Kawkab Marrakech vs Hassania Agadir Predictions
Botola Pro · Morocco
Kawkab Marrakech
Full Time
2 - 3
AI predicted 1 - 1
Hassania Agadir
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Match Result
8/10Late Drama as Hassania Agadir Edge Five-Goal Thriller in Marrakech
In a pulsating encounter at El Harti Stadium, Hassania Agadir emerged 3-2 victors over Kawkab Marrakech, sealing the win with a dramatic late goal. The visitors stunned the home crowd with an early opener in the 3rd minute, but Kawkab fought back, equalizing just past the half-hour mark and taking the lead midway through the second half. However, Hassania Agadir showed resilience, leveling the score minutes later before snatching all three points with a decisive strike in the 85th minute. The match was a rollercoaster, with both sides exchanging blows and momentum swinging throughout. While Kawkab Marrakech looked to have turned the tide after their 63rd-minute goal, Hassania Agadir's spirited response and clinical finishing ultimately proved the difference. The contest was not without its edge, as three yellow cards were shown in total, reflecting the intensity and stakes on display.
💀 AI Prediction Report
DOWN BADPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
2 - 3
💰 Bet Results0/2 hit
Key Moments
3' — Goal
Hassania Agadir strike early to take the lead.
33' — Goal
Kawkab Marrakech equalize, restoring parity.
63' — Goal
Kawkab Marrakech complete the turnaround to lead 2-1.
68' — Goal
Hassania Agadir respond swiftly to level the score at 2-2.
85' — Goal
Hassania Agadir snatch a late winner to claim all three points.
N/A' — Yellow Cards
Two yellows for Kawkab, one for Agadir in a competitive affair.
Kawkab Marrakech
Kawkab Marrakech put in a spirited performance in front of their home fans, showing great character to recover from an early setback. Their equalizer in the 33rd minute and subsequent go-ahead goal in the 63rd suggested they might claim all three points. However, defensive lapses and a lack of composure in the closing stages saw them surrender their lead and ultimately fall to defeat. Despite flashes of attacking quality, Kawkab will rue missed opportunities to close out the match and a defense that failed to withstand Agadir's late pressure.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Hassania Agadir
Hassania Agadir started brightly, silencing the home crowd with a goal inside three minutes. Though they twice surrendered the lead, their determination never wavered. Quick responses after falling behind—especially the equalizer just five minutes after Kawkab's second—showed their mental strength. Their persistence paid off with a dramatic winner in the 85th minute, capping a memorable away performance. Agadir's ability to capitalize on key moments and maintain attacking intent throughout the match were central to their victory.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With lineups and formations unavailable, both sides nonetheless demonstrated tactical adaptability. Hassania Agadir's aggressive start paid immediate dividends, suggesting an attacking setup that pressed high from the outset. Kawkab Marrakech responded by growing into the game, likely adjusting their shape to gain midfield control and turn the tide after conceding early. The flurry of goals in the second half points to open play and a willingness from both managers to commit numbers forward, especially after falling behind. The match's ebb and flow, with rapid responses to goals, hints at tactical flexibility and perhaps a lack of defensive rigidity from both teams. The late winner for Agadir may have come as Kawkab pushed forward, leaving gaps at the back, which the visitors exploited with clinical precision.
Turning Point
Hassania Agadir's 85th-minute goal, which broke the deadlock and secured the victory.
Man of the Match
Hassania Agadir Goal Scorer (85')
Delivered the decisive late goal to win a thrilling contest for the visitors.
Kawkab Marrakech vs Hassania Agadir: Match Preview
Kawkab Marrakech and Hassania Agadir both enter this opening fixture with form lines defined by stalemates and defensive discipline. Across their last five matches, each side has managed just one win, with three draws apiece and only a single defeat. With both teams starting the season in the top four by default and no points yet on the board, early momentum and avoidance of defeat will be the priority.
The statistical matchup is defined by low attacking output: Kawkab average 0.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game in their last five, while Hassania's figures are even lower at 0.6 scored and 0.8 conceded. Neither side consistently creates high shot volumes (Kawkab 1 shot, Hassania 2 shots per game on average), and both have failed to score in two of their last five. The H2H record reinforces the pattern, with only one of the last ten meetings producing more than two goals and the last match ending 1-1.
Given these rates, the model expects a cagey contest with few clear chances and a high probability of a draw. The most likely scenario is a 1-1, but a goalless outcome is also plausible given the low BTTS and over 2.5 rates. Unless either attack finds unexpected sharpness, this fixture is set to be defined by defensive caution and a lack of open play opportunities.
🎮 Prediction Playground
Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.
Expected goals · model says 0.80
Expected goals · model says 0.65
Over 2.5 Goals
18%
BTTS: Yes
26%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 1-0 · 0-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Kawkab Marrakech vs Hassania Agadir Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Kawkab Marrakech vs Hassania Agadir that most previews miss.
