Guiseley AFC vs Bradford (Park Avenue) Predictions

Prediction by The Numbers Desk — No extreme form or market signal — routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
FA CupFA Cup · England
medium confidence
Guiseley AFC

Guiseley AFC

AI Predicted Score

2 - 1

Bradford (Park Avenue)

Bradford (Park Avenue)

🗓️ Saturday, 3 Oct 2026 at 15:00 BST (venue time) · 14:00 UTC (your time)

Win Probability (1X2)

Guiseley AFC 44%Draw 36%Bradford (Park Avenue) 20%

Best Value Pick

Match Result: Guiseley AFC Win

Recommended Bets: Guiseley AFC vs Bradford (Park Avenue)

Match Result: Guiseley AFC Win
6/10
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
5/10

Guiseley AFC vs Bradford (Park Avenue): Match Preview

Guiseley AFC enter this FA Cup tie in assertive form, having won four of their last five matches and scoring at least two goals in each. Their season average of 2.67 goals per game underlines a potent attack, while Bradford (Park Avenue) have been more conservative, averaging 1.5 goals for and just 0.5 against in their two FA Cup outings. The head-to-head record is lopsided: Guiseley are unbeaten in ten against Bradford, with four wins and six draws, and have not conceded defeat in this fixture since at least 2013.

Statistically, Guiseley’s attack is the standout feature—3.2 goals per game over the last five, with multiple players contributing. Bradford, meanwhile, have shown defensive resilience with two clean sheets in their last five, but their away record (just one away match this season, conceding once) is a thin sample. Both sides have strong BTTS trends: four of Guiseley’s last five and three of Bradford’s last five have seen both teams score. Over 2.5 goals has landed in all of Guiseley’s season games, while Bradford’s matches have split evenly.

The model projects a match tilted towards Guiseley, with their attacking output likely to be decisive. However, Bradford’s defensive numbers suggest they can keep the contest close, and the high draw rate in this fixture (six of ten) tempers outright home win confidence. Expect Guiseley to control the attacking phases, but Bradford’s ability to stay in games means a narrow 2-1 outcome is most probable.

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Guiseley AFC1.65

Expected goals · model says 1.65

Bradford (Park Avenue)1.20

Expected goals · model says 1.20

Win Probability
Guiseley AFC 48% Draw 24% Bradford (Park Avenue) 28%

Over 2.5 Goals

54%

BTTS: Yes

56%

Likely Scores

1-1 · 1-0 · 2-1

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Guiseley AFC vs Bradford (Park Avenue) Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
44%
36%
20%
Guiseley AFC 44%Draw 36%Bradford (Park Avenue) 20%
Both Teams to Score
62%
38%
Yes 62%No 38%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
58%
42%
Over 2.5 58%Under 2.5 42%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Guiseley AFC vs Bradford (Park Avenue) that most previews miss.

  • 1Guiseley’s last five matches average 4.2 total goals, compared to just 2.0 for Bradford (Park Avenue).
  • 2Six of the last ten H2H meetings have ended level, with four 0-0 draws in that span.
  • 3Guiseley have scored in every match this season and have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five.

Who do you think wins: Guiseley AFC vs Bradford (Park Avenue)?

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The Case For This Guiseley AFC vs Bradford (Park Avenue) Prediction

Guiseley AFC’s prolific attack, averaging over three goals per game across their last five, faces a Bradford (Park Avenue) side with a more modest output but a solid defensive record in recent weeks. The statistical shape of this fixture points to a match with above-average scoring potential, driven by Guiseley’s high conversion rate and Bradford’s tendency to concede away from home. The head-to-head record further tilts the balance, with Guiseley unbeaten in the last ten meetings.

Key Factors at a Glance

Recent Form

  • →Guiseley AFC have scored 16 goals in their last five matches (avg 3.2 per game).

Defence

  • →Bradford (Park Avenue) have conceded only one goal in their last two FA Cup matches.

Match Context

  • →Guiseley have never lost to Bradford (Park Avenue) in the last ten H2H meetings (4 wins, 6 draws).

