Ittihad Tanger vs Wydad AC Predictions
Botola Pro · Morocco
Ittihad Tanger
Full Time
2 - 1
AI predicted 0 - 1
Wydad AC
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Match Result
8.2/10Late Drama as Ittihad Tanger Edge Wydad AC in Thrilling 2-1 Victory
Ittihad Tanger staged a dramatic late comeback to secure a 2-1 win over Wydad AC at Stade Ibn Batouta, sending the home fans into raptures. After a tense first half, Wydad AC broke the deadlock in the 61st minute, but Tanger responded with a spirited fightback, netting twice in the final quarter of an hour, including a decisive goal in stoppage time. The match was fiercely contested, with both sides picking up a flurry of yellow cards as tempers flared and the stakes rose. Tanger’s resilience and tactical tweaks paid off as they overturned the deficit, while Wydad AC were left to rue missed opportunities and a lapse in concentration late on.
💀 AI Prediction Report
DOWN BADPredicted
0 - 1
Actual
2 - 1
💰 Bet Results0/3 hit
Key Moments
61' — Goal
Ramiro Vaca finishes off a flowing move to give Wydad AC the lead.
74' — Goal
Haytham El Bahja levels for Ittihad Tanger, sparking a late surge.
90' — Goal
Jawad Rhabra scores in stoppage time to complete the turnaround for Tanger.
Various' — Yellow Cards
Both sides pick up three yellow cards each in a fiercely contested encounter.
Ittihad Tanger
Ittihad Tanger showed impressive character, overturning a second-half deficit with a relentless late surge. Despite conceding first, the hosts maintained composure, gradually increasing their attacking intent and capitalizing on Wydad’s defensive frailties in the closing stages. Their three-man defense held firm under pressure, while the midfield provided energy and support to the front line. The home side’s discipline was tested, as evidenced by three yellow cards, but their tactical flexibility and determination ultimately tipped the balance in their favor.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Wydad AC
Wydad AC looked poised for victory after taking the lead just after the hour mark, but their inability to manage the game in the final stages proved costly. The visitors’ 4-2-3-1 setup allowed them to control midfield for much of the match, and their goal appeared to put them in command. However, lapses in concentration and a failure to deal with Tanger’s late attacking surge undid their earlier work. Three yellow cards reflected their growing frustration as the match slipped away.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Ittihad Tanger’s 3-4-1-2 formation provided defensive stability and allowed wing-backs to support attacks, especially as they chased the game late on. Their switch to a more aggressive posture after falling behind paid dividends, with midfielders pushing higher and strikers pressing Wydad’s backline. Wydad AC’s 4-2-3-1 offered midfield control and balance, but as Tanger increased their pressure, Wydad’s double pivot was overrun. The visitors struggled to adapt tactically in the final 20 minutes, failing to protect their lead and leaving gaps that Tanger exploited.
Turning Point
Haytham El Bahja’s equalizer in the 74th minute shifted the momentum entirely, setting the stage for Tanger’s late winner.
Man of the Match
Jawad Rhabra
Delivered the decisive stoppage-time goal and led the attacking line with relentless energy.
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Expected goals · model says 0.65
Expected goals · model says 1.05
Over 2.5 Goals
24%
BTTS: Yes
31%
Likely Scores
0-1 · 0-0 · 1-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Ittihad Tanger vs Wydad AC Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Ittihad Tanger vs Wydad AC?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Ittihad Tanger vs Wydad AC(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw
Both teams have strong defensive records recently, and Ittihad Tanger have drawn 7 of 10 at home this season. Wydad AC are favorites but often play tight away matches, making a draw a realistic outcome.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams have high under 2.5 rates (Ittihad Tanger 76%, Wydad AC 57%), and recent form suggests a low-scoring match with both averaging under 1 goal conceded per game in their last five.
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BTTS: No
70% probability for BTTS No, supported by both teams' defensive solidity and only 2/5 recent matches for Ittihad Tanger seeing both teams score.
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More Botola Pro Predictions
The Case For This Ittihad Tanger vs Wydad AC Prediction
Wydad AC travel to Ittihad Tanger as clear favorites, but the hosts' resilience and penchant for draws at home could frustrate the visitors. Expect a tight, tactical battle with few clear chances, as both sides have shown strong defensive form and low attacking output in recent matches. Wydad's superior away record and attacking edge give them the advantage, but Tanger's draw-heavy home record suggests a close contest.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Head-to-head is dominated by Wydad AC (4 wins, 5 draws in last 10).
Attack
- →Ittihad Tanger average just 0.81 goals scored per game this season.
Defence
- →Wydad AC have won 4 straight in all competitions, conceding just 2 goals in that stretch.
- →Both teams have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 5 matches.
Match Context
- →Ittihad Tanger have drawn 7 of 10 home matches this season.
- →Wydad AC's away record is strong (6W, 2D, 3L, 18:10 goal difference).
How Ittihad Tanger and Wydad AC Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Ittihad Tanger vs Wydad AC Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Ittihad Tangerlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Wydad AClast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Ittihad Tanger are unbeaten in five (WWDDD), showing defensive solidity but limited attacking threat, with only 4 goals scored. Wydad AC are in excellent form, winning four straight in all competitions and scoring 8 while conceding just 2. Momentum clearly favors the visitors, but Tanger's resilience at home is notable.
Ittihad Tanger vs Wydad AC — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Ittihad Tanger vs Wydad AC
Wydad AC have dominated the head-to-head, winning four of the last ten and losing just once, with the rest drawn. The most common results are low-scoring draws or narrow Wydad wins, and only two of the last ten meetings saw more than two goals.
Ittihad Tanger vs Wydad AC Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
2
Ittihad Tanger wins
5
Draws
3
Wydad AC wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Ittihad Tanger vs Wydad AC
With no bookmaker odds available, it's not possible to identify explicit value edges. However, the model strongly favors under 2.5 goals and a low-probability home win, suggesting value could exist on draw or under markets if odds are generous.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Ittihad Tanger vs Wydad AC
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️No shots, possession, or set piece data for recent matches; corners and fouls predictions are less reliable.
- ⚠️Lineups for this fixture are not yet available.
- ⚠️If either team rotates heavily or changes tactical setup, model confidence is reduced.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Ittihad Tanger vs Wydad AC: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 28 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.