Leatherhead vs Hanworth Villa Predictions
FA Cup · England
Leatherhead
AI Predicted Score
2 - 2
Hanworth Villa
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
See full breakdown below
Leatherhead vs Hanworth Villa: Match Preview
Leatherhead enter this FA Cup tie unbeaten in their last five, with a form string of DWDWW and three clean sheets, but their latest 3-3 draw at Three Bridges exposed some defensive vulnerability. Hanworth Villa arrive in similarly strong nick, having won four of their last five—including a 6-0 demolition of Pagham in the previous FA Cup round—and are riding a two-game winning streak. With both sides progressing smoothly in their respective league and cup campaigns, the stakes are high for continued momentum.
The statistical matchup is shaped by Hanworth Villa’s prolific attack (3.6 goals per game in the last five, 5.0 per game in the Cup) against Leatherhead’s more balanced but less explosive profile (1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game over the same span). Both teams’ recent matches have featured second-half surges—Hanworth Villa with five second-half goals in five games, Leatherhead with three—while four of the last five Hanworth Villa games have seen both teams score. The absence of detailed set-piece or discipline data means the model leans heavily on these scoring rates and head-to-head history.
With neither defence entirely convincing and both attacks in rhythm, the model projects a high-probability BTTS scenario and a strong chance of over 2.5 goals. The most likely outcome is a draw, with a 2-2 scoreline the single highest-probability result, reflecting the history of close, high-scoring encounters between these teams.
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Expected goals · model says 1.70
Expected goals · model says 1.60
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
BTTS: Yes
65%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-2
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Leatherhead vs Hanworth Villa Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Leatherhead vs Hanworth Villa that most previews miss.
- 1Hanworth Villa’s last five matches average 4.8 total goals per game, well above typical FA Cup rates.
- 2Leatherhead have failed to score only once in their last five, but conceded three in their most recent outing.
- 3Four of the last eight head-to-heads have ended as draws, including a 3-3 and a 1-1 in the last three meetings.
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The Case For This Leatherhead vs Hanworth Villa Prediction
Statistically, this FA Cup tie sets up as a high-variance contest between two sides with robust attacking records and recent defensive inconsistencies. Leatherhead average 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded over their last five, while Hanworth Villa have been involved in even more open affairs, netting 3.6 and conceding 1.2 per game in the same span. The head-to-head history features a string of closely fought, goal-rich encounters, with four of the last eight meetings ending level and both teams scoring in five of those. Leatherhead’s home defensive record in the Cup is perfect so far this season, but Hanworth Villa’s away attack—six goals in their only away Cup outing—suggests they are unlikely to be shut out. Both sides have shown a tendency to score in bursts, with Hanworth Villa netting five second-half goals in their last five matches and Leatherhead also more productive after the break. The data points to a match where momentum could swing, particularly in the second half. Given the attacking output and the historical pattern of draws and BTTS in this fixture, the model expects a high-probability goal environment with neither side likely to dominate for long stretches. The most likely outcome is a score draw, with both teams’ attacking strengths and defensive lapses cancelling each other out over the 90 minutes.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Hanworth Villa average 3.6 goals scored per game in their last five matches, highest in the data set.
Defence
- →Leatherhead have kept three clean sheets in their last five, but have conceded three in their most recent outing.
Match Context
- →Five of the last eight head-to-head meetings have seen both teams score.
How Leatherhead and Hanworth Villa Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Leatherhead vs Hanworth Villa Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Leatherheadlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Hanworth Villalast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Leatherhead are unbeaten in their last five, mixing three wins with two draws and keeping three clean sheets, though their most recent match saw them concede three. Hanworth Villa have won four of their last five, including a 6-0 away win in the Cup, and have scored in every recent outing. Both sides arrive with momentum, but Hanworth Villa’s attack has been notably more prolific.
Leatherhead vs Hanworth Villa — Last 2 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +100% clean sheet rate this season
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 3.6 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +50% clean sheet rate this season
What History Says: Leatherhead vs Hanworth Villa
Leatherhead lead the recent head-to-head with four wins to Hanworth Villa’s one, but three draws—including a 3-3 last season—highlight how competitive this fixture has been. Both teams have scored in five of the last eight meetings, and only two matches finished with fewer than two goals. The trend points to open, closely contested encounters.
Leatherhead vs Hanworth Villa Head-to-Head History
Last 8 meetings between these sides
4
Leatherhead wins
3
Draws
1
Hanworth Villa wins
Things to Watch: Leatherhead vs Hanworth Villa
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available at time of writing, so value and edge calculations are omitted.
- ⚠️No detailed shot, possession, or set piece data for either side; model relies on goal-based rates.
- ⚠️Standings and league position context unavailable for both teams.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Leatherhead 2–2 Hanworth VillaThe model calls a 2-2 draw as the most probable outcome, driven by Hanworth Villa’s exceptional recent scoring rate (3.6 per game) and Leatherhead’s mix of clean sheets and defensive lapses. The likeliest way this call goes wrong is if Hanworth Villa’s attack proves too much for Leatherhead’s back line, or if Leatherhead’s home defensive record in the Cup holds firmer than their recent away form suggests.
Leatherhead vs Hanworth Villa: Common Questions
Who will win Leatherhead vs Hanworth Villa?
The model gives Leatherhead a 36% chance, Hanworth Villa a 32% chance, and a draw a 32% chance. With both sides in strong form and a history of close games, a draw is the most likely single result.
Will both teams score in Leatherhead vs Hanworth Villa?
Yes is rated at 68% probability, as both teams have scored in five of the last eight head-to-heads and Hanworth Villa have failed to score in none of their last five matches.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in Leatherhead vs Hanworth Villa?
Over 2.5 goals is rated at 66% probability, with Hanworth Villa’s matches averaging 4.8 total goals and Leatherhead conceding three last time out.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Leatherhead vs Hanworth Villa: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 26 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.