Ittihad Tanger vs CR Khemis Zemamra Predictions
Botola Pro · Morocco
Ittihad Tanger
Full Time
1 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 1
CR Khemis Zemamra
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Double Chance: Ittihad Tanger or Draw
Match Result
6.5/10Last-Gasp Drama: Ittihad Tanger Snatch Victory Over CR Khemis Zemamra
Ittihad Tanger left it late but ultimately secured a dramatic 1-0 victory over CR Khemis Zemamra at Stade Ibn Batouta, thanks to a decisive goal in the dying moments of the match. Both sides battled hard in a tense contest, with neither able to break the deadlock until the 90th minute, when the home side finally found a way through. The match was a cagey affair, characterized by disciplined defending and a fair share of physicality, as reflected in the two yellow cards shown to each team. Despite the lack of clear statistical data, the late winner provided a fitting climax for the home fans, while CR Khemis Zemamra were left to rue their inability to hold out for a point.
🔥 AI Prediction Report
CERTIFIED WPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
1 - 0
💰 Bet Results2/3 hit
Key Moments
90' — Goal
Ittihad Tanger score the only goal of the match, snatching victory at the death.
Unknown' — Yellow Card
Ittihad Tanger receive their first yellow card as tempers flare.
Unknown' — Yellow Card
Ittihad Tanger pick up a second yellow, reflecting the tense nature of the game.
Unknown' — Yellow Card
CR Khemis Zemamra shown their first yellow card for a tactical foul.
Unknown' — Yellow Card
CR Khemis Zemamra receive a second yellow card late in the match.
Ittihad Tanger
Ittihad Tanger showed resilience and patience throughout the match, maintaining their composure even as the clock ticked down. Their persistence paid off with a crucial goal at the death, rewarding their efforts in a tightly contested encounter. The defense remained organized, and the team managed to keep their discipline despite picking up two yellow cards.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
CR Khemis Zemamra
CR Khemis Zemamra put in a disciplined and determined defensive performance, frustrating the hosts for almost the entire match. However, their inability to hold out in the final moments proved costly. The visitors also picked up two yellow cards, indicating a physical approach, but ultimately left empty-handed after conceding late.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With lineups and formations unavailable, both teams appeared to prioritize defensive solidity, as evidenced by the low scoreline and late breakthrough. The match was marked by physical duels and tactical fouling, with four yellow cards shared evenly. Ittihad Tanger's persistence and willingness to push forward in the closing stages eventually broke down CR Khemis Zemamra's disciplined block. The visitors, for their part, seemed content to absorb pressure and play for a point, but their defensive focus ultimately backfired in the final moments.
Turning Point
The 90th-minute goal by Ittihad Tanger, breaking the deadlock and sealing the win.
Man of the Match
Unknown Goalscorer
Delivered the crucial match-winning goal in the final minute.
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Expected goals · model says 1.05
Expected goals · model says 0.90
Over 2.5 Goals
31%
BTTS: Yes
39%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 0-0 · 1-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Ittihad Tanger vs CR Khemis Zemamra Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Ittihad Tanger vs CR Khemis Zemamra?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Ittihad Tanger vs CR Khemis Zemamra(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw
Both teams have a high draw rate this season (Ittihad Tanger 11/25, CR Khemis Zemamra 5/25), and their attacking/defensive stats are closely matched, suggesting a stalemate is a reasonable outcome.
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Double Chance: Ittihad Tanger or Draw
Ittihad Tanger are in stronger recent form (WWLWW), have home advantage, and CR Khemis Zemamra have lost 7 of 12 away games, making home/draw a solid probability.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams average just over 1 goal scored per game, with Ittihad Tanger's over 2.5 rate at 28% and the away side's at 52%; recent H2H meetings have also mostly been low-scoring.
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More Botola Pro Predictions
The Case For This Ittihad Tanger vs CR Khemis Zemamra Prediction
This fixture features two mid-table sides with similar underlying numbers, but Ittihad Tanger arrive in much better form, unbeaten in four of their last five and with a solid home record for draws. CR Khemis Zemamra have been inconsistent, especially away, but do pose some attacking threat. With both teams averaging just over a goal scored per match and a history of close, low-scoring encounters, a tight draw or narrow home win looks most likely.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Ittihad Tanger's recent form: 4 wins in last 5 (WWLWW)
Attack
- →Both teams average ~1 goal scored per game
Defence
- →CR Khemis Zemamra's away record: 5W 0D 7L, 20 conceded in 12
Match Context
- →Ittihad Tanger home: 3W 7D 2L, 11:12 GF:GA
- →H2H: 5 of last 9 meetings won by CR Khemis Zemamra, but most matches close
- →Low over 2.5 goal rate for home side (28%)
How Ittihad Tanger and CR Khemis Zemamra Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Ittihad Tanger vs CR Khemis Zemamra Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Ittihad Tangerlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
CR Khemis Zemamralast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Ittihad Tanger are on a strong run, winning four of their last five matches and conceding just three goals in that span. In contrast, CR Khemis Zemamra have alternated wins and losses in their last five, showing inconsistency and defensive frailty, especially away from home.
Ittihad Tanger vs CR Khemis Zemamra — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Ittihad Tanger vs CR Khemis Zemamra
Historically, CR Khemis Zemamra have had the upper hand in this fixture, winning more than half of the last nine encounters. However, most games have been closely contested, with several low-scoring draws and one-goal margins.
Ittihad Tanger vs CR Khemis Zemamra Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
3
Ittihad Tanger wins
2
Draws
5
CR Khemis Zemamra wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Ittihad Tanger vs CR Khemis Zemamra
With no bookmaker odds available, value cannot be explicitly quantified. However, the model suggests the draw and under 2.5 goals are the most probable outcomes, given the teams' defensive profiles and frequency of draws in Ittihad Tanger's home matches.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Ittihad Tanger vs CR Khemis Zemamra
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided, so no value edges can be calculated.
- ⚠️No shots, possession, or set piece data available for recent matches.
- ⚠️Lineups not confirmed for either side.
- ⚠️Some variance in CR Khemis Zemamra's away results (5 wins, 7 losses, 0 draws) increases unpredictability.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Ittihad Tanger vs CR Khemis Zemamra: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 18 June 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
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Ittihad Tanger vs CR Khemis Zemamra Stats
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Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results