Lausanne vs FC Vaduz Predictions
Super League · Switzerland
Lausanne
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
FC Vaduz
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Recommended Bets: Lausanne vs FC Vaduz
Lausanne vs FC Vaduz: Match Preview
Lausanne and FC Vaduz meet as the league's bottom two, both desperate for points but arriving with contrasting recent scoring profiles. Lausanne have managed just one win in 13, and remain winless at home, conceding 16 goals in six matches at Stade de la Tuiliere. Vaduz, though only three points better off, have at least shown attacking verve, scoring 24 times in 13 outings and recently putting five past Grasshoppers.
Statistically, this is a clash of porous defences and erratic attacks. Lausanne's last five league games average 2.4 scored but 1.6 conceded, including a wild 4-5 home defeat to Thun. Vaduz, meanwhile, have seen over 2.5 goals in every league match, with their away games yielding 27 goals in total (10 for, 17 against in seven). Both sides generate a healthy shot volume—Lausanne 11.8 per game, Vaduz 13—and Lausanne's recent matches have also been corner-rich, averaging 7.6 per game.
Given these patterns, the model expects a match with plenty of attacking phases and defensive lapses, especially after half time. Vaduz's superior scoring rate and Lausanne's inability to keep clean sheets at home (just 15% all season) tilt the balance towards the visitors, though both teams are likely to find the net. Expect a high-event contest with goals at both ends.
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Expected goals · model says 1.25
Expected goals · model says 1.80
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
BTTS: Yes
60%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Lausanne vs FC Vaduz Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Lausanne vs FC Vaduz that most previews miss.
- 1Vaduz matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 100% of league fixtures this season.
- 2Lausanne have conceded 16 goals in six home matches, the worst home defensive record in the league.
- 3Across the last five league games, Lausanne average 7.6 corners per match, well above the league median.
Who do you think wins: Lausanne vs FC Vaduz?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Lausanne vs FC Vaduz(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have high season-long concession rates (Lausanne 1.77, Vaduz 2.23 per game) and Vaduz matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 100% of league fixtures, supporting a high goal expectancy.
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Match Result: FC Vaduz Win
Vaduz have scored 24 goals in 13 matches (1.85 per game) against Lausanne's 0 home wins and the league's weakest defensive record at home (16 conceded in 6), tilting the probabilities towards the visitors even with their poor away record.
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Corners: Over 10.5
Lausanne average 7.6 corners per game over the last five and Vaduz's recent matches also trend high, making a double-digit corners total likely.
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More Super League Predictions
The Case For This Lausanne vs FC Vaduz Prediction
This fixture brings together the league's two bottom sides, but the underlying numbers suggest a more open contest than the table position implies. Lausanne's home record is winless and defensively porous, while Vaduz, despite their own away struggles, have produced the division's most consistently high-scoring matches. Expect a match driven by attacking intent and defensive frailty on both sides.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Vaduz have lost 6 of 7 away but scored in all but one of those games.
Attack
- →Vaduz matches average 4.08 goals per game, highest in the league.
Match Context
- →Lausanne have failed to win at home this season (0W, 2D, 4L, 9-16 goal difference).
🚩 Lausanne vs FC Vaduz Corners Prediction
high confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 7.6 corners for Lausanne and 5.4 for FC Vaduz, for an expected total of 13. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (83%). Over 8.5: 90% · Over 10.5: 75%.
How Lausanne and FC Vaduz Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Lausanne vs FC Vaduz Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Lausannelast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Scoring consistently
Scoring consistently
Occasional threat
FC Vaduzlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Lausanne's recent form remains troubled, with just one point from their last three league matches and a home record that shows no wins and 16 goals conceded in six. Vaduz, while inconsistent, have at least found the net regularly, scoring five against Grasshoppers and three against Basel in recent weeks, but their last outing was a heavy 0-4 defeat to Sion.
Lausanne vs FC Vaduz — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.4 goals/game (last 5)
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 5.2 goals/game (last 5)
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
What History Says: Lausanne vs FC Vaduz
Lausanne have the edge historically, winning five of the last ten meetings, but Vaduz claimed a 3-1 win in the reverse fixture earlier this season. Draws have been common, with two in the last five, and several meetings have produced three or more goals.
Lausanne vs FC Vaduz Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
5
Lausanne wins
2
Draws
3
FC Vaduz wins
Things to Watch: Lausanne vs FC Vaduz
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value assessment is limited.
- ⚠️Recent cup results (20-0, 7-0) are statistical outliers and not representative of league strength.
- ⚠️Both teams are inconsistent and capable of erratic defensive performances, increasing scoreline variance.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Lausanne 1–2 FC VaduzThe model projects a 2-1 away win for Vaduz, anchored by their league-high scoring rate (1.85 per game) and Lausanne's home defensive frailty. The biggest risk to this forecast is Vaduz's poor away record (six losses in seven), which could allow Lausanne to capitalise if the visitors' attack misfires.
Lausanne vs FC Vaduz: Common Questions
Who will win Lausanne vs FC Vaduz?
FC Vaduz are favoured with a 47% win probability, compared to 22% for Lausanne and 31% for the draw. Vaduz's superior scoring rate and Lausanne's winless home record drive this edge, but Vaduz's away form remains a risk.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Lausanne vs Vaduz?
There is a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals, with both teams' matches trending high-scoring—Vaduz have gone over this line in every league fixture, and Lausanne's defence at home is among the league's weakest.
Are both teams likely to score in Lausanne vs Vaduz?
Both teams to score is rated at 54%. Lausanne have scored in four of their last five, while Vaduz have only failed to score once away, but both sides' defensive records mean clean sheets are rare.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Lausanne vs FC Vaduz: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 15 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.