Kozuv Gevgelija vs Detonit Plachkovica Predictions
Friendlies Clubs · World
Kozuv Gevgelija
AI Predicted Score
1 - 1
Detonit Plachkovica
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Kozuv Gevgelija vs Detonit Plachkovica: Match Preview
Kozuv Gevgelija enter this friendly with a mixed recent record, having won three of their last five but coming off a 0-2 home defeat to Belasica. Detonit Plachkovica are in a less convincing run, losing three straight and failing to score in three of their last five, but their season away record (1W, 2D, 0L; 7 scored, 2 conceded) suggests they are difficult to break down on the road. With both sides lacking momentum and no league table at stake, the statistical shape of the fixture takes precedence.
The matchup is defined by low attacking output and solid defensive numbers. Kozuv average just 0.86 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game in the season, while Detonit Plachkovica have a slightly better scoring rate (1.75) but also keep things tight at the back (0.75 conceded per game). Both teams have under 30% of their games finishing over 2.5 goals, and Detonit have failed to score in three of their last five. The head-to-head record reinforces the expectation of a low-scoring affair, with six draws and seven under 2.5s in the last ten meetings.
Given these underlying rates, the model projects a cautious, low-event contest with neither side likely to dominate. The most probable outcome is a 1-1 draw, with a significant chance of a goalless first half and under 2.5 goals overall. The lack of set-piece and shot data limits confidence in alternative markets, but the distribution of historical results and current form point squarely to another stalemate.
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Expected goals · model says 0.90
Expected goals · model says 0.95
Over 2.5 Goals
28%
BTTS: Yes
36%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 0-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Kozuv Gevgelija vs Detonit Plachkovica Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Kozuv Gevgelija vs Detonit Plachkovica that most previews miss.
- 1Six of the last ten H2H meetings have ended in draws, with four finishing 0-0 or 1-1.
- 2Kozuv Gevgelija's season over 2.5 goal rate is just 28.57%, and Detonit Plachkovica's is even lower at 25%.
- 3Detonit Plachkovica have failed to score in three of their last five matches, averaging just 0.8 goals per game in that span.
Who do you think wins: Kozuv Gevgelija vs Detonit Plachkovica?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Kozuv Gevgelija vs Detonit Plachkovica(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 1–1
Six of the last ten head-to-heads have finished level, and both sides average under 1.3 goals conceded per game this season, making a low-scoring draw the statistical centre.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams have under 30% over 2.5 rates this season (Kozuv 28.57%, Detonit 25%), and seven of their last ten meetings have ended with two goals or fewer.
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More Friendlies Clubs Predictions
The Case For This Kozuv Gevgelija vs Detonit Plachkovica Prediction
A statistical deadlock looms between two sides with low season scoring rates and a head-to-head history dominated by draws. Both Kozuv Gevgelija and Detonit Plachkovica have struggled to break down opponents in recent matches, with neither averaging above 1.75 goals scored per game across their respective campaigns. The data points to a contest where defensive caution outweighs attacking risk.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Detonit Plachkovica have failed to score in three of their last five matches.
Match Context
- →Six of the last ten head-to-heads have ended in draws.
- →Both teams' season over 2.5 goal percentages are below 30%.
How Kozuv Gevgelija and Detonit Plachkovica Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Kozuv Gevgelija vs Detonit Plachkovica Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Kozuv Gevgelijalast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Detonit Plachkovicalast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Kozuv Gevgelija's recent form reads LWWWL, with three wins in their last five but a setback in their most recent outing. Detonit Plachkovica have struggled for results, losing three straight and finding the net just once in their last three matches. Both sides have shown defensive resilience but limited attacking threat in recent fixtures.
Kozuv Gevgelija vs Detonit Plachkovica — Last 7 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.2 goals/game (last 5)
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
What History Says: Kozuv Gevgelija vs Detonit Plachkovica
Draws have been the dominant theme in this fixture, with six of the last ten meetings ending level and four of those finishing 0-0 or 1-1. Only one of the last ten has produced more than two goals, underscoring the tendency for these sides to cancel each other out.
Kozuv Gevgelija vs Detonit Plachkovica Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
1
Kozuv Gevgelija wins
6
Draws
3
Detonit Plachkovica wins
Things to Watch: Kozuv Gevgelija vs Detonit Plachkovica
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Lack of detailed shot, possession, and set-piece data increases model uncertainty.
- ⚠️Friendlies context may introduce rotation or experimental lineups not reflected in recent form.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Kozuv Gevgelija 1–1 Detonit PlachkovicaThe model projects a 1-1 draw as the likeliest outcome, anchored by the six draws in the last ten head-to-heads and both teams' season-long tendency towards low-scoring games. The single strongest data point is the under 30% over 2.5 goal rate for both sides, making a high-scoring match statistically unlikely. The main risk is the unpredictability of friendly lineups or a rare early goal opening the game up, but the weight of historical and season-long rates keeps the draw and under as the central scenario.
Kozuv Gevgelija vs Detonit Plachkovica: Common Questions
Who will win Kozuv Gevgelija vs Detonit Plachkovica?
The model gives Kozuv Gevgelija a 29% chance of victory, Detonit Plachkovica a 31% chance, and the draw a 40% probability. With six of the last ten head-to-heads ending level, a stalemate is the most likely outcome.
Will there be over or under 2.5 goals in Kozuv Gevgelija vs Detonit Plachkovica?
Under 2.5 goals is favoured at 68% probability, with both teams showing under 30% over 2.5 rates this season and seven of their last ten meetings finishing with two or fewer goals.
Are both teams likely to score in Kozuv Gevgelija vs Detonit Plachkovica?
Both teams to score is rated at 44%, with Detonit Plachkovica failing to score in three of their last five and only one of the last five meetings seeing both sides find the net.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Kozuv Gevgelija vs Detonit Plachkovica: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 3 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More Kozuv Gevgelija vs Detonit Plachkovica Resources
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Detonit Plachkovica Predictions
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Kozuv Gevgelija vs Detonit Plachkovica Stats
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Model Accuracy
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