Hebburn Town vs Guiseley AFC Predictions
FA Cup · England
Hebburn Town
Full Time
1 - 4
AI predicted 1 - 2
Guiseley AFC
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Guiseley AFC Win
Match Result
7/10Guiseley AFC Cruise Past Hebburn Town with Emphatic 4-1 FA Cup Win
Guiseley AFC delivered a commanding performance to dispatch Hebburn Town 4-1 in their FA Cup clash, stamping their authority early and never relinquishing control. The visitors' clinical edge in front of goal proved decisive, as they capitalized on their chances to build an unassailable lead. Hebburn Town, despite the backing of their home crowd, struggled to match Guiseley's intensity and attacking precision, ultimately succumbing to the visitors' superior quality. The match saw Guiseley AFC assert themselves from the outset, with a flurry of goals that left Hebburn Town chasing the game. While the hosts managed to find the net once, it was little more than a consolation as Guiseley maintained their composure and continued to threaten. The absence of any cards reflected a contest played in good spirit, but the gulf in class was evident throughout.
🔥 AI Prediction Report
CERTIFIED WPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
1 - 4
💰 Bet Results3/3 hit
Key Moments
Unknown' — Goal
Guiseley AFC open the scoring, setting the tone for the match.
Unknown' — Goal
Guiseley AFC double their lead, putting Hebburn Town under further pressure.
Unknown' — Goal
Hebburn Town pull one back, briefly raising hopes of a comeback.
Unknown' — Goal
Guiseley AFC restore their two-goal cushion, effectively quelling Hebburn's momentum.
Unknown' — Goal
Guiseley AFC add a fourth, sealing an emphatic victory.
Hebburn Town
Hebburn Town found themselves outmatched against a ruthless Guiseley side. Unable to contain the visitors' attacking forays, the hosts struggled to create clear-cut opportunities and were forced to play catch-up for much of the game. Their lone goal offered a brief glimmer of hope, but defensive frailties and a lack of cutting edge in attack ultimately proved costly.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Guiseley AFC
Guiseley AFC put on a clinical display, dispatching Hebburn Town with a four-goal haul that showcased their attacking prowess. The visitors controlled proceedings, converting their chances with ruthless efficiency and keeping the hosts at arm's length. Their ability to maintain composure and manage the game, especially after establishing a healthy lead, was key to their progression.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
While full formation details are unavailable, Guiseley AFC's approach was clearly more effective, as they imposed themselves in attack and maintained defensive solidity. Their ability to transition quickly and capitalize on scoring opportunities proved the difference, while Hebburn Town struggled to adapt and stem the tide. The lack of cards suggests both teams maintained discipline, but Guiseley's superior organization and execution in both phases of play stood out. Hebburn Town's attempts to claw their way back into the contest were met with swift responses from Guiseley, whose tactical discipline allowed them to absorb pressure and hit back decisively. The visitors' capacity to manage the game's tempo and exploit defensive gaps was key to their dominant display.
Turning Point
Guiseley AFC's third goal, which extinguished any hope of a Hebburn Town comeback and put the result beyond doubt.
Man of the Match
Unnamed Guiseley AFC Attacker
Instrumental in the visitors' attacking display, contributing crucial goals to secure victory.
Hebburn Town vs Guiseley AFC: Match Preview
Hebburn Town enter this FA Cup tie on a mixed run, with two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five outings, but their defensive record is a concern: they've shipped 12 goals in that stretch and failed to keep a clean sheet. Guiseley AFC, meanwhile, arrive with momentum from three wins and a draw in their last five, scoring 12 and conceding just 5, and have a strong recent record in this fixture.
The matchup tilts towards Guiseley AFC's attack against Hebburn Town's leaky defence. Guiseley's 2.4 goals per game over the last five contrasts sharply with Hebburn's 2.4 conceded, and Guiseley's last two away games have produced six goals in total. Both sides have been involved in high-scoring matches, with Hebburn seeing four of their last five go over 2.5 goals and Guiseley at 100% over 2.5 for the season. The first half could be cagey—both teams have scored fewer first-half goals than second—but the rates suggest goals will come, especially after the break.
Given the attacking rates and Guiseley's head-to-head dominance (three wins in four), the model expects an away win in a match with at least three goals. Hebburn Town's home advantage is offset by their recent defensive frailty, while Guiseley's consistent scoring and ability to win on the road make them favourites to progress.
