Leatherhead vs Ramsgate Predictions
FA Trophy · England
Leatherhead
Full Time
3 - 2
AI predicted 1 - 1
Ramsgate
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
See full breakdown below
Match Result
5.5/10Leatherhead Edge Ramsgate in Dramatic Penalty Shootout to Advance in FA Trophy
Leatherhead and Ramsgate played out a tense and evenly-matched FA Trophy tie that ultimately required penalties to settle. With neither side able to find a decisive advantage in regular or extra time, the contest was decided from the spot, where Leatherhead held their nerve to secure a 3-2 victory in the shootout. Both teams showed determination and resilience, but it was Leatherhead who emerged victorious, booking their place in the next round. The match itself was a cagey affair, with both defences standing strong and chances at a premium. The absence of goals in open play underscored the evenly-matched nature of the contest, as neither Leatherhead nor Ramsgate could break the deadlock despite their best efforts. Ultimately, the lottery of penalties proved decisive, with Leatherhead converting three to Ramsgate's two.
😅 AI Prediction Report
CLOSE BUT NO CIGARPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
3 - 2
Key Moments
FT' — Full Time
Match ends goalless after regular and extra time, heading to penalties.
PEN' — Penalty Shootout
Leatherhead win 3-2 on penalties after a tense shootout.
Leatherhead
Leatherhead displayed composure and discipline throughout the match, keeping Ramsgate at bay and maintaining their focus during a tense shootout. While they struggled to create clear-cut chances in open play, their defensive organisation and mental strength were evident, especially under the pressure of penalties.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Ramsgate
Ramsgate matched Leatherhead stride for stride, showing plenty of grit and determination. Their defensive solidity kept them in the contest, but like their hosts, they found chances hard to come by. In the shootout, nerves got the better of them as they missed three penalties, ultimately costing them progression.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With both teams unable to find the net in open play, the match was characterised by strong defensive organisation and a cautious approach from both managers. The formations—unavailable in the data—were likely set up to avoid conceding rather than to take risks going forward. The lack of goals and absence of cards suggest a disciplined, perhaps conservative tactical battle, with both sides prioritising structure and solidity over attacking flair. The shootout ultimately became the decisive tactical phase, with Leatherhead displaying greater composure from the spot.
Turning Point
The penalty shootout, where Leatherhead converted three penalties to Ramsgate's two, proved to be the decisive moment.
Man of the Match
Leatherhead Goalkeeper
Made crucial saves in the penalty shootout to secure Leatherhead's progression.
Leatherhead vs Ramsgate: Match Preview
Leatherhead enter this FA Trophy tie on a five-match run featuring three wins, a draw, and one defeat, scoring eight and conceding four. Ramsgate's recent form is similar, with three wins, a draw, and a loss, but they have been marginally more prolific in attack, netting ten times in their last five. Both teams have demonstrated defensive resilience, each conceding just 0.8 goals per game in this stretch, and neither side is carrying notable injuries.
The statistical matchup is finely poised. Leatherhead's attack (1.6 goals per game) will test a Ramsgate defence that has kept two clean sheets recently, while Ramsgate's 2.0 goals per game are offset by Leatherhead's three clean sheets in five. Ramsgate have started matches quickly, scoring four first-half goals in their last five, but Leatherhead tend to finish stronger, with four of their last five goals coming after the break. Set-piece and discipline data are unavailable, but both teams have shown the ability to manage tight matches, with only two of their last ten combined outings seeing both teams score in the first half.
The model expects a balanced contest, with the draw (0.36) narrowly more likely than a win for either side. The most probable outcome is a 1-1 scoreline, reflecting the moderate attacking rates and solid recent defences. The underlying numbers suggest a middling goal environment, with under 2.5 goals (0.52) slightly favoured, but both teams to score remains a near coin-flip at 0.51.
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Expected goals · model says 1.25
Expected goals · model says 1.20
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
BTTS: Yes
50%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 0-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Leatherhead vs Ramsgate Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Leatherhead vs Ramsgate that most previews miss.
