Hassania Agadir vs Kawkab Marrakech Predictions

Botola ProBotola Pro · Morocco
high confidence
Hassania Agadir

Hassania Agadir

Full Time

1 - 1

AI predicted 1 - 0

Kawkab Marrakech

Kawkab Marrakech

🗓️ Sunday, 5 Jul 2026 at 18:00 GMT+1 (venue time) · 17:00 UTC (your time)📍 Stade Adrar, Agadir

Win Probability (1X2)

Hassania Agadir 39%Draw 37%Kawkab Marrakech 24%

Best Value Pick

Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5

Match Result

6.5/10

Honours Even as Hassania Agadir and Kawkab Marrakech Share the Spoils in Agadir

Hassania Agadir and Kawkab Marrakech played out a 1-1 draw at Stade Adrar, with both sides finding the net in a lively first half but unable to break the deadlock after the interval. The hosts struck first in the 19th minute, setting the tone for an open contest, but Kawkab Marrakech responded swiftly, equalizing just seven minutes later. Despite flashes of attacking intent from both teams, the match ultimately settled into a tactical battle, with neither side able to carve out a decisive chance in the second half. The match was marked by a competitive edge, as evidenced by a total of six yellow cards—two for Hassania Agadir and four for Kawkab Marrakech. Both teams showed periods of control but lacked the clinical edge to secure all three points, leaving the home fans and traveling supporters to reflect on a hard-fought but ultimately balanced encounter.

💪 AI Prediction Report

DECENT HIT

Predicted

1 - 0

⚡

Actual

1 - 1

❌Result
❌BTTS
✅O/U 2.5
❌Score

💰 Bet Results2/3 hit

under/over 2.5 goals — under
✅
1X2 — draw
✅
BTTS — no
❌

Key Moments

19' — Goal

Hassania Agadir take the lead with a well-worked goal.

26' — Goal

Kawkab Marrakech equalize, restoring parity just seven minutes later.

First Half' — Yellow Cards

Both teams pick up cautions, setting a combative tone.

Second Half' — Yellow Cards

Kawkab Marrakech accumulate four yellows, walking a disciplinary tightrope.

Hassania Agadir

Hassania Agadir

6.5/10

Hassania Agadir started brightly, capitalizing on early momentum to take the lead in the 19th minute. Their attacking play in the opening stages was positive, but after conceding the equalizer, they struggled to regain their rhythm. The hosts maintained their composure despite picking up two yellow cards, but their inability to convert pressure into further goals proved costly. In the second half, Hassania Agadir looked to push forward but were met with resolute defending from the visitors.

Key Players

Hassania Agadir Goalscorer: Opened the scoring in the 19th minute, giving his side an early advantage.

Strengths

Strong start and early goalDisciplined defensive shape after conceding

Weaknesses

Lack of cutting edge in the final thirdLost momentum after conceding equalizer
Kawkab Marrakech

Kawkab Marrakech

6.5/10

Kawkab Marrakech showed impressive resilience, responding quickly to Hassania Agadir's opener with an equalizer in the 26th minute. Their defensive organization was tested in the second half, especially after accumulating four yellow cards, but they managed to keep the hosts at bay. While their attacking play lacked sustained threat after the equalizer, Kawkab Marrakech's discipline and work rate ensured they left Agadir with a valuable point.

Key Players

Kawkab Marrakech Goalscorer: Scored the crucial equalizer in the 26th minute to bring his team level.

Strengths

Quick response after concedingSolid defensive organization under pressure

Weaknesses

Discipline issues with four yellow cardsLimited attacking threat in the second half

Tactical Analysis

With lineups unavailable, both sides appeared to favor balanced approaches, showing attacking intent early before settling into more cautious patterns after the first-half goals. Hassania Agadir looked to assert themselves with early pressing and direct play, while Kawkab Marrakech absorbed pressure and looked to counter. The accumulation of yellow cards, particularly for the visitors, suggested a physical midfield battle and tactical fouling to disrupt rhythm. Neither side was able to unlock the opposition defense in the second half, indicating solid defensive organization and perhaps a lack of creativity in the final third.

Turning Point

Kawkab Marrakech's equalizer in the 26th minute shifted the momentum, halting Hassania Agadir's early dominance and setting the stage for a more balanced contest.

Man of the Match

Kawkab Marrakech Goalscorer

His timely equalizer ensured his side left Agadir with a point and disrupted the hosts' momentum.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Hassania Agadir0.90

Expected goals · model says 0.90

Kawkab Marrakech0.65

Expected goals · model says 0.65

Win Probability
Hassania Agadir 39% Draw 36% Kawkab Marrakech 25%

Over 2.5 Goals

20%

BTTS: Yes

28%

Likely Scores

0-0 · 1-0 · 0-1

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Hassania Agadir vs Kawkab Marrakech Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
39%
37%
24%
Hassania Agadir 39%Draw 37%Kawkab Marrakech 24%
Both Teams to Score
28%
72%
Yes 28%No 72%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
23%
77%
Over 2.5 23%Under 2.5 77%
Corners (Over/Under 9.5)
33%
67%
Over 9.5 33%Under 9.5 67%

Who do you think wins: Hassania Agadir vs Kawkab Marrakech?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

More Botola Pro Predictions

The Case For This Hassania Agadir vs Kawkab Marrakech Prediction

This fixture pits two mid-table sides with similar season records and recent form, both struggling to score goals but relatively solid defensively in recent outings. Hassania Agadir have the home advantage and a slightly better form string, while Kawkab Marrakech have been poor away from home, winning just once on the road all season. The game is likely to be tight, with few clear chances, and could be decided by a single goal or end in a draw.

