Hassania Agadir vs UTS Rabat Predictions
Botola Pro · Morocco
Hassania Agadir
Full Time
1 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 1
UTS Rabat
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Match Result
6.8/10Last-Gasp Winner Lifts Hassania Agadir Over UTS Rabat in Dramatic Finish
Hassania Agadir snatched a dramatic 1-0 victory over UTS Rabat at the Stade Adrar, thanks to a stoppage-time winner that sent the home crowd into raptures. In a tightly contested affair with few clear chances for either side, both teams struggled to break the deadlock until the dying moments of the match. The decisive goal arrived in the 90th minute, sealing all three points for Hassania Agadir and breaking UTS Rabat’s resistance at the very last hurdle. The match was characterized by disciplined defending and a physical midfield battle, reflected in the two yellow cards apiece for both teams. With neither side able to assert clear dominance for most of the game, the contest seemed destined for a goalless draw before Agadir’s late heroics tipped the balance.
😅 AI Prediction Report
CLOSE BUT NO CIGARPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
1 - 0
💰 Bet Results1/3 hit
Key Moments
90' — Goal
Hassania Agadir score in the 90th minute to break the deadlock and seal victory.
Unknown' — Yellow Card
Hassania Agadir receive two yellow cards, reflecting a combative approach.
Unknown' — Yellow Card
UTS Rabat also pick up two yellow cards in a physical contest.
Hassania Agadir
Hassania Agadir showed grit and perseverance, maintaining focus in a match where clear-cut opportunities were at a premium. They kept their defensive shape well and matched UTS Rabat’s physicality in midfield, ultimately finding the breakthrough in the final minute of regular time. Their ability to keep composure under pressure and push for a winner paid off handsomely. While not always fluid in attack, Agadir’s willingness to fight until the last whistle was rewarded, and their late surge ensured a vital home win.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
UTS Rabat
UTS Rabat put in a solid defensive performance for much of the match, frustrating the hosts and keeping the game finely balanced. Their midfield worked tirelessly to disrupt Agadir’s rhythm, and they matched the home side’s intensity throughout. However, their inability to capitalize on any attacking moments and their lapse in concentration at the death proved costly. Despite their defensive organization, Rabat will rue their failure to hold on for a point after a disciplined display.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With both lineups unavailable, the match was nonetheless shaped by disciplined defensive structures and a physical midfield battle. Neither side was able to seize control or create a wealth of chances, suggesting a cautious approach from both managers. The match saw both teams commit tactical fouls to break up play, as evidenced by the four yellow cards shared equally. Hassania Agadir’s persistence to push forward late on, perhaps with attacking substitutions or a shift in formation, ultimately paid dividends as they found the winner in stoppage time. UTS Rabat’s compactness and focus on organization kept Agadir at bay for most of the match, but their inability to transition effectively into attack left them vulnerable to a late sucker punch. The game hinged on small margins, with set pieces and late pressure proving decisive.
Turning Point
The 90th-minute goal for Hassania Agadir, breaking the deadlock and deciding the match.
Man of the Match
Unknown (Hassania Agadir goalscorer)
Delivered the decisive moment with a stoppage-time winner to secure victory for his side.
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Expected goals · model says 1.05
Expected goals · model says 1.05
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
BTTS: Yes
42%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 0-1 · 1-0
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Hassania Agadir vs UTS Rabat Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Hassania Agadir vs UTS Rabat?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Hassania Agadir vs UTS Rabat(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw
Both teams are closely matched in form and league position, with a high draw rate for UTS Rabat (12 draws in 25 matches) and a balanced H2H record. The model assigns the highest probability to a draw outcome.
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Double Chance: Draw or UTS Rabat
UTS Rabat are unbeaten in their last 5, showing strong away resilience. The model gives X2 a 68% probability, reflecting UTS Rabat's recent form and Hassania Agadir's inconsistent home record.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams average just over 1 goal scored per game, and recent matches have been low-scoring. The model gives a 62% probability to under 2.5 goals, supported by UTS Rabat's season under 2.5 rate (72%).
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The Case For This Hassania Agadir vs UTS Rabat Prediction
This fixture brings together two sides in the lower mid-table, both recently improving defensively. Hassania Agadir have won their last two but have struggled for consistency at home, while UTS Rabat are unbeaten in five and have tightened up at the back, conceding just two in their last five. Both teams have a history of close, competitive matches, and with little to separate them in form or league standing, a low-scoring draw looks the likeliest outcome.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Both teams average just over 1 goal scored per game.
Defence
- →Both teams have 3 clean sheets in their last 5 matches.
Match Context
- →UTS Rabat have drawn 12 of 25 league games, the highest draw rate in the league.
- →Hassania Agadir's home record is inconsistent (4W, 3D, 5L).
- →Recent H2H meetings have often been close, with 3 of the last 7 ending in draws or one-goal margins.
How Hassania Agadir and UTS Rabat Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Hassania Agadir vs UTS Rabat Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Hassania Agadirlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
UTS Rabatlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Hassania Agadir come into this match on a two-game winning streak, having tightened up defensively with three clean sheets in their last five. UTS Rabat are unbeaten in their last five (WDWDW), showing improved defensive solidity and picking up crucial points to stay clear of the relegation zone. Both sides appear to be trending upwards after inconsistent spells earlier in the season.
Hassania Agadir vs UTS Rabat — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Defensively solid — 0.4 conceded/game
- +4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Defensively solid — 0.4 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Hassania Agadir vs UTS Rabat
Recent H2H meetings have been close, with three of the last four decided by a single goal or ending in a draw. Both sides have won away in this fixture, and BTTS has landed in four of the last seven, though the overall goal average is modest.
Hassania Agadir vs UTS Rabat Head-to-Head History
Last 8 meetings between these sides
4
Hassania Agadir wins
1
Draws
3
UTS Rabat wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Hassania Agadir vs UTS Rabat
With no bookmaker odds available, it's not possible to identify specific value bets. However, the model's highest probabilities are for a draw and under 2.5 goals, which would be the focus for value if odds above 2.70 for the draw or above 1.70 for under 2.5 were available.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Hassania Agadir vs UTS Rabat
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Key attacking/defensive stats like shots and possession are missing for both teams.
- ⚠️Recent lineups are incomplete, so injury or rotation impact is hard to assess.
- ⚠️Small sample size for corners and cards predictions.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Hassania Agadir vs UTS Rabat: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 18 June 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.