TSV Hartberg vs SCR Altach Predictions
Bundesliga · Austria
TSV Hartberg
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 2 - 1
SCR Altach
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Draw
@ 3.5(+5% edge)
Match Result
7.5/10Hartberg Outclass Altach with Convincing 3-0 Home Victory
TSV Hartberg delivered a commanding performance at the Profertil Arena, sweeping aside SCR Altach 3-0 in a one-sided Bundesliga encounter. The hosts struck early and never looked back, with goals in the 3rd, 35th, and 77th minutes highlighting their dominance both in attack and in midfield control. Despite Altach edging possession with 52%, they failed to register a single shot on target, exposing their lack of cutting edge up front. Hartberg’s attacking intent was clear from the outset, racking up 14 shots and 8 corners while keeping their defensive discipline intact. Altach, meanwhile, struggled to break down Hartberg’s well-drilled back three and were hampered by two yellow cards as frustration mounted. The result cements Hartberg’s credentials as a force at home, while Altach are left searching for answers after a toothless display.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
2 - 1
Actual
3 - 0
💰 Bet Results1/2 hit
Key Moments
3' — Goal
Hartberg open the scoring early, seizing the initiative and putting Altach on the back foot.
35' — Goal
Hartberg double their lead, capitalizing on sustained pressure and exposing gaps in Altach’s defense.
77' — Goal
Hartberg seal the win with a third goal, extinguishing any hopes of an Altach comeback.
Various' — Yellow Cards
Altach pick up two yellow cards as frustration boils over amid Hartberg’s dominance.
TSV Hartberg
Hartberg set the tone with an early goal and maintained control throughout, blending defensive solidity with attacking verve. Their 3-4-2-1 formation allowed for fluid transitions and width, overwhelming Altach’s five-man defense. The midfield, marshaled by the likes of M. Dalpiaz and Y. Diarra, dictated the tempo and created numerous chances. Defensively, Hartberg were rarely troubled, with Á. Pécsi enjoying a quiet afternoon. The team’s ability to press high and recover possession quickly ensured Altach were kept at bay, and the hosts’ clinical finishing made the difference.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
SCR Altach
Altach’s 5-3-2 setup failed to provide the defensive solidity or attacking spark they needed. Although they held a slight edge in possession (52%), their build-up play was slow and predictable, resulting in just 5 shots and none on target. The midfield trio struggled to progress the ball under Hartberg’s pressure, and the front two of Elongo-Yombo and Diawara were largely isolated. Defensively, Altach conceded early and never recovered, with two yellow cards reflecting their growing frustration. Set pieces offered little respite, and their inability to respond tactically left them chasing shadows for much of the contest.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Hartberg’s 3-4-2-1 formation provided both defensive stability and attacking width, allowing wingbacks to push high and support the front line. Their pressing game disrupted Altach’s attempts to build from the back, forcing turnovers and creating chances from advanced positions. The midfield duo of Dalpiaz and Diarra were pivotal, recycling possession and launching attacks. Altach’s 5-3-2, intended to provide defensive cover, instead left them passive and unable to cope with Hartberg’s movement between the lines. The lack of width and forward support meant their forwards were isolated, and their midfield was overrun. Substitutions and tactical tweaks failed to alter the momentum, as Hartberg’s structure remained intact throughout.
Turning Point
Hartberg’s second goal in the 35th minute killed Altach’s early resistance and set the stage for a comfortable home win.
Man of the Match
M. Hoffman
Led the line with energy, scored a crucial goal, and set the tone for Hartberg’s high-pressing, clinical display.
TSV Hartberg vs SCR Altach: Match Preview
Hartberg arrive in buoyant mood, having won four of their last five in all competitions and riding a two-match winning streak that includes a 4-0 thrashing of Grazer AK. Their 5th-place standing reflects a potent attack (20 goals in 11 games), though defensive vulnerabilities persist. Altach, languishing in 8th, have shown signs of life with a recent home win over Austria Vienna and a cup rout, but their league away form is dire: five straight defeats, no goals scored, and ten conceded.
Statistically, this matchup is defined by Hartberg's attacking output at home (1.83 goals per game) against Altach's toothless away record (0.00 goals scored, 2.00 conceded per away match). Both sides are involved in high-scoring games—over 2.5 goals has landed in 63.6% of their league fixtures. However, Hartberg's home defence is far from watertight, conceding 12 in 6, and Altach's recent matches have seen a late scoring trend, with seven of their last ten goals coming after half-time.
The model expects Hartberg's attack to make the difference, but the persistent H2H draw trend and Hartberg's defensive frailty keep the door open for a close contest. The market's near pick'em stance undervalues Hartberg's home edge and Altach's away woes, making a narrow home win or a draw the most plausible outcomes.
