Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Predictions

Prediction by The Numbers Desk — No extreme form or market signal — routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
Premier LeaguePremier League · Ukraine
high confidence
Kolos Kovalivka

Kolos Kovalivka

AI Predicted Score

1 - 1

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

🗓️ Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 18:00 EEST (venue time) · 15:00 UTC (your time)📍 Kolos Stadium, Kovalivka

Win Probability (1X2)

Kolos Kovalivka 37%Draw 36%Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 27%

Best Value Pick

Match Result: Draw

@ 3.2(+15% edge)

Recommended Bets: Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Match Result: Draw
@ 3.377/10

Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi: Match Preview

Kolos Kovalivka enter this fixture sitting 13th in the table with just one win from six league matches and a negative goal difference of -4. Their home record is particularly concerning: two games, zero goals scored, and only one point collected. Epitsentr Dunayivtsi, meanwhile, occupy 6th place, but have also struggled for consistency, coming off back-to-back league defeats and scoring just six goals in seven matches. Both sides are seeking stability after patchy starts, with Kolos desperate to break their home scoring duck and Epitsentr aiming to halt a slide after a promising opening month.

The statistical matchup is defined by low attacking output and relatively strong defensive records, especially from Epitsentr. Kolos average only 1.0 goals per game (1.4 over the last five, boosted by a single 3-goal outing), while Epitsentr's 0.86 goals per game is paired with a 1.0 conceded per match and a 57% clean sheet rate. Notably, Kolos have failed to score in two of their last five, and Epitsentr have blanked in three of five. Over 2.5 goals has landed in just 50% of Kolos's games and 43% for Epitsentr, with both teams trending towards under 2.5 environments. Set piece and discipline data are limited, but Kolos have shown a tendency for yellow cards in recent matches.

Given these rates, the model expects a low-scoring, closely contested match, with neither side likely to dominate. The most probable outcome is a draw, with a 1-1 scoreline the statistical mode. Kolos's inability to score at home and Epitsentr's defensive resilience point toward a tight affair, with the likelihood of a goalless first half and few clear chances. Margins are fine, but the data leans towards a share of the points.

🎮 Prediction Playground

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Kolos Kovalivka1.15

Expected goals · model says 1.15

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi0.95

Expected goals · model says 0.95

Win Probability
Kolos Kovalivka 40% Draw 30% Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 30%

Over 2.5 Goals

35%

BTTS: Yes

42%

Likely Scores

1-0 · 1-1 · 0-0

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
37%
36%
27%
Kolos Kovalivka 37%Draw 36%Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 27%
Both Teams to Score
44%
56%
Yes 44%No 56%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
38%
62%
Over 2.5 38%Under 2.5 62%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi that most previews miss.

  • 1Epitsentr Dunayivtsi have kept clean sheets in four of their last six competitive matches across all competitions.
  • 2Kolos Kovalivka have failed to score in both home league matches this season, despite averaging 1.0 goals per game overall.
  • 3No head-to-head meeting between these sides has ended in a draw, but the model rates the draw as the single likeliest outcome (36%).

Who do you think wins: Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

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The Case For This Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Prediction

Statistically, this fixture is shaped by two teams with below-league-average scoring rates and above-average defensive outcomes, especially from Epitsentr away from home. Kolos Kovalivka have yet to score at home this season, while Epitsentr have kept clean sheets in three of their last five matches, pointing to a contest likely decided by fine margins and set pieces rather than open play.

Key Factors at a Glance

Attack

  • →Kolos Kovalivka average just 1.0 goals scored per game this season, with zero goals in two home matches.
  • →Both teams have failed to score in at least two of their last five matches, and neither side averages more than 1.2 goals per game recently.

Defence

  • →Epitsentr Dunayivtsi have kept clean sheets in 57% of league matches and three of their last five games.

How Kolos Kovalivka and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.

