SCR Altach vs TSV Hartberg Predictions
Bundesliga · Austria
SCR Altach
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 0
TSV Hartberg
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Match Result
7.8/10Late Hartberg Strike Sinks Altach in Dramatic Bundesliga Clash
TSV Hartberg stunned SCR Altach with a dramatic 2-1 away victory at the Cashpoint-Arena, thanks to a last-gasp winner in the 90th minute. Despite Altach dominating possession (59%) and piling on the pressure with 18 shots and 11 corners, it was Hartberg’s resilience and clinical finishing that proved decisive. The visitors took an early lead in the 16th minute, but Altach fought back after the break, equalizing in the 53rd minute to set up a tense second half. Both sides traded chances, with each registering five shots on target, but it was Hartberg who capitalized at the death, snatching all three points and silencing the home crowd. The match was a tale of contrasting styles: Altach’s attacking intent versus Hartberg’s disciplined defense and opportunism on the counter.
💀 AI Prediction Report
DOWN BADPredicted
1 - 0
Actual
1 - 2
💰 Bet Results0/2 hit
Key Moments
16' — Goal
Hartberg open the scoring with a well-worked move, taking an early 1-0 lead.
53' — Goal
Altach equalize after sustained pressure, bringing the match level at 1-1.
90' — Goal
Hartberg snatch victory with a dramatic late goal, sealing a 2-1 win.
various' — Yellow Cards
Hartberg pick up three yellow cards as they dig in defensively.
SCR Altach
Altach started on the front foot, controlling the tempo with 59% possession and creating a flurry of chances, particularly in the second half. Their 3-4-3 formation allowed them to stretch Hartberg’s defense and win 11 corners, but a lack of clinical edge in front of goal proved costly. After falling behind early, Altach rallied well and deservedly equalized in the 53rd minute, but despite their dominance, they failed to convert pressure into goals and were ultimately undone by a late Hartberg sucker punch.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
TSV Hartberg
Hartberg set up defensively in a 5-3-2 formation, absorbing waves of Altach pressure and looking to strike on the break. Despite seeing just 41% of the ball and conceding 11 corners, they remained compact and disciplined, picking their moments to attack. Their efficiency in front of goal was the difference, scoring from two of their five shots on target, including a dramatic 90th-minute winner that sealed a hard-fought victory.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Altach lined up in an adventurous 3-4-3, seeking to dominate the ball and attack with width, which paid dividends in terms of possession and territorial advantage. Their wing-backs pushed high, contributing to the 11 corners won, but this left them exposed to Hartberg's swift counters. Hartberg’s 5-3-2 provided defensive solidity, with three center-backs and two wing-backs often forming a back five. This shape allowed them to absorb pressure and frustrate Altach, while their midfielders worked tirelessly to close down space and launch quick transitions. Substitutions in the second half from both sides injected fresh legs, but Hartberg’s tactical discipline and ability to strike late proved decisive. Set pieces were a key battleground, with Altach’s 11 corners reflecting their territorial dominance, though Hartberg’s defense held firm. The match ultimately turned on Hartberg’s ability to remain compact and clinical, capitalizing on rare opportunities.
Turning Point
The 90th-minute goal from Marco Hoffmann, which turned a hard-fought draw into a dramatic Hartberg victory.
Man of the Match
Marco Hoffmann
Scored the decisive late winner and led the line with energy and purpose throughout.
SCR Altach vs TSV Hartberg: Match Preview
Altach come into this fixture with a split record in the league—one win and one defeat—having put three past WSG Wattens at home but failing to score away at Rapid Vienna. Hartberg, by contrast, have lost both league outings without finding the net, sitting 11th in the table and carrying a two-match scoreless streak. Both teams are in the bottom half early on, but Altach's home win offers a slight momentum edge.
Statistically, this is a contest between a limited Altach attack (1.5 goals per league game) and a Hartberg side that have yet to register a league goal, averaging just 0.6 shots on target per match over their last five. The head-to-head history is dominated by draws—six in the last ten, including three goalless affairs—while both sides' recent matches have trended under 2.5 goals. Set-piece and discipline data are limited, but neither side has shown a tendency for high corner or card totals in the early going.
