Maidenhead vs Dagenham & Redbridge Predictions

Prediction by The Numbers Desk — No extreme form or market signal — routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
National League - SouthNational League - South · England
high confidence
Maidenhead

Maidenhead

AI Predicted Score

1 - 1

Dagenham & Redbridge

Dagenham & Redbridge

🗓️ Saturday, 31 Oct 2026 at 15:00 GMT (venue time) · 15:00 UTC (your time)📍 York Road, Maidenhead

Win Probability (1X2)

Maidenhead 27%Draw 39%Dagenham & Redbridge 34%

Best Value Pick

Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5

Recommended Bets: Maidenhead vs Dagenham & Redbridge

Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
8/10
Match Result: Draw
6/10

Maidenhead vs Dagenham & Redbridge: Match Preview

Maidenhead come into this fixture sitting 18th, still searching for a first home win after six attempts (0W 4D 2L, 4 scored, 9 conceded). Their recent form is patchy, with just one win in the last five, and the attack has faltered at York Road—blanking in three of the last four home league games. Dagenham & Redbridge, seventh in the table, have also hit a rough patch with just one win in their last five league outings, but their defensive record remains robust, conceding only nine in twelve matches and keeping three clean sheets in their last five.

The statistical matchup points to a low-event contest. Maidenhead average just 0.67 goals per home game, while Dagenham & Redbridge's away attack is similarly blunt at 0.67 goals per game. Both sides' matches are rarely high-scoring: Maidenhead's over 2.5 rate at home is 33%, Dagenham & Redbridge's away is just 17%. The first half is typically cagey—Dagenham & Redbridge have yet to score before the break in their last five, and Maidenhead have only two first-half goals in the same span. With both teams averaging fewer than 1.2 goals conceded per game, clear chances may be at a premium.

The model expects a tight, tactical battle, with neither side able to assert sustained attacking pressure. The most likely scenario is a low-scoring draw, with both teams' defensive structure outweighing their attacking ambition. A 1-1 scoreline is the modal outcome, but a single goal could decide it if either side capitalises on a rare opening.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Maidenhead0.80

Expected goals · model says 0.80

Dagenham & Redbridge0.95

Expected goals · model says 0.95

Win Probability
Maidenhead 29% Draw 33% Dagenham & Redbridge 37%

Over 2.5 Goals

26%

BTTS: Yes

34%

Likely Scores

0-0 · 0-1 · 1-0

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Maidenhead vs Dagenham & Redbridge Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
27%
39%
34%
Maidenhead 27%Draw 39%Dagenham & Redbridge 34%
Both Teams to Score
46%
54%
Yes 46%No 54%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
29%
71%
Over 2.5 29%Under 2.5 71%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Maidenhead vs Dagenham & Redbridge that most previews miss.

  • 1Dagenham & Redbridge matches have gone under 2.5 goals in 10 of 12 league games this season (83%).
  • 2Maidenhead have failed to win any of their last eight home league matches, stretching back to last season.
  • 3Four of the last six head-to-head meetings have featured one or no goals in the first half.

Who do you think wins: Maidenhead vs Dagenham & Redbridge?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

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The Case For This Maidenhead vs Dagenham & Redbridge Prediction

This fixture brings together two sides trending towards the lower end of the goals spectrum, with Maidenhead's home struggles set against Dagenham & Redbridge's defensive solidity but limited away threat. The statistical shape points to a low-scoring, closely-fought contest, with neither attack outpacing the other's defensive baseline.

Key Factors at a Glance

Attack

  • →Maidenhead have failed to win any of their six home matches (0W 4D 2L), scoring just four times.
  • →Dagenham & Redbridge have the league's lowest over 2.5 goals rate (16.7%) and average only 0.83 goals scored per game.
  • →Head-to-head meetings are often tight, with four of the last six finishing under 2.5 goals.

How Maidenhead and Dagenham & Redbridge Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Maidenhead vs Dagenham & Redbridge Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.

