
Both teams have seen 60% of their league matches go over 2.5 goals this season, and Grazer AK's away games average 4.0 goals (0 scored, 12 conceded in 3).
Read more ↓
More Bundesliga Predictions
The Case For This SCR Altach vs Grazer AK Prediction
A low-table clash between two sides with defensive vulnerabilities, Altach's modest home attack faces a Grazer AK outfit conceding at an alarming rate away from home. The underlying rates point to a match with above-average goal potential but a high probability of a close contest.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Altach's home games average 3.5 goals per match this season, with both teams scoring in one of two.
Defence
- →Grazer AK have conceded 12 goals in three away league matches, failing to score in any.
Match Context
- →Four of the last eight H2H meetings have ended in draws, including two 2-2 scorelines.
🚩 SCR Altach vs Grazer AK Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.8 corners for SCR Altach and 3.7 for Grazer AK, for an expected total of 9.5. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (53%). Over 8.5: 60% · Over 10.5: 35%.
How SCR Altach and Grazer AK Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
SCR Altach vs Grazer AK Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
SCR Altachlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Grazer AKlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Altach have lost four of five league matches but did post a resounding 7-0 cup win last time out, albeit against lower-tier opposition. Grazer AK are winless in their last four, including a heavy 0-8 defeat at Rapid Vienna and a goalless draw last time out. Both sides have struggled to find consistency, with Altach's only league win coming at home.
SCR Altach vs Grazer AK — Last 5 Matches
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.2 goals/game (last 5)
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Struggling to score — 0.4 goals/game
- −Leaky defence — 2.6 conceded/game
What History Says: SCR Altach vs Grazer AK
The head-to-head record is evenly balanced, with four draws in the last eight meetings and only one home win for Altach in that span. Scorelines have tended to be close, with two 2-2 results and both teams scoring in five of the last eight. The draw is a recurring outcome when these teams meet.
SCR Altach vs Grazer AK Head-to-Head History
Last 8 meetings between these sides
1
SCR Altach wins
4
Draws
3
Grazer AK wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: SCR Altach vs Grazer AK
The model sees marginal value in the draw at 3.30 (32% model probability vs 30% implied), given both teams' tendency to avoid defeat rather than take initiative. Over 2.5 goals is also slightly value-positive, aligning with high concession rates and recent goal averages. No significant edge is found in the BTTS market, with prices closely matching the model's estimate.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: SCR Altach vs Grazer AK
- ⚠️Both teams have small sample sizes for the current season, increasing variance.
- ⚠️Altach's 7-0 cup win skews recent attacking averages but came against lower-tier opposition.
- ⚠️Lineups are not available and late injuries or rotations could impact expected output.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
SCR Altach 2–1 Grazer AKA 2-1 win for Altach is the model's baseline, driven by Grazer AK's away defensive record—twelve goals conceded and none scored in three road games is a glaring weakness. The biggest risk is that Altach's recent attacking spike is inflated by a cup mismatch, and both sides' low conversion rates could see another draw.
SCR Altach vs Grazer AK: Common Questions
Who will win SCR Altach vs Grazer AK?
Altach are marginal favourites with a 44% win probability, but the draw is also prominent at 32%. Grazer AK's away struggles (0 goals scored, 12 conceded in three) tilt the balance, yet both sides have struggled for wins.
Will both teams score in SCR Altach vs Grazer AK?
The model rates both teams to score at 51%, reflecting Altach's home scoring and Grazer AK's defensive record, but the visitors' failure to score in any away match so far tempers confidence.
Is over 2.5 goals a good bet for SCR Altach vs Grazer AK?
Over 2.5 goals is given a 54% probability by the model, slightly above the implied odds. Both sides have seen 60% of their league games go over this line, and Grazer AK's away matches have averaged 4.0 goals.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for SCR Altach vs Grazer AK: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 5 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.