Macclesfield vs Hereford Predictions
National League - North · England
Macclesfield
AI Predicted Score
1 - 1
Hereford
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Correct Score: 1–1
Recommended Bets: Macclesfield vs Hereford
Macclesfield vs Hereford: Match Preview
The National League North’s top two meet with just a point separating them: Macclesfield lead the table on 24 points (7W, 3D, 1L), while Hereford are close behind on 23 (7W, 2D, 2L). Both sides have been consistent, with Macclesfield unbeaten at home and Hereford boasting the division’s best goal difference. Recent form is steady for both—Macclesfield are unbeaten in five (WDWWD), while Hereford’s last five (LDLWW) include some heavy scoring but also a recent home defeat.
Statistically, the matchup is tight. Macclesfield average 1.55 goals scored and 0.82 conceded per game, while Hereford are even more efficient at both ends (2.0 scored, 0.55 conceded). Both sides have seen over 2.5 goals in 54.55% of their league games, and Macclesfield’s matches have produced BTTS in 4 of the last 5. Hereford’s away defence is particularly strong (3 goals conceded in 5), but they also tend to score more after the break (7 second-half goals in last 5), suggesting a game that could open up late.
Given the data, the model expects a cagey first half, with both teams’ defensive solidity likely to limit early chances. The likeliest scenario is a low-scoring draw, with a 1-1 result best fitting the underlying rates. Both teams have enough attacking quality to edge it if defences slip, but margins are extremely fine at this level.
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Expected goals · model says 1.30
Expected goals · model says 1.30
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
BTTS: Yes
53%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 0-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Macclesfield vs Hereford Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Macclesfield vs Hereford that most previews miss.
- 1Hereford have conceded just 3 away goals in 5 trips, the best defensive away record in the division.
- 2Both teams’ matches have gone over 2.5 goals in exactly 54.55% of league fixtures this season.
- 3Macclesfield have scored in every home match and kept clean sheets in 45.45% of all games.
Who do you think wins: Macclesfield vs Hereford?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Macclesfield vs Hereford(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 1–1
Both teams average under 1 goal conceded per game (Macclesfield 0.82, Hereford 0.55), and the draw probability is high at 0.32, with a 1-1 scoreline matching both teams’ scoring rates and recent defensive records.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 54.55% of their league matches, and their combined last 5 matches average 3.4 goals per game, suggesting a slightly goal-leaning environment.
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BTTS: Yes
Macclesfield have scored in all of their last 5, and Hereford have failed to score just once in the same span; BTTS has landed in 4 of Macclesfield’s last 5.
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More National League - North Predictions
The Case For This Macclesfield vs Hereford Prediction
Statistically, this is a clash of the league’s top two sides, both boasting strong defensive records and efficient attacks. Macclesfield’s home record (5W, 1D, 0L, 12:5) is marginally better than Hereford’s away form (3W, 1D, 1L, 9:3), but Hereford’s overall goal difference (+16) outpaces Macclesfield’s (+8), reflecting a more dominant scoring margin across the season. Both sides come in with similar momentum, but Hereford’s recent attacking output (2.4 goals per game last 5) is slightly higher than Macclesfield’s (2.0). The numbers point to a balanced contest: both teams allow under a goal per game (Macclesfield 0.82, Hereford 0.55), and neither side has failed to score at home/away, respectively. Macclesfield’s matches have seen BTTS in 4 of their last 5, while Hereford’s defensive solidity is offset by their ability to score in bursts, especially after the break (7 second-half goals in last 5). The over 2.5 rate is identical (54.55%) for both, but the underlying shot and set-piece data is unavailable, limiting deeper tactical insights. With no key injuries and both sides highly motivated at the league summit, the model expects a low-margin, competitive fixture. The most probable outcome is a draw, with 1-1 the likeliest scoreline, reflecting the combination of strong defences and enough attacking quality on both sides. Margins are thin: a moment of quality or a defensive lapse could tip the balance either way.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Hereford’s away defence has conceded just 3 goals in 5 matches.
- →Both teams average under 1 goal conceded per game across the season.
Match Context
- →Macclesfield have not lost at home this season (5W, 1D, 0L, 12:5 goal difference).
How Macclesfield and Hereford Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Macclesfield vs Hereford Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Macclesfieldlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Herefordlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Scoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Macclesfield are unbeaten in their last five (WDWWD), including a high-scoring 4-3 home win and a 1-0 clean sheet. Hereford’s last five have been more volatile (LDLWW), with a 6-0 win offset by a recent 0-1 home defeat. Both sides have shown resilience, but Hereford’s attack has been more explosive, averaging 2.4 goals per game over the last five.
Macclesfield vs Hereford — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +45.45% clean sheet rate this season
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.4 goals/game (last 5)
- +54.55% clean sheet rate this season
What History Says: Macclesfield vs Hereford
Macclesfield have won both previous encounters, including a 3-1 home victory and a 2-0 away win last season. However, with only two matches in the recent head-to-head, there’s not enough data to draw strong conclusions about a recurring pattern.
Macclesfield vs Hereford Head-to-Head History
Last 2 meetings between these sides
2
Macclesfield wins
0
Draws
0
Hereford wins
Things to Watch: Macclesfield vs Hereford
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so no value edges can be computed.
- ⚠️Shot, possession, and set-piece data are missing, reducing confidence in tactical matchup analysis.
- ⚠️Small sample size for head-to-head (only 2 meetings) limits historical pattern reliability.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Macclesfield 1–1 HerefordA 1-1 draw is the most probable outcome, underpinned by both teams’ sub-1.0 goals conceded per game and similar over 2.5 rates. The single strongest data point is Hereford’s defensive record away from home (0.6 goals conceded per away game), which should keep this tight. The likeliest way this goes wrong is if either side’s recent attacking surges (both averaging 2+ goals per game in the last 5) break through early and force a more open contest.
Macclesfield vs Hereford: Common Questions
Who will win Macclesfield vs Hereford?
The model gives both Macclesfield and Hereford a 34% chance of victory, with a 32% probability of a draw. Both teams are strong defensively and closely matched, so a draw is marginally the most likely result.
Will both teams score in Macclesfield vs Hereford?
There’s a 58% probability of both teams scoring, supported by Macclesfield’s BTTS record (4 of last 5) and Hereford’s consistent away scoring. Both sides have failed to score just once each in their last 5 matches.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in Macclesfield vs Hereford?
The probability for over 2.5 goals is 51%, reflecting that both teams have seen this line land in 54.55% of their league matches. The underlying scoring rates suggest a slightly goal-leaning environment, but defences remain strong.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Macclesfield vs Hereford: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 17 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More Macclesfield vs Hereford Resources
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Macclesfield vs Hereford Stats
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National League - North Predictions
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Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results