- 1Kawkab Marrakech and Hassania Agadir have combined for just 7 goals in their last 10 head-to-head meetings, with six draws in that span.
- 2Both teams have kept two clean sheets in their last five matches, but have also failed to score twice each in that period.
- 3The average number of corners per game across their last five matches is under 2 per team, well below league average.
Who do you think wins: Kawkab Marrakech vs Hassania Agadir?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Kawkab Marrakech vs Hassania Agadir(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw
Both sides have drawn three of their last five matches and the last H2H ended 1-1; neither attack averages above one goal per game recently, and the statistical profile points to a low-event contest with a high likelihood of stalemate.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
The last five matches for both teams average under 1.5 total goals per game, and 77% model probability for under 2.5 is supported by just two BTTS results in that span and only one match with more than two goals in the last ten H2H.
Read more ↓
More Botola Pro Predictions
The Case For This Kawkab Marrakech vs Hassania Agadir Prediction
Statistically, this fixture projects as one of the lowest-scoring on the slate, with both teams trending towards draws and defensive solidity rather than attacking output. The model assigns the highest probability to a 1-1 scoreline, reflecting the near-identical rates in goals scored and conceded over the last five matches. With neither side showing a clear edge in form or firepower, the distribution is tightly packed around the draw and under-goals outcomes.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Both teams average below one goal scored per match over their last five fixtures.
- →Recent shot and chance creation numbers are well below league average for both sides.
Match Context
- →Three of the last five H2H meetings have ended in draws, including the most recent 1-1.
🚩 Kawkab Marrakech vs Hassania Agadir Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 3.6 corners for Kawkab Marrakech and 4.8 for Hassania Agadir, for an expected total of 8.4. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (67%). Over 8.5: 46% · Over 10.5: 22%.
How Kawkab Marrakech and Hassania Agadir Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Kawkab Marrakech vs Hassania Agadir Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Kawkab Marrakechlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Hassania Agadirlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Kawkab Marrakech approach this match on a run of three consecutive draws, having scored just four goals and conceded four in their last five. Hassania Agadir's recent form is similarly balanced, with one win, three draws, and one defeat, and only three goals scored in their last five. Both sides have managed two clean sheets but also struggled to find the net consistently.
Kawkab Marrakech vs Hassania Agadir — Last 1 Matches
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
What History Says: Kawkab Marrakech vs Hassania Agadir
Recent head-to-head encounters have been defined by draws and low scores, with five of the last ten meetings finishing level and only one match in that span producing more than two goals. The last clash ended 1-1, continuing a trend of tightly contested, low-event fixtures between these sides.
Kawkab Marrakech vs Hassania Agadir Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
2
Kawkab Marrakech wins
4
Draws
4
Hassania Agadir wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Kawkab Marrakech vs Hassania Agadir
With no bookmaker odds available, explicit value edges cannot be calculated. However, the model's high probability for the draw and under 2.5 goals indicates these markets would be the focus for value if odds were posted above 2.50 for the draw or 1.30 for under 2.5. The statistical profile offers little to support a strong lean towards either side or a high-scoring outcome.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Kawkab Marrakech vs Hassania Agadir
- ⚠️No season-long data available for home/away splits due to new campaign; all rates based on last five matches only.
- ⚠️Absence of bookmaker odds prevents explicit value calculation.
- ⚠️Small sample size for both teams' recent matches may exaggerate defensive or attacking trends.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Kawkab Marrakech 1–1 Hassania AgadirA 1-1 draw is the model's baseline, anchored by the near-identical scoring and concession rates for both sides and the recent H2H trend towards low-scoring stalemates. The strongest data point is the 0.8 goals for and against per game for both teams over their last five. The most plausible way this goes wrong is if one side capitalises on an early set piece or defensive lapse, but the underlying rates make a high-scoring or one-sided outcome unlikely.
Kawkab Marrakech vs Hassania Agadir: Common Questions
Who will win Kawkab Marrakech vs Hassania Agadir?
The model gives Kawkab Marrakech a 34% chance to win, Hassania Agadir a 25% chance, and the draw a 41% probability. Recent form and head-to-head history both point towards a stalemate.
Will there be over or under 2.5 goals in Kawkab Marrakech vs Hassania Agadir?
There's a 77% probability of under 2.5 goals, based on both teams averaging less than one goal scored per match in their last five and only one of their last ten meetings exceeding two goals.
Are both teams likely to score in this match?
The model assigns a 38% probability to both teams scoring, with both sides having failed to score in two of their last five matches and only two BTTS results in that span.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Kawkab Marrakech vs Hassania Agadir: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 17 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More Kawkab Marrakech vs Hassania Agadir Resources
Kawkab Marrakech Predictions
All Kawkab Marrakech fixtures & tips
Hassania Agadir Predictions
All Hassania Agadir fixtures & tips
Kawkab Marrakech vs Hassania Agadir Stats
Full H2H record & season stats
Botola Pro Predictions
All fixtures for this competition
Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results