- 1Leatherhead have kept three clean sheets in their last five matches, conceding only once at home in that span.
- 2Ramsgate have scored in four of their last five, with a first-half goal in each of those four matches.
- 3Both teams have seen under 2.5 goals in three of their last five matches.
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The Case For This Leatherhead vs Ramsgate Prediction
Both Leatherhead and Ramsgate arrive in decent form, each averaging over 1.5 goals scored and under 1 goal conceded per match across their last five outings. The recent data points to a balanced contest, with neither side dominating the shot or goal metrics, and both showing a capacity to keep clean sheets—Leatherhead with three, Ramsgate with two in their last five. Statistically, the matchup is defined by similar attacking outputs (Leatherhead 1.6, Ramsgate 2.0 goals per game in last five) and matching defensive records (0.8 conceded for both). Both teams have split their scoring between halves, but Ramsgate edge first-half output (four first-half goals in five), while Leatherhead have been stronger after the break (four second-half goals). The head-to-head is limited but notable: Leatherhead have won both recent meetings, including a 4-1 home win last season. The model forecasts a tightly contested match, with the draw (0.36) narrowly more likely than either side winning outright. The most probable scoreline is 1-1, reflecting the moderate attacking rates and solid recent defences. The goal environment is middling, with under 2.5 goals (0.52) slightly favoured, but both teams to score remains a near coin-flip at 0.51.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Leatherhead have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match in their last five.
- →Ramsgate are scoring 2.0 per game and conceding 0.8 over the same period.
Match Context
- →Leatherhead have won both recent head-to-head meetings, including a 4-1 home win.
How Leatherhead and Ramsgate Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Leatherhead vs Ramsgate Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Leatherheadlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Ramsgatelast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Leatherhead have pieced together a strong five-match run, taking three wins and a draw while conceding just four goals. Ramsgate have matched that pace, also winning three of their last five and scoring ten in the process. Both sides have demonstrated balance, with neither attack nor defence showing a clear edge in recent weeks.
Leatherhead vs Ramsgate — Last 1 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.2 goals/game (last 5)
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
What History Says: Leatherhead vs Ramsgate
Leatherhead have won both previous meetings with Ramsgate, including a 4-1 home win in last season's FA Trophy. However, the head-to-head sample is limited to just two matches, so while Leatherhead's edge is notable, it is not decisive given the current form of both teams.
Leatherhead vs Ramsgate Head-to-Head History
Last 3 meetings between these sides
3
Leatherhead wins
0
Draws
0
Ramsgate wins
Things to Watch: Leatherhead vs Ramsgate
- ⚠️No season-long home/away splits or full league table data available.
- ⚠️Small sample size for head-to-head (only two matches).
- ⚠️Missing shot, possession, and set-piece statistics limits tactical depth.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Leatherhead 1–1 RamsgateThe model projects a 1-1 draw as the likeliest outcome, underpinned by both sides' similar recent scoring (Leatherhead 1.6, Ramsgate 2.0 per game) and defensive rates (0.8 conceded each). The biggest risk to this call is Ramsgate's slightly higher attacking ceiling, as shown by their five-goal outing two matches ago, but the overall rates suggest a balanced, low-to-mid scoring contest.
Leatherhead vs Ramsgate: Common Questions
Who will win Leatherhead vs Ramsgate?
The model rates the draw as the most likely outcome (0.36), with Leatherhead and Ramsgate close behind at 0.33 and 0.31 respectively. Both teams have posted similar recent results and goal rates, making this a balanced fixture.
Will both teams score in Leatherhead vs Ramsgate?
Both teams to score is rated at 0.51, reflecting that each side has averaged over 1.5 goals scored and under 1 goal conceded per match in their last five. The recent head-to-head also supports a competitive, open contest.
Is over or under 2.5 goals more likely in Leatherhead vs Ramsgate?
Under 2.5 goals is marginally favoured at 0.52 probability, with both teams showing solid defensive records (0.8 conceded per game each) and three of their last five matches going under this line.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Leatherhead vs Ramsgate: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 19 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.