Hastings United vs Dulwich Hamlet Predictions

Prediction by The Numbers Desk โ€” No extreme form or market signal โ€” routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
FA TrophyFA Trophy ยท England
medium confidence
Hastings United

Hastings United

Full Time

2 - 1

AI predicted 1 - 2

Dulwich Hamlet

Dulwich Hamlet

๐Ÿ—“๏ธ Saturday, 26 Sept 2026 at 15:00 BST (venue time) ยท 14:00 UTC (your time)

Win Probability (1X2)

Hastings United 26%Draw 33%Dulwich Hamlet 41%

Best Value Pick

See full breakdown below

Match Result

6.5/10

Hastings United Edge Dulwich Hamlet in Tight FA Trophy Clash

Hastings United secured a hard-fought 2-1 victory over Dulwich Hamlet in the FA Trophy, prevailing in a match where both sides battled valiantly but the hosts ultimately found the decisive edge. Despite the lack of detailed match statistics, the scoreline tells the story of a competitive encounter, with Hastings United making the most of their opportunities to progress in the competition. Dulwich Hamlet put up a spirited fight and managed to get on the scoresheet, but Hastings Unitedโ€™s resilience and clinical finishing proved the difference. With no cards shown and a close final score, the match was played in good spirit and showcased the determination of both teams.

๐Ÿ’ช AI Prediction Report

DECENT HIT

Predicted

1 - 2

โšก

Actual

2 - 1

โŒResult
โœ…BTTS
โœ…O/U 2.5
โŒScore

Key Moments

Unknown' โ€” Goal

Hastings United open the scoring.

Unknown' โ€” Goal

Hastings United double their lead.

Unknown' โ€” Goal

Dulwich Hamlet pull one back to set up a tense finish.

Hastings United

Hastings United

7/10

Hastings United showed composure and efficiency, converting their chances to secure a narrow win. Their ability to hold off a late push from Dulwich Hamlet demonstrated defensive discipline and mental strength. While the lack of statistical data prevents a deeper dive, the two goals scored highlight their attacking intent and execution in key moments.

Key Players

Unknown: Scored for Hastings United
Unknown: Scored for Hastings United

Strengths

Clinical finishingDefensive resilienceMaintained composure under pressure

Weaknesses

Conceded a goal, indicating some vulnerability at the back
Dulwich Hamlet

Dulwich Hamlet

6.5/10

Dulwich Hamlet fought bravely and managed to breach the Hastings United defense, but ultimately fell just short. Their ability to keep the match close until the final whistle speaks to their determination and tactical organization, though they were unable to find the equalizer that would have kept their FA Trophy hopes alive.

Key Players

Unknown: Scored for Dulwich Hamlet

Strengths

Kept the match competitiveShowed attacking threat

Weaknesses

Unable to convert pressure into more goalsDefensive lapses allowed two goals

Tactical Analysis

With no lineups or formation data available, tactical specifics are limited. However, the close scoreline and absence of cards suggest a disciplined approach from both sides, with Hastings United likely focusing on compact defending after taking the lead. Dulwich Hamlet's ability to score indicates they found ways to break through, perhaps pushing forward in search of an equalizer late on.

Turning Point

Hastings United's second goal, which gave them a crucial cushion and ultimately proved decisive.

Man of the Match

Unknown

Scored a crucial goal to help secure Hastings United's win.

Hastings United vs Dulwich Hamlet: Match Preview

Hastings United have taken four points from their opening two competitive fixtures this season, but their attack has looked blunt, failing to score in three of their last five outings across all competitions. Dulwich Hamlet, by contrast, are in the midst of a three-game winning streak, having scored at least two goals in each of those matches and netting 11 times in their last five. With both sides looking to progress in the FA Trophy, the recent form lines give Dulwich Hamlet the edge in momentum and firepower.

The statistical matchup points to Dulwich Hamlet's attack as the decisive factor. They are averaging 2.2 goals per game over their last five, while Hastings United have conceded 1.4 per game in the same span and kept just two clean sheets. Hastings have struggled for consistency in front of goal, with only one BTTS result in their last five, whereas Dulwich Hamlet have seen both teams score in three of five and have shown a tendency to score in both halves. H2H data supports the likelihood of goals, with three of the last four meetings producing at least three goals.

The model projects a moderate goal environment, with a 1-2 away win the most likely outcome. Dulwich Hamlet's recent attacking rates and away scoring in the H2H tilt the probabilities in their favour, but Hastings' home record and the lack of comprehensive season data inject some uncertainty. Expect Dulwich Hamlet to create more chances and edge a competitive tie, but the margins are not wide.

๐ŸŽฎ Prediction Playground

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Hastings United1.15

Expected goals ยท model says 1.15

Dulwich Hamlet1.45

Expected goals ยท model says 1.45

Win Probability
Hastings United 30% Draw 26% Dulwich Hamlet 44%

Over 2.5 Goals

48%

BTTS: Yes

52%

Likely Scores

1-1 ยท 0-1 ยท 1-2

Play this match once with the probabilities above โ€” every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration โ€” not betting advice.