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: TSV Hartberg vs SCR Altach
The market's near pick'em odds slightly underrate Hartberg's home edge and Altach's away struggles, with small value found on both the home win and the draw. No significant value emerges in the BTTS or over/under markets, as the odds closely match the model's goal expectations.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Where the Model Sees Value: TSV Hartberg vs SCR Altach(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw@ 3.46
The model assigns a 30% probability to the draw (implied odds 3.33), while the market is offering 3.5 (implied probability 28.6%), giving a modest value edge. Hartberg have drawn twice at home this season and five of the last ten H2H have ended level.
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Match Result: TSV Hartberg Win@ 2.54
Hartberg's home win probability (43%) is slightly higher than the market's implied 40.8%, supported by Altach's 0/5 away record and zero goals scored on the road this season.
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TSV Hartberg vs SCR Altach Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind TSV Hartberg vs SCR Altach that most previews miss.
- 1Altach have failed to score in all five away league games this season, a unique drought among Bundesliga sides.
- 2Hartberg have scored at least twice in four of their last five matches, averaging 3.0 goals per game in that span.
- 3Exactly half of the last ten H2H meetings have ended in draws, including three goalless or 1-1 results.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.75
Expected goals · model says 1.40
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
BTTS: Yes
62%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-0
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
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The Case For This TSV Hartberg vs SCR Altach Prediction
Hartberg's recent attacking surge and Altach's away-day struggles set up a fixture where the market is undecided, but the data leans slightly towards the hosts. With both sides showing a high over 2.5 goal rate, a lively contest is likely, yet the persistent H2H draw trend keeps the draw in play as well.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Hartberg average 3.0 goals scored in their last five matches, with three wins and no failed-to-score games in that span.
Match Context
- →Altach have lost all five away games in the league this season, failing to score a single away goal (0 GF, 10 GA).
- →Five of the last ten H2H meetings have ended in draws, including three 0-0 or 1-1 results.
🚩 TSV Hartberg vs SCR Altach Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.6 corners for TSV Hartberg and 3.9 for SCR Altach, for an expected total of 9.5. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (53%). Over 8.5: 60% · Over 10.5: 35%.
How TSV Hartberg and SCR Altach Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
TSV Hartberg vs SCR Altach Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
TSV Hartberglast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
SCR Altachlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Hartberg are on an upward trajectory, winning four of their last five matches and scoring 15 goals in that span. Altach have improved recently with two wins and a draw in their last five, but their away league form remains a glaring weakness with five straight losses and no goals scored on the road.
TSV Hartberg vs SCR Altach — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 3.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
What History Says: TSV Hartberg vs SCR Altach
Hartberg are unbeaten in the last ten meetings with Altach, winning five and drawing five. Draws have been especially common, with three of the last six ending level, and Altach have not managed a single win in this fixture over that period.
TSV Hartberg vs SCR Altach Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
5
TSV Hartberg wins
5
Draws
0
SCR Altach wins
Things to Watch: TSV Hartberg vs SCR Altach
- ⚠️Altach's recent upturn in form (only one loss in last five in all comps) could signal improvement not fully captured by season-long away stats.
- ⚠️Hartberg's defence remains leaky at home (12 conceded in 6), so Altach's goal drought may not persist.
- ⚠️Market odds are tightly clustered, reflecting genuine uncertainty; small value edges only.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
TSV Hartberg 2–1 SCR AltachHartberg's home advantage and attacking form, combined with Altach's historically poor away record, tip the balance towards a 2-1 home win. The single strongest data point is Altach's zero away goals in five league outings. However, Hartberg's leaky home defence and the frequency of draws in this fixture mean a stalemate is a real risk if the hosts fail to convert their chances.
TSV Hartberg vs SCR Altach: Common Questions
Who will win TSV Hartberg vs SCR Altach?
Hartberg are slight favourites with a 43% win probability, while Altach are given a 27% chance and the draw is rated at 30%. Hartberg's attacking form and Altach's away struggles support the edge for the home side.
Will both teams score in Hartberg vs Altach?
Both teams to score is rated at 58%, but Altach's away goal drought (0 in 5 away league games) tempers confidence. Hartberg's defensive record at home (12 conceded in 6) means chances should come for both.
Where is the betting value in Hartberg vs Altach?
The draw (3.5) and Hartberg win (2.45) both offer small value edges over the model's probabilities. The market is tightly priced, but Altach's away record and the H2H draw trend suggest these are the likeliest outcomes.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for TSV Hartberg vs SCR Altach: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Value Scout, the market-facing profile — hunts the gap between price and probability. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 1 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.