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Expected goals · model says 1.25
Expected goals · model says 1.75
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
BTTS: Yes
59%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Hebburn Town vs Guiseley AFC Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Hebburn Town vs Guiseley AFC that most previews miss.
- 1Guiseley AFC's last five matches average 3.4 total goals per game, with both teams scoring in three of those.
- 2Hebburn Town have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five, conceding at least once in every match.
- 3Three of the last four head-to-heads have been won by Guiseley AFC, with two clean sheets in that span.
Who do you think wins: Hebburn Town vs Guiseley AFC?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Hebburn Town vs Guiseley AFC(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Guiseley AFC Win
Guiseley AFC have scored 2.4 goals per game and conceded just 1.0 on average over their last five, while Hebburn Town have conceded 2.4 per game and failed to keep a clean sheet in that stretch. Guiseley have also won three of the last four head-to-heads.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both sides have been involved in high-scoring games recently: Hebburn Town's last five average four goals per match, and Guiseley AFC's last five average 3.4. Guiseley's season over 2.5 rate is 100%.
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BTTS: Yes
Hebburn Town have seen both teams score in four of their last five, and Guiseley AFC have failed to keep a clean sheet in three of their last five, suggesting a strong likelihood of goals at both ends.
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More FA Cup Predictions
The Case For This Hebburn Town vs Guiseley AFC Prediction
Statistical rates point to Guiseley AFC as the more reliable attacking side, with recent form and head-to-head dominance reinforcing their edge. Hebburn Town's defensive record, particularly their 2.4 goals conceded per game over the last five, leaves them vulnerable against a Guiseley side averaging 2.4 goals scored. The most likely scenario is an away win in a match with multiple goals.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Guiseley AFC's last five: 2.4 goals scored per game, only 1.0 conceded.
- →Hebburn Town have not kept a clean sheet in their last five and concede 2.4 per game.
Match Context
- →Guiseley AFC have won three of the last four head-to-head meetings.
How Hebburn Town and Guiseley AFC Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Hebburn Town vs Guiseley AFC Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Hebburn Townlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Guiseley AFClast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Hebburn Town's recent form is patchy, with two wins offset by two heavy defeats and a draw, and a concerning average of 2.4 goals conceded per game. Guiseley AFC, by contrast, have lost just once in their last five, scoring 12 goals and keeping two clean sheets, signalling better balance and momentum.
Hebburn Town vs Guiseley AFC — Last 3 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.8 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 3.2 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
What History Says: Hebburn Town vs Guiseley AFC
Guiseley AFC have dominated this fixture recently, winning three of the last four meetings and keeping two clean sheets. Hebburn Town's only recent success was a narrow 1-0 home win, but the aggregate score favours Guiseley 7-2, suggesting a psychological and tactical edge.
Hebburn Town vs Guiseley AFC Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings between these sides
1
Hebburn Town wins
0
Draws
4
Guiseley AFC wins
Things to Watch: Hebburn Town vs Guiseley AFC
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edge cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Lack of season-long data for Hebburn Town limits confidence in true defensive baseline.
- ⚠️Limited disciplinary and set-piece data restricts granularity of cards/corners predictions.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Hebburn Town 1–2 Guiseley AFCThe model projects a 2-1 win for Guiseley AFC, anchored by their superior scoring rate (2.4 per game) and Hebburn Town's porous defence. The main risk is Hebburn's occasional attacking outburst at home, as seen in their 4-2 win over King's Lynn Town, which could turn this into a higher-scoring or more volatile contest.
Hebburn Town vs Guiseley AFC: Common Questions
Who will win Hebburn Town vs Guiseley AFC?
Guiseley AFC are favoured with a 48% probability of victory, compared to 25% for Hebburn Town and 27% for the draw. The away side's recent form and head-to-head record both point to an edge.
Will both teams score in Hebburn Town vs Guiseley AFC?
There is a 56% chance of both teams scoring, as Hebburn Town have seen BTTS in four of their last five and Guiseley AFC have conceded in three of their last five.
How likely is over 2.5 goals in Hebburn Town vs Guiseley AFC?
The probability of over 2.5 goals is 59%, with both teams' recent matches averaging well above two goals per game and Guiseley AFC's season rate for over 2.5 at 100%.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Hebburn Town vs Guiseley AFC: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 12 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.