Hull City vs Ipswich Predictions
Premier League · England
Hull City
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
Ipswich
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
@ 1.8(+5% edge)
Recommended Bets: Hull City vs Ipswich
Hull City vs Ipswich: Match Preview
Hull City enter this contest sitting 10th, just one point behind Ipswich, but their recent form is a concern: winless in five (LDLDL) and without a clean sheet in that run. At home, however, Hull remain unbeaten (1W 2D), relying on defensive structure but struggling to convert draws into wins. Ipswich, meanwhile, have been unpredictable—three defeats in four away but with a potent attack that has delivered seven goals on the road, offset by a leaky defence conceding 11 in those same matches.
Statistically, the matchup tilts towards goals. Ipswich's away games average 4.5 goals, and both teams have seen BTTS land in four of their last five. Hull's attack is less prolific (1.0 goals per last five), but their set-piece output is notable—6.4 corners per game recently—while Ipswich's low corner count (2.4 per last five) hints at a more direct approach. Discipline could play a role: Hull average 3.2 yellows per match, raising the prospect of bookings value.
The model rates Ipswich marginally higher, assigning them a 40% win chance to Hull's 32%. With neither defence reliable and both sides trending over 2.5 goals (Ipswich 62.5% season rate), the likeliest scenario is an open, error-prone contest. The market prices this as a toss-up, but the numbers give a modest edge to the visitors and the overs.
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Hull City vs Ipswich
The market prices this match as a near toss-up, but the model finds a small edge backing Ipswich at 2.60, given their higher attacking output and Hull's defensive slide. Over 2.5 goals also shows a modest value at 1.80, supported by Ipswich's high-scoring away games and both teams' lack of clean sheets. The BTTS market is about right, with only a marginal edge.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Where the Model Sees Value: Hull City vs Ipswich(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Ipswich Win@ 2.63
Ipswich have scored 7 goals in 4 away league matches (1.75 per game) and face a Hull side winless in five, with no clean sheets in that stretch. The model gives Ipswich a 40% win probability (implied odds 2.50), slightly above the market price of 2.60 for a modest value edge.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5@ 1.8
Ipswich away games average 4.5 goals (11 conceded, 7 scored in 4), and 62.5% of their league matches have gone over 2.5 goals. Hull's defensive numbers have dipped (1.6 conceded per last 5), supporting the model's 58% probability for over 2.5 at a small value edge.
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Hull City vs Ipswich Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Hull City vs Ipswich that most previews miss.
- 1Ipswich's away matches have produced over 2.5 goals in 75% of cases this season (3/4), with an average of 4.5 goals per game.
- 2Hull have drawn two of their three home league matches, conceding just twice but scoring only four.
- 3Across the last five for both teams, there have been zero clean sheets and BTTS has landed in 7 of 10 combined games.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.40
Expected goals · model says 1.55
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS: Yes
59%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
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The Case For This Hull City vs Ipswich Prediction
Hull City and Ipswich meet as near equals in the table, but the underlying numbers reveal sharper edges than the market suggests. Ipswich's away record is patchy, but their attacking output and Hull's defensive frailties tip the balance in the visitors' favour. With both sides trending towards high-scoring encounters and neither keeping a clean sheet in their last five, the model finds value on an away win and goals.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Hull's home record is unbeaten but leans heavily on draws (1W 2D 0L), while Ipswich's away matches have seen 18 goals in 4 games.
Defence
- →Ipswich have scored in all but one of their last five, averaging 1.4 goals per game, while Hull have failed to keep a clean sheet in the same span.
- →Ipswich's season clean sheet rate is 0%, with both teams scoring in 4 of their last 5 matches.
🚩 Hull City vs Ipswich Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.9 corners for Hull City and 4.4 for Ipswich, for an expected total of 10.3. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (58%). Over 8.5: 70% · Over 10.5: 45%.
How Hull City and Ipswich Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Hull City vs Ipswich Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Hull Citylast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Ipswichlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Hull are winless in their last five across all competitions, drawing twice and losing three, with defensive frailties emerging (1.6 goals conceded per last five). Ipswich have been inconsistent, mixing three defeats with a win and a draw in their last five, but continue to find the net regularly, failing to score just once in that span.
Hull City vs Ipswich — Last 8 Matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Hull City vs Ipswich
The last ten meetings are perfectly balanced (4 wins each, 2 draws), but Ipswich have taken the last two encounters at Hull and have not lost at the MKM Stadium since 2018. Recent H2Hs have been lively, with the last three averaging over three goals per game.
Hull City vs Ipswich Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
4
Hull City wins
2
Draws
4
Ipswich wins
Things to Watch: Hull City vs Ipswich
- ⚠️Hull's home resilience (unbeaten in three) could frustrate an Ipswich side that has lost three of four away.
- ⚠️Both teams are coming off recent draws, suggesting neither is in peak form.
- ⚠️No major injuries, but lineups are unavailable for this future fixture, adding uncertainty.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Hull City 1–2 IpswichIpswich are the slight model pick, with a predicted 2-1 away win driven by their superior attacking numbers on the road (1.75 goals per away game) and Hull's inability to keep teams out recently. However, Hull's unbeaten home record and Ipswich's defensive frailty away mean a draw or high-scoring stalemate remains a plausible risk.
Hull City vs Ipswich: Common Questions
Who will win Hull City vs Ipswich?
The model gives Ipswich a 40% chance of victory, compared to 32% for Hull and 28% for the draw. Ipswich's more prolific attack and Hull's recent defensive struggles tip the balance slightly in favour of the visitors.
Will both teams score in Hull City vs Ipswich?
Yes is favoured at 62% probability, with both teams failing to keep a clean sheet in their last five and BTTS landing in 7 of their last 10 combined matches.
Is there value in backing Ipswich at the current odds?
With the market offering 2.60 (implied probability 38.5%) and the model estimating a 40% Ipswich win chance, there is a modest value edge on the away side—though Hull's home record and the fixture's volatility add caution.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Hull City vs Ipswich: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Value Scout, the market-facing profile — hunts the gap between price and probability. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 24 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
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