Hansa Rostock vs Stuttgart II Predictions
3. Liga · Germany
Hansa Rostock
Full Time
3 - 2
AI predicted 2 - 1
Stuttgart II
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Match Result
8.2/10Late Voglsammer Strike Seals 3-2 Thriller for Hansa Rostock Over Stuttgart II
Hansa Rostock edged a pulsating 3-2 victory over Stuttgart II at the Ostseestadion, with Andi Voglsammer's late goal proving decisive in a match packed with drama and momentum swings. The hosts struck first through Voglsammer in the 23rd minute, but were pegged back twice in the second half as Stuttgart II, enjoying the lion's share of possession, fought back valiantly. Ultimately, Voglsammer's 87th-minute strike settled a contest that saw both sides exchange blows in an open, attacking encounter. Stuttgart II controlled possession with 59% and outshot their hosts 14 to 12, but Hansa Rostock were more clinical, firing 7 shots on target to Stuttgart II's 4. Both teams picked up a yellow card apiece in a match that was high on intensity but largely played in the right spirit. The result lifts Rostock after a nervy second half, while Stuttgart II will rue missed opportunities to take something from the game.
🔥 AI Prediction Report
CERTIFIED WPredicted
2 - 1
Actual
3 - 2
💰 Bet Results1/1 hit
Key Moments
23' — Goal
Andi Voglsammer opens the scoring for Hansa Rostock, finishing a swift attack.
50' — Goal
Rostock double their lead, putting Stuttgart II on the back foot early in the second half.
54' — Goal
E. Redzepi pulls one back for Stuttgart II, sparking their resurgence.
65' — Goal
Stuttgart II complete the comeback, leveling the score at 2-2.
87' — Goal
Voglsammer nets his second and the match-winner, breaking Stuttgart II hearts late on.
Yellow cards' — Discipline
Both sides receive a yellow card each in a competitive but fair contest.
Hansa Rostock
Rostock made the most of their chances, showing attacking intent despite conceding possession for long stretches. Their 4-4-2 formation allowed them to strike quickly in transition, and the partnership of Voglsammer and Kopacz up front provided a constant threat. Defensively, they were stretched at times by Stuttgart II's midfield dominance but held firm when it mattered, especially after conceding twice in the second half. The late winner was a testament to their resilience and ability to capitalize on key moments.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Stuttgart II
Stuttgart II impressed with their technical quality and ball retention, dictating play with 59% possession and registering 14 shots. Their 4-1-4-1 setup allowed them to flood the midfield and create chances, particularly in the second half when they came from behind twice. However, a lack of cutting edge in front of goal and some lapses in concentration at the back ultimately cost them. Despite their dominance in spells, they left Rostock empty-handed after conceding late.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Hansa Rostock lined up in a classic 4-4-2, focusing on quick transitions and direct play through their front two. While they struggled to impose themselves in midfield, their wide players provided crucial support, and their forwards capitalized on the limited chances created. Stuttgart II, in contrast, deployed a 4-1-4-1 system, dominating the ball and using their midfield numbers to control tempo and territory. Their ability to push numbers forward after going behind twice was impressive, but it left them exposed on the counter, particularly late in the game as they chased a winner. Substitutions from both sides aimed to inject fresh legs and maintain intensity, but Rostock's tactical discipline in defense and opportunism in attack ultimately made the difference.
Turning Point
Voglsammer's 87th-minute strike, coming just as Stuttgart II were pressing for a winner, swung the match decisively in Rostock's favor.
Man of the Match
Andi Voglsammer
Delivered two vital goals, including the late winner, and led the line with authority throughout.
Hansa Rostock vs Stuttgart II: Match Preview
Hansa Rostock enter this fixture unbeaten in the league, sitting third with eight points and an attack that has produced 11 goals in four games. Their home form has been solid if unspectacular, drawing both matches at Ostseestadion, but their overall offensive output is among the best in the division. Stuttgart II, currently ninth, have been inconsistent but dangerous on the road, winning two of three away matches while conceding four times in those games.
The statistical profile of this match is shaped by both teams' high goal involvement and lack of clean sheets. Rostock's matches average 4.75 total goals across the last four, and they have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five. Stuttgart II's away record is similar, with 5 goals for and 4 against in three league trips. Both sides average at least 1.5 goals scored per game, and each has seen BTTS in three of their last five league matches. Set-piece data is limited, but Rostock's 12 corners in their last home outing suggest a team that applies pressure.
The model projects a match with a high probability of over 2.5 goals (62%) and both teams scoring (60%). Rostock's superior attacking numbers and home advantage make them favourites (46% win probability), but Stuttgart II's away scoring threat and the defensive vulnerabilities on both sides mean a draw or high-scoring stalemate is also plausible. The most likely result is a 2-1 home win, but volatility in early season form makes a wider score range possible.
