Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde Predictions

Harrogate Town PredictionsAFC Fylde PredictionsFA CupH2H Stats
Prediction by The Numbers Desk — No extreme form or market signal — routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
FA CupFA Cup · England
medium confidence
Harrogate Town

Harrogate Town

AI Predicted Score

1 - 2

AFC Fylde

AFC Fylde

🗓️ Saturday, 7 Nov 2026 at 15:00 GMT (venue time) · 15:00 UTC (your time)📍 Exercise Stadium, Harrogate

Win Probability (1X2)

Harrogate Town 28%Draw 29%AFC Fylde 43%

Best Value Pick

Match Result: AFC Fylde Win

Read the Preview Play With the Prediction See the Value Calls View Team Form

Recommended Bets: Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde

Match Result: AFC Fylde Win
6/10
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
6/10

Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde: Match Preview

Harrogate Town enter this FA Cup clash with a mixed run of results, alternating wins and losses in their last five outings. Their home form remains a relative strength, highlighted by a 3-1 win over Bury in the previous round, but a 0-3 defeat at Carlisle last time out exposed defensive vulnerabilities. AFC Fylde, meanwhile, arrive buoyed by back-to-back league wins and a 5-0 cup victory, with their attack firing at 2.6 goals per game over the last five matches.

Statistically, the matchup tilts towards an open contest. Harrogate's recent home matches have averaged two goals for and one against, but their clean sheet rate is low (0% in cup play). AFC Fylde's attack has been prolific, though their only away result in the last five was a heavy 0-4 loss, raising questions about defensive stability on the road. Both sides show a strong first-half scoring profile (six first-half goals each in the last five), suggesting early action. Cards and corners data are sparse, but Harrogate's recent matches have averaged 0.4 yellows per game.

The model projects a narrow away win, with AFC Fylde's superior scoring rate and recent head-to-head success the decisive factors. Expect both teams to find the net, but Fylde's sharper attack and Harrogate's tendency to concede should see the visitors edge a high-tempo cup tie.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Harrogate Town1.30

Expected goals · model says 1.30

AFC Fylde1.60

Expected goals · model says 1.60

Win Probability
Harrogate Town 31% Draw 24% AFC Fylde 44%

Over 2.5 Goals

55%

BTTS: Yes

58%

Likely Scores

1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
28%
29%
43%
Harrogate Town 28%Draw 29%AFC Fylde 43%
Both Teams to Score
54%
46%
Yes 54%No 46%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
57%
43%
Over 2.5 57%Under 2.5 43%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde that most previews miss.

  • 1Six of the combined last ten matches for these sides have gone over 2.5 goals.
  • 2AFC Fylde have scored in the first half in four of their last five matches, totalling six first-half goals.
  • 3Harrogate Town have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last four home or neutral FA Cup ties.

Who do you think wins: Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

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The Case For This Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde Prediction

This fixture pairs two National League sides in solid attacking form, with AFC Fylde's recent scoring output and away record tipping the balance. Harrogate Town have alternated between strong home performances and defensive lapses, while AFC Fylde have shown a sharper edge in the final third. The underlying rates suggest a competitive, open FA Cup tie with a slight edge to the visitors.

Key Factors at a Glance

Attack

  • →AFC Fylde average 2.6 goals scored per game across their last five matches, compared to 1.6 for Harrogate Town.

Defence

  • →Harrogate Town have kept just one clean sheet in their last five, conceding 1.2 per game.

Match Context

  • →Head-to-head: AFC Fylde have won three of the last seven meetings, including a 2-1 away win at Harrogate in September 2026.

How Harrogate Town and AFC Fylde Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.

Harrogate TownHarrogate Townlast 5 matches
G. ThomsonXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

B. Hobsonsub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

J. HmamiXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

C. McGuckinXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

E. TaylorXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

AFC FyldeAFC Fyldelast 5 matches
M. Matthews Lewis
3 goals in 5
60%

Scoring consistently

Cedric Julien Main
3 goals in 5
60%

Scoring consistently

J. Morris
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

L. McCormick
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

L. Thomas
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

D. Mayor
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Harrogate Town's recent form is inconsistent, alternating wins and losses with a 3-1 home victory over Bury but a heavy 0-3 defeat at Carlisle. AFC Fylde have won four of their last five, including a 5-0 FA Cup win and two consecutive league victories, signalling stronger momentum.

Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde — Last 2 Matches

Harrogate TownHarrogate TownLast 2 results
W3-1
D1-1
Wvs Bury3-1
D@ Bury1-1

Strengths

  • +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
AFC FyldeAFC FyldeLast 1 results
W5-0
Wvs Atherton Collieries5-0

Strengths

  • +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
  • +Prolific attack — 2.6 goals/game (last 5)
  • +100% clean sheet rate this season
  • +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season

What History Says: Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde

AFC Fylde have won three of the last seven meetings, including a 2-1 away win at Harrogate in September 2026. Draws have also been frequent, but Fylde have generally found more attacking success in this fixture.

Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde Head-to-Head History

Last 7 meetings between these sides

1

Harrogate Town wins

3

Draws

3

AFC Fylde wins

14%43% draws43%
15 Sept 26Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde1-2
10 Apr 20Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde0-0
29 Feb 20AFC Fylde vs Harrogate Town2-3
26 Aug 19AFC Fylde vs Harrogate Town0-0
1 May 19AFC Fylde vs Harrogate Town3-1
29 Dec 18Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde1-2

Things to Watch: Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde

  • ⚠️No bookmaker odds available at time of analysis; value edges cannot be calculated.
  • ⚠️Season sample sizes are limited, especially for away records and cup-specific data.
  • ⚠️Lack of detailed recent match stats (shots, possession) reduces granularity of model inputs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Harrogate Town 1–2 AFC Fylde

AFC Fylde's recent scoring output and head-to-head record give them the edge, with a 2-1 away win the likeliest outcome. The single strongest data point is Fylde's 2.6 goals per game over their last five, against a Harrogate side conceding 1.2 per game and struggling for clean sheets. The main risk is Fylde's patchy away defensive record, which could allow Harrogate to force a draw if they capitalise on early chances.

Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde: Common Questions

Who will win Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde?

The model gives AFC Fylde a 43% chance of victory, compared to 28% for Harrogate Town and 29% for the draw. Fylde's recent scoring form and head-to-head record tip the balance slightly in their favour.

Will both teams score in Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde?

There is a 54% probability of both teams scoring, with Harrogate conceding in four of their last five and AFC Fylde averaging 2.6 goals scored per game recently.

Is over 2.5 goals likely in Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde?

The probability for over 2.5 goals is 57%, supported by both teams' recent matches averaging above 2.5 goals and AFC Fylde's last five producing a total of 19 goals.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 31 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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