MaidenheadMaidenheadlast 5 matches
J. Umerah
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

J. Coley
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

J. Mitchell-Lawson
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

D. Nkrumah
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

C. Hall
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

F. Welch
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Dagenham & RedbridgeDagenham & Redbridgelast 5 matches
T. Dieng
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

H. Beautyman
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Maidenhead's recent form is inconsistent, with a single win in their last five and a concerning home record—no wins, just four goals scored in six matches. Dagenham & Redbridge have also lost momentum, winning only once in their last five, but their defensive record remains among the league's best, conceding just nine in twelve.

Maidenhead vs Dagenham & Redbridge — Last 10 Matches

MaidenheadMaidenheadLast 10 results
L1-2
L0-1
W4-0
D2-2
L0-4
W3-0
D1-1
L0-1
D1-1
W1-0
L@ Maidstone Utd1-2
Lvs Tonbridge Angels0-1
W@ Chesham United4-0
Dvs Billericay Town2-2
Lvs Torquay0-4
W@ Dover3-0
Dvs AFC Totton1-1
L@ Chelmsford City0-1
Dvs Farnborough1-1
W@ Hemel Hempstead Town1-0

Concerns

  • −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
Dagenham & RedbridgeDagenham & RedbridgeLast 10 results
L0-2
D0-0
W1-0
L0-1
L0-1
D1-1
W1-0
L0-3
W2-0
W2-0
L@ Farnborough0-2
Dvs Hemel Hempstead Town0-0
Wvs Hampton & Richmond1-0
L@ Weston-super-Mare0-1
Lvs Dover0-1
D@ Horsham1-1
Wvs Slough Town1-0
L@ Truro City0-3
Wvs Torquay2-0
W@ Walton & Hersham2-0

Strengths

  • +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
  • +50% clean sheet rate this season

What History Says: Maidenhead vs Dagenham & Redbridge

Dagenham & Redbridge have a slight edge in the head-to-head, winning five of the last ten meetings, but recent encounters have been tight and low-scoring. Four of the last six have finished under 2.5 goals, and draws or narrow margins are common at York Road.

Maidenhead vs Dagenham & Redbridge Head-to-Head History

Last 10 meetings between these sides

4

Maidenhead wins

1

Draws

5

Dagenham & Redbridge wins

40%10% draws50%
21 Feb 26Maidenhead vs Dagenham & Redbridge2-0
22 Nov 25Dagenham & Redbridge vs Maidenhead1-0
29 Mar 25Dagenham & Redbridge vs Maidenhead1-0
7 Sept 24Maidenhead vs Dagenham & Redbridge1-1
16 Mar 24Dagenham & Redbridge vs Maidenhead4-1
19 Aug 23Maidenhead vs Dagenham & Redbridge1-0

Things to Watch: Maidenhead vs Dagenham & Redbridge

  • ⚠️No bookmaker odds available at time of modelling, so value edges cannot be calculated.
  • ⚠️Lack of shots, possession, and set-piece data limits precision on secondary markets.
  • ⚠️Both teams' recent attacking output is volatile, with Maidenhead scoring four in one away match but blanking at home.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Maidenhead 1–1 Dagenham & Redbridge

The model projects a 1-1 draw, driven primarily by both teams' low scoring rates—Dagenham & Redbridge average just 0.83 goals for and 0.75 against per game, while Maidenhead have not won at home and score only 0.67 per home match. The most plausible way this forecast misses is if one side capitalises on an early set piece or defensive lapse, swinging the match away from its statistical baseline.

Maidenhead vs Dagenham & Redbridge: Common Questions

Who will win Maidenhead vs Dagenham & Redbridge?

The model rates the draw as the most likely outcome (39%), with Dagenham & Redbridge slightly favoured over Maidenhead (34% vs 27%). Both teams' low attacking output and Maidenhead's winless home record tilt this towards a stalemate.

Will Maidenhead vs Dagenham & Redbridge be under 2.5 goals?

There is a 71% probability of under 2.5 goals, as both teams combine for under 2.5 in 75% of their league matches and Dagenham & Redbridge have the league's lowest over 2.5 rate (17%).

Are both teams likely to score in Maidenhead vs Dagenham & Redbridge?

Both teams to score is rated at 46%, with the 'no' slightly favoured (54%), reflecting both sides' struggles to score and strong clean sheet rates, especially for Dagenham & Redbridge (50% clean sheets this season).

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Maidenhead vs Dagenham & Redbridge: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 24 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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