Kawkab Marrakech vs Raja Casablanca Predictions
Botola Pro · Morocco
Kawkab Marrakech
Full Time
2 - 0
AI predicted 0 - 1
Raja Casablanca
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Match Result
6.8/10Late Surge Seals Famous Win for Kawkab Marrakech Over Ten-Man Raja
Kawkab Marrakech produced a dramatic late show at Stade de Marrakech to claim a 2-0 victory over Raja Casablanca in a tense Botola Pro encounter. After a tightly contested opening 75 minutes, the match burst into life when Kawkab broke the deadlock in the 78th minute, capitalizing on Raja’s numerical disadvantage following a second-half red card. The hosts sealed the points deep into stoppage time, sending their fans into raptures. Raja Casablanca, despite seeing more players booked and suffering a red card, held firm for much of the game but ultimately succumbed to Kawkab’s late pressure. The match was marked by physicality, with a total of six yellow cards and a red, and both teams struggled to create clear-cut chances until the closing stages.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
0 - 1
Actual
2 - 0
💰 Bet Results1/2 hit
Key Moments
Second half' — Red card
Raja Casablanca reduced to ten men, swinging momentum towards Kawkab.
78' — Goal
Kawkab Marrakech score the opener, capitalizing on their advantage.
90' — Goal
Kawkab Marrakech double their lead to seal the win.
Throughout' — Cards
Six yellow cards issued as the match grew increasingly physical.
Kawkab Marrakech
Kawkab Marrakech showed discipline and patience, keeping their shape and waiting for opportunities to arise. Their persistence paid off in the final quarter of an hour, as they exploited Raja’s reduced numbers to score twice and secure a vital win. The team maintained composure throughout, responding well to the physical nature of the contest and making the most of their late momentum.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Raja Casablanca
Raja Casablanca matched Kawkab for much of the match, showing defensive resilience and tactical awareness. However, their efforts were undermined by disciplinary issues, as four players received yellow cards and one was sent off. The red card proved costly, leaving them vulnerable in the closing stages and unable to respond after conceding.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With both lineups unavailable, the tactical battle was defined by discipline and structure. Kawkab Marrakech maintained a patient approach, keeping their defensive lines tight and waiting for Raja to make mistakes. Raja, meanwhile, relied on physicality and organization but struggled to transition into attack, especially after being reduced to ten men. The red card forced Raja into a more defensive posture, allowing Kawkab to push higher and eventually break through. Set pieces and second balls became increasingly important as the match wore on, especially with the numerical imbalance.
Turning Point
Raja Casablanca’s red card in the second half, which handed Kawkab Marrakech the initiative and led directly to the late goals.
Man of the Match
Kawkab Marrakech Goalscorer (78')
Broke the deadlock at a crucial stage and set Kawkab on course for victory.
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Expected goals · model says 0.45
Expected goals · model says 0.95
Over 2.5 Goals
17%
BTTS: Yes
22%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 0-1 · 0-2
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Kawkab Marrakech vs Raja Casablanca Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Kawkab Marrakech vs Raja Casablanca?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Kawkab Marrakech vs Raja Casablanca(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Raja Casablanca Win
Raja Casablanca have a strong away record, dominant H2H history, and are in excellent defensive form, while Kawkab Marrakech have struggled for consistency and rarely win this fixture.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams have low season over 2.5 goal percentages and Raja's matches are especially low-scoring, with strong defensive stats and few BTTS outcomes recently.
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BTTS: No
Raja have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 5 and have only conceded 8 goals all season, while Kawkab have failed to score in several recent matches and BTTS has been rare in Raja's games.
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More Botola Pro Predictions
The Case For This Kawkab Marrakech vs Raja Casablanca Prediction
Raja Casablanca travel to Kawkab Marrakech as clear favorites, boasting a vastly superior defensive record and a dominant head-to-head history. Expect a tactical, low-scoring affair, with Raja likely to control proceedings and limit Kawkab's attacking opportunities. The data points to a narrow away win or a draw, with goals at a premium.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Kawkab Marrakech have only won 1 of their last 5 league matches and have failed to score in 1 of those.
- →Raja have won 6 of the last 7 H2H meetings, including all away fixtures in that span.
Defence
- →Raja Casablanca have conceded just 8 goals in 21 league matches (0.38 per game) and kept 4 clean sheets in their last 5.
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
Match Context
- →Both teams have low over 2.5 goal percentages (Kawkab 40.9%, Raja 14.3%).
How Kawkab Marrakech and Raja Casablanca Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Kawkab Marrakech vs Raja Casablanca Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Kawkab Marrakechlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Raja Casablancalast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Kawkab Marrakech's recent form is mixed, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five, but their attack has been inconsistent and they have struggled against stronger teams. Raja Casablanca, meanwhile, are in excellent form, winning four of their last five across all competitions and conceding just one goal in that span, underlining their defensive solidity.
Kawkab Marrakech vs Raja Casablanca — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
Strengths
- +60.87% clean sheet rate this season
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
What History Says: Kawkab Marrakech vs Raja Casablanca
The head-to-head record is overwhelmingly in favor of Raja Casablanca, who have won six of the last seven encounters and have not lost to Kawkab Marrakech since at least 2016. These matches are typically low-scoring, with Raja keeping several clean sheets and often winning by one or two goals.
Kawkab Marrakech vs Raja Casablanca Head-to-Head History
Last 8 meetings between these sides
1
Kawkab Marrakech wins
1
Draws
6
Raja Casablanca wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Kawkab Marrakech vs Raja Casablanca
Without bookmaker odds, explicit value edges cannot be calculated, but the model strongly favors a low-scoring match and a positive result for Raja Casablanca. If market odds overestimate Kawkab's home advantage or the likelihood of goals, there could be value in away and unders markets.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Kawkab Marrakech vs Raja Casablanca
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided, so value edges cannot be quantified.
- ⚠️No shots, possession, or set piece data available for recent matches.
- ⚠️Lineups not available for this fixture; late changes could affect predictions.
- ⚠️Limited recent H2H data (only one meeting since 2019) may reduce H2H reliability.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Kawkab Marrakech vs Raja Casablanca: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 3 June 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More Kawkab Marrakech vs Raja Casablanca Resources
Kawkab Marrakech Predictions
All Kawkab Marrakech fixtures & tips
Raja Casablanca Predictions
All Raja Casablanca fixtures & tips
Kawkab Marrakech vs Raja Casablanca Stats
Full H2H record & season stats
Botola Pro Predictions
All fixtures for this competition
Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results