Hastings United vs Dulwich Hamlet Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
26%
33%
41%
Hastings United 26%Draw 33%Dulwich Hamlet 41%
Both Teams to Score
54%
46%
Yes 54%No 46%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
51%
49%
Over 2.5 51%Under 2.5 49%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Hastings United vs Dulwich Hamlet that most previews miss.

  • 1Dulwich Hamlet have scored in every match but one across their last five, averaging 2.2 goals per game.
  • 2Hastings United have failed to score in three of their last five, with only one BTTS result in that run.
  • 3Three of the last four H2H meetings have produced at least three goals, with both teams scoring in three.

Who do you think wins: Hastings United vs Dulwich Hamlet?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

More FA Trophy Predictions

The Case For This Hastings United vs Dulwich Hamlet Prediction

Dulwich Hamlet arrive with the stronger recent scoring record, averaging 2.2 goals per game across their last five and riding a three-match winning streak, while Hastings United have struggled for attacking output with three blanks in their last five. The underlying rates suggest a moderate goal environment, with both sides showing a tendency for matches to finish in the 2โ€“3 goal range. H2H history is balanced but Dulwich Hamlet have produced the more convincing away wins in the recent meetings, including a 3-0 and a 2-1 result in the last two seasons.

Key Factors at a Glance

Recent Form

  • โ†’Hastings United have failed to score in three of their last five matches.

Attack

  • โ†’Dulwich Hamlet average 2.2 goals scored per game in their last five, compared to Hastings United's 1.2.

Match Context

  • โ†’Three of the last four head-to-heads have seen both teams score.

How Hastings United and Dulwich Hamlet Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Hastings United vs Dulwich Hamlet Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals รท 5 games.

Hastings UnitedHastings Unitedlast 5 matches

No scorer data yet โ€” available after predictions are regenerated.

Dulwich HamletDulwich Hamletlast 5 matches
D. Smith
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

S. Baugh
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

D. Mills
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

L. Talla
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

O. Obi
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Hastings United's recent form is mixed, with a win and a draw in their only two competitive matches this season but three blanks in their last five overall. Dulwich Hamlet, meanwhile, have won three straight and scored 11 goals in their last five, signalling a sharper attacking edge heading into this tie.

Hastings United vs Dulwich Hamlet โ€” Last 3 Matches

Hastings UnitedHastings UnitedLast 3 results
W2-1
D1-1
W2-1
Wvs Dulwich Hamlet2-1
Dvs Bognor Regis Town1-1
Wvs Hendon2-1

Strengths

  • +Solid recent form โ€” 3+ wins in last 5
  • +Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of games this season
Dulwich HamletDulwich HamletLast 1 results
L1-2
L@ Hastings United1-2

Strengths

  • +4/5 wins in last 5 โ€” excellent form
  • +Prolific attack โ€” 2.8 goals/game (last 5)
  • +Both teams scoring in most recent games
  • +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season

What History Says: Hastings United vs Dulwich Hamlet

The head-to-head record is balanced, with one win each and two draws in the last four meetings. Notably, three of those matches saw both teams score, and Dulwich Hamlet's 3-0 away win in 2024 stands out as the most decisive result in recent memory.

Hastings United vs Dulwich Hamlet Head-to-Head History

Last 5 meetings between these sides

2

Hastings United wins

2

Draws

1

Dulwich Hamlet wins

40%40% draws20%
26 Sept 26Hastings United vs Dulwich Hamlet2-1
15 Feb 25Hastings United vs Dulwich Hamlet0-0
12 Oct 24Dulwich Hamlet vs Hastings United3-0
13 Jan 24Hastings United vs Dulwich Hamlet2-2
19 Aug 23Dulwich Hamlet vs Hastings United1-2

Things to Watch: Hastings United vs Dulwich Hamlet

  • โš ๏ธNo bookmaker odds available, so value and recommended bets are not provided.
  • โš ๏ธBoth teams have limited recent competitive data; most home stats come from a small sample.
  • โš ๏ธLack of shot and set piece data limits precision in attack/defence matchup.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk โ€” always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Hastings United 1โ€“2 Dulwich Hamlet

The model favours Dulwich Hamlet to win 2-1, primarily on the strength of their recent 2.2 goals-per-game scoring rate and three-match winning streak. The main risk to this projection is the small sample of competitive matches for Hastings United and their home advantage, which could see a tighter contest if their defence holds up.

Hastings United vs Dulwich Hamlet: Common Questions

Who will win Hastings United vs Dulwich Hamlet?

Dulwich Hamlet have a 41% probability of winning, compared to 26% for Hastings United and 33% for the draw. The away side's stronger recent scoring rate and three-match winning streak tip the balance in their favour.

Will both teams score in Hastings United vs Dulwich Hamlet?

There's a 54% probability of both teams scoring, with Dulwich Hamlet involved in three BTTS matches from their last five and the H2H showing both teams on the scoresheet in three of the last four meetings.

Is over 2.5 goals likely in Hastings United vs Dulwich Hamlet?

The probability for over 2.5 goals is 51%, reflecting recent H2H trends and Dulwich Hamlet's 2.2 goals per game average across their last five. Hastings United's attack is less prolific, which keeps the goal expectation moderate.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Hastings United vs Dulwich Hamlet: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline โ€” season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 19 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes โ€” see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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