The model expects a low-scoring, cagey match, with Altach's slight attacking edge at home offset by Hartberg's historical resilience in this fixture. A single goal could decide it, but the distribution clusters around 1-0, 0-0, and 1-1, with a 68% probability for under 2.5 goals and nearly equal probabilities for home and draw outcomes.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.15
Expected goals · model says 0.70
Over 2.5 Goals
28%
BTTS: Yes
34%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 0-0 · 1-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
SCR Altach vs TSV Hartberg Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind SCR Altach vs TSV Hartberg that most previews miss.
- 1Hartberg have failed to score in their last three league matches, including both this season.
- 2Six of the last ten meetings between these sides have ended level, with three finishing 0-0.
- 3Altach's home matches this season average 4.0 goals, but their overall last five average just 1.6 scored per game.
Who do you think wins: SCR Altach vs TSV Hartberg?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: SCR Altach vs TSV Hartberg(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams have combined for just 5 goals in their 4 league matches this season, and Hartberg have yet to score a league goal; the model gives a 68% probability to under 2.5 goals.
Read more ↓
Match Result: Draw
Six of the last ten head-to-head meetings have ended level, and both sides have shown limited attacking output early in the season.
More Bundesliga Predictions
The Case For This SCR Altach vs TSV Hartberg Prediction
The numbers point to a low-scoring contest at Cashpoint-Arena, with Altach's modest home scoring rate and Hartberg's ongoing attacking struggles defining the expected shape of the match. Both sides have started the league campaign with defensive caution, and the head-to-head record is littered with draws and low totals.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Altach average 1.5 goals scored and 1 conceded per league match this season.
- →Hartberg have failed to score in either league match, conceding 1.5 per game.
Match Context
- →Six of the last ten head-to-heads have ended in draws, with three 0-0 or 1-1 scorelines.
🚩 SCR Altach vs TSV Hartberg Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.6 corners for SCR Altach and 4 for TSV Hartberg, for an expected total of 8.6. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (64%). Over 8.5: 49% · Over 10.5: 25%.
How SCR Altach and TSV Hartberg Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
SCR Altach vs TSV Hartberg Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
SCR Altachlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
TSV Hartberglast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Altach have won three of their last five in all competitions, including a 3-1 home win in the league, but did fail to score in their only away league match. Hartberg are on a two-match league losing streak, goalless in both, and have scored just once in their last three across all competitions.
SCR Altach vs TSV Hartberg — Last 2 Matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
What History Says: SCR Altach vs TSV Hartberg
Hartberg have been the stronger side in this matchup, unbeaten in the last ten with four wins and six draws. The fixture is historically low-scoring, with three of the last five ending 0-0 or 1-1, and Altach have not managed a single win in that span.
SCR Altach vs TSV Hartberg Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
0
SCR Altach wins
6
Draws
4
TSV Hartberg wins
Things to Watch: SCR Altach vs TSV Hartberg
- ⚠️Early season sample sizes are small, so underlying team strength may not be fully reflected.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available for value assessment.
- ⚠️Recent friendlies and cup matches may not reflect true competitive form.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
SCR Altach 1–0 TSV HartbergThe model projects a 1-0 win for Altach, driven primarily by Hartberg's inability to score in either league match so far and the low-scoring trend in their head-to-heads. The biggest risk to this prediction is the small early-season sample, which could understate Hartberg's attacking potential if they improve quickly.
SCR Altach vs TSV Hartberg: Common Questions
Who will win SCR Altach vs TSV Hartberg?
Altach are given a 44% probability to win, with a 37% chance of a draw and just 19% for Hartberg. The most likely result is a narrow Altach victory or a low-scoring draw.
Will both teams score in Altach vs Hartberg?
No is favoured at 72%, as Hartberg have yet to score in the league this season and only one of their last five matches saw both teams find the net.
Is under 2.5 goals likely in Altach vs Hartberg?
Yes, under 2.5 goals is rated at 68% probability, reflecting both teams' low scoring rates and the head-to-head trend towards draws and low totals.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for SCR Altach vs TSV Hartberg: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 15 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.