Stuttgart II vs FC Ingolstadt 04 Predictions
3. Liga · Germany
Stuttgart II
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
FC Ingolstadt 04
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Recommended Bets: Stuttgart II vs FC Ingolstadt 04
Stuttgart II vs FC Ingolstadt 04: Match Preview
Stuttgart II enter this fixture sitting 12th, with a negative goal difference but a recent uptick in results, having won three of their last five and scoring in every match. Ingolstadt, fifth in the table and three points ahead, are in stronger form (WWDWW), with only one defeat in their last six and a notably solid away record (3W, 2D, 1L).
The statistical matchup points to an open contest: Stuttgart II's home games average 3.67 goals and they have kept just one clean sheet in six at home, while Ingolstadt away matches are tighter (5 conceded in 6), but the visitors have scored in every away league game. Both teams' last five league matches have seen them score in every outing, and over 60% of both sides' league fixtures have gone over 2.5 goals. Set-piece threat is moderate on both sides, with corners averaging just above 4 per game per team.
Given the attacking rates and defensive inconsistencies, the model expects a game with multiple goals and both teams likely to score. Ingolstadt's superior away defensive record and greater consistency tilt the probabilities in their favour, but Stuttgart II's high shot volume (12.6 per match last five) and attacking intent at home mean they should contribute to the scoreline.
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Expected goals · model says 1.35
Expected goals · model says 1.70
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
BTTS: Yes
61%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Stuttgart II vs FC Ingolstadt 04 Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Stuttgart II vs FC Ingolstadt 04 that most previews miss.
- 1Stuttgart II have failed to keep a clean sheet in 85% of their league matches this season.
- 2Ingolstadt's only away defeat came against a top-four side; otherwise, they've conceded just 5 goals in 6 away games.
- 3Three of the last four H2Hs have finished with both teams scoring and at least three total goals.
Who do you think wins: Stuttgart II vs FC Ingolstadt 04?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Stuttgart II vs FC Ingolstadt 04(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: FC Ingolstadt 04 Win
Ingolstadt have a stronger away record (3W, 2D, 1L, 8:5 goals), are five places higher in the table, and Stuttgart II have struggled for home clean sheets (15.4% season rate).
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams are above 60% for over 2.5 goals this season (Stuttgart II 69.2%, Ingolstadt 61.5%) and neither side has kept more than 30% clean sheets.
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BTTS: Yes
Stuttgart II have failed to score in none of their last 5, and Ingolstadt's last 5 have seen BTTS in 4 matches; both average at least 1.4 goals for and against per game.
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More 3. Liga Predictions
The Case For This Stuttgart II vs FC Ingolstadt 04 Prediction
Statistically, this is a mid-table attack-minded home side hosting a top-five team with a robust away record. Stuttgart II's matches average 3.46 goals per game, and their home form is erratic (2W, 1D, 3L, 10:12 goals). Ingolstadt, meanwhile, have lost just once away and concede less than a goal per away match. Recent form gives a slight edge to Ingolstadt, who have taken 13 points from their last 5 league games.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Stuttgart II's home matches average 3.67 goals (10 scored, 12 conceded in 6).
- →Ingolstadt have a +3 away goal difference (8:5 in 6) and 50% clean sheet rate away.
Match Context
- →Both sides have scored in all of their last 5 league matches.
🚩 Stuttgart II vs FC Ingolstadt 04 Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.3 corners for Stuttgart II and 5 for FC Ingolstadt 04, for an expected total of 10.3. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (58%). Over 8.5: 70% · Over 10.5: 46%.
How Stuttgart II and FC Ingolstadt 04 Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Stuttgart II vs FC Ingolstadt 04 Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Stuttgart IIlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
FC Ingolstadt 04last 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Stuttgart II have found some momentum, winning three of their last five and scoring in every match, but remain inconsistent at home. Ingolstadt are in even better form, unbeaten in five league matches and with a strong away record, conceding less than a goal per away game.
Stuttgart II vs FC Ingolstadt 04 — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Over 2.5 goals in 69.23% of games this season
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +High-volume attack — 15 shots/game
What History Says: Stuttgart II vs FC Ingolstadt 04
Stuttgart II have a slight edge in the recent head-to-head, winning both previous home meetings and three of the last four encounters featuring at least three goals. However, the overall sample is small and recent results suggest both teams are capable of scoring.
Stuttgart II vs FC Ingolstadt 04 Head-to-Head History
Last 4 meetings between these sides
2
Stuttgart II wins
1
Draws
1
FC Ingolstadt 04 wins
Things to Watch: Stuttgart II vs FC Ingolstadt 04
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value cannot be quantified.
- ⚠️Small H2H sample (4 matches) with no recent clear dominance.
- ⚠️Both teams have shown volatility in defensive performance; goal variance risk is high.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Stuttgart II 1–2 FC Ingolstadt 04The model projects a 2-1 away win for Ingolstadt, primarily driven by their strong away defensive record (0.83 goals conceded per away game) and Stuttgart II's vulnerability at home. The biggest risk is Stuttgart II's attacking volatility—if they convert a higher share of their 12+ shots per game, a high-scoring draw or home win is plausible.
Stuttgart II vs FC Ingolstadt 04: Common Questions
Who will win Stuttgart II vs FC Ingolstadt 04?
The model gives FC Ingolstadt 04 a 43% chance of victory, with Stuttgart II at 26% and the draw at 31%. Ingolstadt's superior away form and defensive record make them slight favourites.
Will both teams score in Stuttgart II vs Ingolstadt?
Both teams have scored in 3 of Stuttgart II's last 5 and 4 of Ingolstadt's last 5 league games. The model estimates a 59% probability for both teams to score.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in Stuttgart II vs Ingolstadt?
Yes, the probability for over 2.5 goals is 61%, supported by both teams' high season rates (Stuttgart II 69%, Ingolstadt 62%) and recent goal-rich matches.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Stuttgart II vs FC Ingolstadt 04: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 15 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.