Key Factors at a Glance

Recent Form

  • →Kawkab Marrakech have only won 1 of 14 away matches this season.

Attack

  • →Both teams average under 1 goal scored per game in the last 5 matches.
  • →H2H history is balanced, with 4 draws in last 10 and generally low-scoring games.

Defence

  • →Hassania Agadir have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 5.

Match Context

  • →Low over 2.5 goal percentages for both sides (46% and 32%).

🚩 Hassania Agadir vs Kawkab Marrakech Corners Prediction

low confidence
8.4expected total corners
Over 33%
Under 67%
Over 9.5Under 9.5

Our corners model projects roughly 4.8 corners for Hassania Agadir and 3.6 for Kawkab Marrakech, for an expected total of 8.4. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (67%). Over 8.5: 46% · Over 10.5: 22%.

More corners tips:Over 9.5 →Under 9.5 →

How Hassania Agadir and Kawkab Marrakech Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Hassania Agadir vs Kawkab Marrakech Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.

Hassania AgadirHassania Agadirlast 5 matches
H. Ahadad
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

B. Bello Ilou
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

J. Tachtach
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Kawkab MarrakechKawkab Marrakechlast 5 matches
S. Cisse
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

Y. Raiani
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

C. Gnolou
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Hassania Agadir come into this match unbeaten in their last three (DDW), with two recent home wins and three clean sheets in five. Kawkab Marrakech have struggled, losing three of their last five and failing to score in three, but did pick up a win and a draw in their last two, hinting at some stabilization.

Hassania Agadir vs Kawkab Marrakech — Last 10 Matches

Hassania AgadirHassania AgadirLast 10 results
D1-1
L0-2
D1-1
D0-0
W1-0
L1-2
W1-0
W1-0
D0-0
L2-3
Dvs Kawkab Marrakech1-1
L@ Raja Casablanca0-2
Dvs CR Khemis Zemamra1-1
D@ CODM Meknès0-0
Wvs UTS Rabat1-0
L@ Yacoub El Mansour1-2
Wvs Renaissance Berkane1-0
W@ Olympique Dcheïra1-0
Dvs FUS Rabat0-0
L@ Wydad AC2-3

Concerns

  • −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
Kawkab MarrakechKawkab MarrakechLast 10 results
D1-1
D0-0
D1-1
W2-0
L0-2
L0-2
L0-1
W2-0
D0-0
W3-1
D@ Hassania Agadir1-1
Dvs Maghreb Fès0-0
D@ Difaa EL Jadida1-1
Wvs FUS Rabat2-0
L@ FAR Rabat0-2
Lvs Ittihad Tanger0-2
L@ Olympique Safi0-1
Wvs Raja Casablanca2-0
D@ UTS Rabat0-0
Wvs CODM Meknès3-1

What History Says: Hassania Agadir vs Kawkab Marrakech

The head-to-head record is balanced, with draws common and neither team dominating. Recent encounters have often been low-scoring, and the last league meeting saw Kawkab Marrakech win 2-1 at home, but Hassania Agadir have a good home record in this matchup historically.

Hassania Agadir vs Kawkab Marrakech Head-to-Head History

Last 10 meetings between these sides

3

Hassania Agadir wins

5

Draws

2

Kawkab Marrakech wins

30%50% draws20%
5 Jul 26Hassania Agadir vs Kawkab Marrakech1-1
7 Mar 26Kawkab Marrakech vs Hassania Agadir2-1
29 Aug 25Hassania Agadir vs Kawkab Marrakech0-2
27 Mar 24Kawkab Marrakech vs Hassania Agadir1-2
3 Mar 21Kawkab Marrakech vs Hassania Agadir1-1
27 Mar 19Hassania Agadir vs Kawkab Marrakech5-1

Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Hassania Agadir vs Kawkab Marrakech

Without bookmaker odds, it's not possible to quantify value edges. However, the model suggests that markets such as under 2.5 goals and BTTS 'no' would be favored if odds are available at typical levels, given the defensive trends and lack of attacking output from both sides.

Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.

1X2

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Hassania Agadir Win1.9539.0%-12.3%
Drawvalue2.9037.0%+2.5%
Kawkab Marrakech Win3.8024.0%-2.3%

Over/Under 2.5

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Over 2.52.4023.0%-18.7%
Under 2.5value1.5377.0%+11.6%

Both Teams Score

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Yes—28.0%—
No—72.0%—

Best Value Markets Found by the Model

1X2: Draw @ 2.90EV +0.073
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5 @ 1.53EV +0.178

EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.

Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.

Things to Watch: Hassania Agadir vs Kawkab Marrakech

  • ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
  • ⚠️Some match stats (shots, corners, possession) are missing for recent games, reducing confidence in set piece and attacking threat assessment.
  • ⚠️Lineups for this fixture are not available; late changes could impact predictions.
  • ⚠️Discipline/corner data is limited, so card/corner predictions are less reliable.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Hassania Agadir vs Kawkab Marrakech: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 2 July 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

More Hassania Agadir vs Kawkab Marrakech Resources