Kolos KovalivkaKolos Kovalivkalast 5 matches
D. NdukveXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

O. DemchenkoXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

D. Khrypchuksub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

A. SalabayXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Y. KlymchukXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

A. Tahirisub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Epitsentr DunayivtsiEpitsentr Dunayivtsilast 5 matches
A. KozakXI
3 goals in 5
60%

Scoring consistently

V. SydunXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

C. RojasXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Kolos Kovalivka have shown patchy form, with just one win in their last five and a current streak of WLLDD, but are coming off a 3-2 away victory. Epitsentr Dunayivtsi have alternated between wins and losses, but their last two league matches ended in defeat without scoring. Both teams are struggling for consistent attacking output, with Kolos especially blunt at home.

Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi — Last 7 Matches

Kolos KovalivkaKolos KovalivkaLast 6 results
W3-2
L0-2
D2-2
D0-0
L1-2
L0-2
W@ Kudrivka3-2
Lvs Karpaty0-2
D@ Kryvbas KR2-2
Dvs Obolon'-Brovar0-0
L@ Dynamo Kyiv1-2
L@ Zorya Luhansk0-2
Epitsentr DunayivtsiEpitsentr DunayivtsiLast 7 results
L0-2
L0-3
D0-0
W3-0
D0-0
L0-2
W3-0
Lvs Livyi Bereh0-2
L@ Dynamo Kyiv0-3
Dvs Bukovyna0-0
W@ Kudrivka3-0
Dvs Veres Rivne0-0
Lvs Shakhtar Donetsk0-2
Wvs Obolon'-Brovar3-0

Strengths

  • +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
  • +57.14% clean sheet rate this season

What History Says: Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

The head-to-head record is limited but leans towards Kolos, who have won two of three meetings, including a 1-0 home win. Epitsentr's only win was a 4-0 home result. No match between these sides has ended in a draw, but the small sample size reduces the predictive weight of this trend.

Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Head-to-Head History

Last 3 meetings between these sides

2

Kolos Kovalivka wins

0

Draws

1

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi wins

67%0% draws33%
7 Mar 26Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Kolos Kovalivka4-0
30 Aug 25Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi1-0
26 Jul 25Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi5-0

Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

The draw offers the clearest value edge, with the model's 36% probability outstripping the implied 31% from bookmaker odds of 3.2. This is underpinned by both teams' low scoring rates and Epitsentr's defensive solidity, making a low-scoring stalemate more likely than the market suggests. No significant value is found on the home or away win at current prices.

Odds from Betfair. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.

1X2

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Kolos Kovalivka Win2.0037.0%-13.0%
Drawvalue3.2036.0%+4.7%
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Win3.4027.0%-2.4%

Over/Under 2.5

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Over 2.5—38.0%—
Under 2.5—62.0%—

Both Teams Score

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Yes—44.0%—
No—56.0%—

Best Value Markets Found by the Model

1X2: Draw @ 3.20EV +0.152

EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.

Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.

Things to Watch: Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

  • ⚠️Shots, possession, and set piece data are incomplete for both teams, increasing uncertainty around attacking intent.
  • ⚠️Recent cup matches may distort short-term form signals.
  • ⚠️Low number of historical H2H meetings limits reliability of direct matchup trends.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Kolos Kovalivka 1–1 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

The model projects a 1-1 draw as the most probable outcome, driven by both teams' sub-par attacking rates and Epitsentr's strong clean sheet record (57%). The main risk is Kolos's home goal drought continuing, which could tilt the contest toward a low-scoring away win or a goalless draw if neither side can convert limited chances.

Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi: Common Questions

Who will win Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi?

The model gives Kolos Kovalivka a 37% chance to win, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi a 27% chance, and the draw a 36% probability. Both teams have struggled for goals, so a draw is marginally favoured.

Will both teams score in Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi?

Both teams to score is rated at 44%, with 'No' slightly more likely at 56%. Kolos have failed to score in two of their last five, while Epitsentr have blanked in three of five, making BTTS less probable than the market average.

Is under 2.5 goals a good bet for Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi?

Under 2.5 goals is given a 62% probability by the model. Both sides average less than 1.2 goals per game recently, and Epitsentr's matches have gone under 2.5 in 57% of cases this season.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Kolos Kovalivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 3 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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