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Expected goals · model says 1.80
Expected goals · model says 1.30
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS: Yes
61%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Hansa Rostock vs Stuttgart II Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Hansa Rostock vs Stuttgart II that most previews miss.
- 1Hansa Rostock have not kept a clean sheet in any of their last five matches, conceding 12 goals in that span.
- 2Stuttgart II's away games average 3 goals per game this season, with two wins and one defeat.
- 3Eight of the last ten head-to-head meetings have produced at least three total goals.
Who do you think wins: Hansa Rostock vs Stuttgart II?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Hansa Rostock vs Stuttgart II(1)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have seen at least three goals in 75% of their league matches this season, with Hansa Rostock averaging 2.75 goals scored and 2 conceded per game, and Stuttgart II conceding 1.75 per game.
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More 3. Liga Predictions
The Case For This Hansa Rostock vs Stuttgart II Prediction
This fixture brings together two sides with high-scoring tendencies but contrasting defensive records. Hansa Rostock have yet to lose in the league and sit third, having scored 11 and conceded 8 in just four games. Stuttgart II, mid-table, have shown attacking intent on their travels but remain vulnerable at the back, particularly away from home. The statistical matchup points to a game defined by attacking output and defensive frailty. Rostock's home matches average 4 goals per game, and they have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five. Stuttgart II's away games also trend high, with 5 goals scored and 4 conceded in three matches. Both teams have seen BTTS in at least three of their last five, and neither side has managed a clean sheet in the league so far. Corners and cards rates are moderate, but fouls and bookings could rise given both sides' aggressive approaches. Given the underlying rates, the model expects a match with multiple goals, with Rostock's superior attacking numbers (2.75 goals per game) and home advantage tilting the balance. The likeliest outcome is a narrow home win in a contest where both sides are likely to score, but defensive lapses on either side could easily see the scoreline shift.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Hansa Rostock average 2.75 goals scored and 2 conceded per league match this season.
- →Stuttgart II have conceded in every league game and average 1.75 goals conceded per match.
Match Context
- →Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 75% of their league fixtures.
🚩 Hansa Rostock vs Stuttgart II Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.7 corners for Hansa Rostock and 4.6 for Stuttgart II, for an expected total of 10.3. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (57%). Over 8.5: 70% · Over 10.5: 45%.
How Hansa Rostock and Stuttgart II Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Hansa Rostock vs Stuttgart II Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Hansa Rostocklast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Stuttgart IIlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Hansa Rostock are unbeaten in their last four league matches, with a 'DWLDW' form string and an attack firing at 2.75 goals per game. Stuttgart II have alternated wins and losses, their 'WLLWL' form reflecting inconsistency, but their two away victories show they travel with intent. Both teams have defensive issues, as neither has kept a clean sheet in the league.
Hansa Rostock vs Stuttgart II — Last 6 Matches
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 83.33% of games this season
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.6 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 83.33% of games this season
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Hansa Rostock vs Stuttgart II
Rostock hold a strong recent head-to-head advantage, winning six of the last ten meetings and scoring five in the most recent encounter. Stuttgart II have struggled at Ostseestadion, managing just one draw in their last five visits. High-scoring games are the norm in this fixture, with eight of the last ten producing at least three goals.
Hansa Rostock vs Stuttgart II Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
6
Hansa Rostock wins
1
Draws
3
Stuttgart II wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Hansa Rostock vs Stuttgart II
Bookmaker odds are unavailable, so direct value assessment is not possible. However, the model's high probabilities for over 2.5 goals and both teams to score suggest these markets would merit close attention if odds become available. The home win probability (46%) is in line with Rostock's underlying attacking rates and home advantage.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Hansa Rostock vs Stuttgart II
- ⚠️Early season sample sizes increase uncertainty in both teams' true defensive levels.
- ⚠️Absence of bookmaker odds limits ability to identify value edges.
- ⚠️No injuries reported, but lineups are not confirmed at this stage.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Hansa Rostock 2–1 Stuttgart IIThe model calls a 2-1 win for Hansa Rostock, driven by their league-best attacking rate of 2.75 goals per game and Stuttgart II's record of conceding in every match. The greatest risk to this forecast is the volatility of early season defensive performances and the possibility of both sides' attacking output regressing to the mean.
Hansa Rostock vs Stuttgart II: Common Questions
Who will win Hansa Rostock vs Stuttgart II?
Hansa Rostock are modelled as 46% likely to win, with the draw at 30% and Stuttgart II at 24%. Rostock's unbeaten league start and superior scoring rate give them the edge, but Stuttgart II's away form keeps the contest open.
Will both teams score in Hansa Rostock vs Stuttgart II?
There is a 60% probability of both teams scoring, as neither side has kept a clean sheet in the league and both average at least 1.5 goals scored per game.
How likely is over 2.5 goals in Hansa Rostock vs Stuttgart II?
The model gives a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals, supported by both teams seeing at least three goals in 75% of their league matches so far.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Hansa Rostock vs Stuttgart II: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 9 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.