Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg Predictions
Eliteserien · Norway
Ham-Kam
AI Predicted Score
1 - 3
Rosenborg
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Rosenborg Win
Recommended Bets: Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg
Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg: Match Preview
Ham-Kam limp into this fixture after a turbulent run, conceding 14 goals in their last five matches and only recently halting a three-game losing streak with a 4-2 win at Start. Their defensive frailty has seen them slide to 11th in the table, and with just one clean sheet in their last five, the pressure is mounting to stabilise at home. Rosenborg, meanwhile, are flying: unbeaten in five competitive games, with four wins and a draw, they've climbed to fifth and look to be peaking at the business end of the season.
Statistically, this game pits Rosenborg's in-form attack (3.0 goals, 5.6 shots on target per game over the last five) against a Ham-Kam defence leaking 2.8 goals per match in the same period. Ham-Kam's own attack has been sporadically effective—1.8 goals per game recently—but their inability to keep opponents at bay, especially after the break (five second-half goals conceded in five), is a glaring weakness. Discipline could play a role, as Rosenborg have picked up a red and four yellows in their last five, while both teams have seen high BTTS and over 2.5 rates.
Given the momentum and firepower Rosenborg bring, the model expects them to dictate proceedings, capitalising on Ham-Kam's defensive issues. While the home side may find the net, Rosenborg's recent head-to-head dominance and attacking form point towards a high-scoring away win.
How Ham-Kam and Rosenborg Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Ham-Kamlast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Rosenborglast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Scoring consistently
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Rosenborg arrive in Hamar as one of the league's form sides, unbeaten in five and netting 12 goals in their last four competitive matches. Ham-Kam, by contrast, have been reeling defensively, losing three of their last five and conceding 14 goals in that span, though their morale will be boosted by a 4-2 win at Start last time out.
Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 77.27% of games this season
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.8 conceded/game
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 3.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg that most previews miss.
- 1Rosenborg have scored at least three goals in four of their last five competitive matches.
- 2Ham-Kam's last five games have averaged 4.6 total goals, with only one clean sheet.
- 3The last two H2H meetings have both ended 4-0 to the home side, but Rosenborg have won six of the last nine overall.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.20
Expected goals · model says 2.25
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
BTTS: Yes
62%
Likely Scores
1-2 · 1-1 · 0-2
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Who do you think wins: Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg?
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The Case For This Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg Prediction
Momentum is firmly with Rosenborg, who have surged up the table on the back of a four-match winning run before their recent draw, netting 12 goals in their last four competitive fixtures. Ham-Kam, by contrast, have endured a bruising run, shipping 14 goals in their last five and only just snapping a three-game losing streak with a wild 4-2 win at Start. The contrast in recent trajectories is stark, with Rosenborg's attack purring and Ham-Kam's defence looking brittle. The tactical battle should revolve around Rosenborg's dynamic front line, which is averaging 3 goals and 5.6 shots on target per game over the last five, against a Ham-Kam back five that has conceded 2.8 per match in the same stretch. Ham-Kam's ability to create chances has not dried up—they're averaging 8.4 shots and 1.8 goals—but their vulnerability, especially after half-time (five second-half goals conceded in five), is a glaring weakness. Set pieces could be a factor, with both sides averaging under four corners per game recently, but discipline is worth watching too: Rosenborg have picked up a red and four yellows across their last five. The model expects Rosenborg's recent form to translate into another high-scoring win, with their attacking depth and superior momentum likely to overwhelm a Ham-Kam side that has struggled for consistency and defensive solidity. Ham-Kam may find a goal, but their defensive record and the recent head-to-heads—Rosenborg won 4-0 last month—suggest the visitors should have too much firepower.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Rosenborg are unbeaten in their last five competitive matches (W4 D1), averaging 3 goals per game.
Defence
- →Ham-Kam have conceded 14 goals in their last five, losing three of those matches.
Match Context
- →The last head-to-head saw Rosenborg thrash Ham-Kam 4-0 just six weeks ago.
Where the Model Sees Value: Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Rosenborg Win
Rosenborg have won four of their last five competitive matches and are averaging 3 goals per game in that stretch, while Ham-Kam have lost three of their last five and conceded 14 goals in that span. The away side's momentum and firepower, particularly against a Ham-Kam defence that has kept just one clean sheet in five, make them strong favourites despite their patchy away record.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams are trending towards high-scoring games: Ham-Kam's last five have averaged 4.6 total goals, and Rosenborg's last five have seen 4.2 per match. Ham-Kam's season over 2.5 rate is 77%, and Rosenborg have scored at least three in four of their last five, so the data strongly supports another open contest.
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BTTS: Yes
Ham-Kam have found the net in four of their last five despite defensive woes, while Rosenborg have failed to keep a clean sheet in four of their last five league games. With both sides showing attacking intent but defensive frailties, both teams to score is a plausible outcome.
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More Eliteserien Predictions
🚩 Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.1 corners for Ham-Kam and 5.3 for Rosenborg, for an expected total of 9.5. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (52%). Over 8.5: 61% · Over 10.5: 35%.
What History Says: Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg
Rosenborg have dominated this fixture in recent years, winning six of the last nine meetings, including a thumping 4-0 win just last month. The last two encounters have both ended 4-0 to the home side, but overall, Rosenborg have consistently had the upper hand.
Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg Head-to-Head History
Last 9 meetings between these sides
2
Ham-Kam wins
1
Draws
6
Rosenborg wins
Things to Watch: Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available at time of analysis, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Ham-Kam's attack has shown flashes of potency, scoring four at Start last time out.
- ⚠️Rosenborg's away record this season is inconsistent (3W 1D 6L), which tempers confidence.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Ham-Kam 1–3 RosenborgThe model forecasts a 3-1 win for Rosenborg, driven by their recent scoring surge and Ham-Kam's defensive collapse—Rosenborg's 3.0 goals per game over the last five is the single strongest data point. The main risk to this scenario is Rosenborg's patchy away record and Ham-Kam's occasional attacking outbursts, which could turn this into an even wilder, higher-scoring contest.
Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg: Common Questions
Who will win Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg?
Rosenborg are clear favourites with a 60% win probability, bolstered by four wins and a draw in their last five, while Ham-Kam have lost three of five and conceded heavily. The model predicts a 3-1 away win.
Will both teams score in Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg?
There's a 58% chance both teams find the net, as Ham-Kam have scored in four of their last five and Rosenborg have conceded in four of five. Both sides have shown attacking intent but defensive frailties.
Can Rosenborg's strong form continue away from home?
Rosenborg's momentum is impressive—unbeaten in five and averaging 3 goals per match—but their away record this season is mixed (3 wins, 1 draw, 6 losses). Still, Ham-Kam's recent defensive woes give Rosenborg a strong platform to extend their run.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 17 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.