Lillestrom vs Brann Predictions
Eliteserien · Norway
Lillestrom
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
Brann
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
See full breakdown below
Lillestrom vs Brann: Match Preview
Lillestrom and Brann arrive separated by just four points in the Eliteserien table, both sitting mid-table with little immediate threat from below but an outside shot at the European spots. Lillestrom's recent form is patchy, with two draws and a win in their last five, but defensive frailty remains—conceding nine in that span. Brann, meanwhile, have alternated wins and losses, but their attack has been more prolific, scoring 39 in 22 league games, the best among teams outside the top five.
Statistically, this fixture projects as goal-rich. Brann's matches average 3.32 total goals, with 77% going over 2.5, while Lillestrom's home games average 3.27. Both sides have seen BTTS in four of their last five, and neither has kept a clean sheet in that stretch. Brann's away attack (1.9 goals per game) faces a Lillestrom defence conceding 1.55 per home match, while Lillestrom's attack (1.73 home goals per game) is up against a Brann defence that has conceded in 86% of away fixtures.
Given the attacking rates and defensive records, the model expects a high-scoring contest with Brann's extra firepower and recent H2H edge tipping the balance. The most likely outcome is an away win in a match where both teams find the net, but the draw remains a significant possibility given Lillestrom's resilience at home and the frequency of close scorelines in this matchup.
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Expected goals · model says 1.40
Expected goals · model says 1.70
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS: Yes
62%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Lillestrom vs Brann Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Lillestrom vs Brann that most previews miss.
- 1Brann's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 17 of 22 league games (77%), the highest rate among the top half.
- 2Lillestrom have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five matches, conceding 1.8 per game in that span.
- 3The last two H2H meetings at Lillestrom have both ended 0-2 in Brann's favour.
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The Case For This Lillestrom vs Brann Prediction
This fixture brings together two mid-table sides with contrasting statistical profiles: Lillestrom's home record is balanced but leaky, while Brann's matches are among the highest-scoring in the division. Both teams have been involved in goal-heavy games, with over 2.5 goals landing in 55% of Lillestrom's and 77% of Brann's league matches. The underlying rates suggest a high probability of both teams scoring and a slight edge to Brann based on their superior attacking output and recent H2H record.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Brann average 1.77 goals scored per game this season, compared to Lillestrom's 1.36.
Defence
- →Lillestrom have conceded in 73% of their home matches; Brann have kept a clean sheet in just 14% of all games.
Match Context
- →Brann have won five of the last ten H2H meetings, including the last two at this ground.
🚩 Lillestrom vs Brann Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 6.6 corners for Lillestrom and 8 for Brann, for an expected total of 14.6. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (92%). Over 8.5: 95% · Over 10.5: 86%.
How Lillestrom and Brann Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Lillestrom vs Brann Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Lillestromlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Brannlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Lillestrom's recent form is inconsistent, with a 'DDWLL' run and nine goals conceded in their last five matches. Brann have posted 'WLLWW', showing more attacking punch but also defensive vulnerability, conceding in every game during that span. Both teams have struggled for clean sheets, keeping none in their last five.
Lillestrom vs Brann — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 77.27% of games this season
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Lillestrom vs Brann
Brann have been the stronger side in recent head-to-heads, winning five of the last ten meetings and both of their last two away trips to Lillestrom. Draws have also been common, with four in the last ten, but Lillestrom have only managed one win in that period.
Lillestrom vs Brann Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
1
Lillestrom wins
4
Draws
5
Brann wins
Things to Watch: Lillestrom vs Brann
- ⚠️Bookmaker odds are unavailable, so no value or staking recommendations can be made.
- ⚠️Both teams have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five matches, but single-match variance remains high.
- ⚠️Recent form is mixed for both sides, so season-long rates drive the model's probabilities.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Lillestrom 1–2 BrannThe model projects a 2-1 win for Brann, underpinned by their superior scoring rate (1.77 goals per game) and a strong recent record in this fixture. The likeliest way this goes wrong is if Lillestrom's attack capitalises on Brann's defensive lapses and turns the match into a high-scoring draw.
Lillestrom vs Brann: Common Questions
Who will win Lillestrom vs Brann?
The model gives Brann a 41% chance of victory, compared to 28% for Lillestrom and 31% for the draw. Brann's superior attack and recent head-to-head record make them slight favourites.
Will both teams score in Lillestrom vs Brann?
There is a 59% probability of both teams scoring, with both sides having seen BTTS in four of their last five matches and neither keeping a clean sheet recently.
How likely is over 2.5 goals in this match?
The probability for over 2.5 goals is 62%, supported by Brann's 77% season rate for this market and Lillestrom's 55%.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Lillestrom vs Brann: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 18 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More Lillestrom vs Brann Resources
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Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results