How Guiseley AFC and Bradford (Park Avenue) Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Guiseley AFC vs Bradford (Park Avenue) Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.

Guiseley AFCGuiseley AFClast 5 matches
C. Wilson
3 goals in 5
60%

Scoring consistently

J. Thewlis
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

O. Brown
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

H. Hopper
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

K. White
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Bradford (Park Avenue)Bradford (Park Avenue)last 5 matches
B. Andreucci
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

L. Chorlton
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

R. Fox
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Guiseley AFC are on a strong run with four wins and a draw in their last five, averaging over three goals per match and showing no signs of attacking slowdown. Bradford (Park Avenue) have also been in decent form, winning four of their last five, but their matches have been lower scoring and their defensive numbers slightly better. Both sides are unbeaten in their respective FA Cup campaigns so far.

Guiseley AFC vs Bradford (Park Avenue) — Last 3 Matches

Guiseley AFCGuiseley AFCLast 3 results
W4-1
W2-1
D2-2
W@ Hebburn Town4-1
Wvs Stockton Town2-1
D@ Stockton Town2-2

Strengths

  • +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
  • +Prolific attack — 3.2 goals/game (last 5)
  • +Both teams scoring in most recent games
  • +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
W1-0
W2-1
Wvs Lancaster City1-0
W@ Curzon Ashton2-1

Strengths

  • +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
  • +50% clean sheet rate this season

What History Says: Guiseley AFC vs Bradford (Park Avenue)

Guiseley AFC have dominated the recent head-to-head, winning four and drawing six of the last ten encounters, with Bradford (Park Avenue) yet to register a win in this fixture. Draws have been common—six in ten—and low-scoring outcomes, including multiple 0-0s, have featured regularly. However, Guiseley have also posted a couple of emphatic wins, highlighting their higher attacking ceiling.

Guiseley AFC vs Bradford (Park Avenue) Head-to-Head History

Last 10 meetings between these sides

4

Guiseley AFC wins

6

Draws

0

Bradford (Park Avenue) wins

40%60% draws0%
1 Jan 24Bradford (Park Avenue) vs Guiseley AFC0-1
28 Aug 23Guiseley AFC vs Bradford (Park Avenue)2-2
30 Jul 22Bradford (Park Avenue) vs Guiseley AFC1-2
18 Apr 22Bradford (Park Avenue) vs Guiseley AFC0-0
28 Dec 21Guiseley AFC vs Bradford (Park Avenue)2-2
22 May 21Bradford (Park Avenue) vs Guiseley AFC0-0

Things to Watch: Guiseley AFC vs Bradford (Park Avenue)

  • ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value assessment is limited.
  • ⚠️Small sample sizes for both teams’ current season records.
  • ⚠️Absence of detailed shot, possession, and set-piece data restricts deeper tactical analysis.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Guiseley AFC 2–1 Bradford (Park Avenue)

The numbers point to Guiseley AFC as slight favourites, with a predicted 2-1 scoreline reflecting their superior attacking rate (3.2 goals per game over the last five) and unbeaten H2H record. The most robust data point is Guiseley’s 100% over 2.5 goals rate this season, but the high draw frequency in this fixture remains the main risk to a home win.

Guiseley AFC vs Bradford (Park Avenue): Common Questions

Who will win Guiseley AFC vs Bradford (Park Avenue)?

Guiseley AFC are given a 44% probability of winning, with the draw at 36% and Bradford (Park Avenue) at 20%. The home side's superior scoring rate and unbeaten head-to-head record make them statistical favourites, but the draw is a significant risk given past meetings.

Will both teams score in Guiseley AFC vs Bradford (Park Avenue)?

There is a 62% probability of both teams scoring, supported by Guiseley’s record of BTTS in four of their last five and Bradford’s three BTTS matches in the same span.

Is over 2.5 goals likely in this match?

The model assigns a 58% chance to over 2.5 goals, with Guiseley’s matches going over that line in every game this season and averaging 4.2 total goals in their last five.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Guiseley AFC vs Bradford (Park Avenue): recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 26 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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