Maidstone Utd vs Farnham Town Predictions
National League - South · England
Maidstone Utd
AI Predicted Score
2 - 2
Farnham Town
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
@ 1.95(+31% edge)
Recommended Bets: Maidstone Utd vs Farnham Town
Maidstone Utd vs Farnham Town: Match Preview
Maidstone United approach this fixture in second place, buoyed by back-to-back wins and a five-match unbeaten run at home. Their last five matches have yielded 8 points and 8 goals, but defensive lapses remain a concern, with no clean sheets in that span. Farnham Town, sitting fifth, are just three points behind and arrive with four wins from their last five, including an emphatic 6-0 victory over Braintree and a recent away win at Chelmsford City.
Statistically, this is a meeting of two of the division's most attack-minded sides. Maidstone average 1.75 goals scored and 1.19 conceded per game, while Farnham Town are even more prolific at 2.0 scored and 1.25 conceded. Both teams’ matches regularly clear the 2.5 goal line (Maidstone 75%, Farnham 62.5%), and BTTS has landed in all of Maidstone’s last five. Farnham's away record (13 goals for, 8 against in 8 games) is closely matched by Maidstone’s home record (11 for, 11 against in 8), suggesting little home advantage and a strong likelihood of goals at both ends.
Given these underlying rates, the model expects an open contest where both attacks should be able to exploit defensive weaknesses. With neither side showing consistent clean sheet form and both ranking among the top five for goals scored, a high-scoring draw is the most probable outcome, with a 2-2 scoreline narrowly favoured.
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Expected goals · model says 1.60
Expected goals · model says 1.70
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
BTTS: Yes
65%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 2-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Maidstone Utd vs Farnham Town Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Maidstone Utd vs Farnham Town that most previews miss.
- 1Maidstone have seen both teams score in each of their last five league matches, conceding at least once every time.
- 2Farnham Town average 1.63 goals per away game and have lost just two of eight on the road, conceding exactly one goal per away match on average.
- 3Maidstone's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 75% of league fixtures this season, the highest rate among the division's top five.
Who do you think wins: Maidstone Utd vs Farnham Town?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Maidstone Utd vs Farnham Town(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
BTTS: Yes@ 1.8
Both sides have strong attacking records and defensive vulnerabilities: Maidstone have seen BTTS in all of their last five matches, conceding in each, while Farnham have kept just two clean sheets in their last five and average 3 goals scored per game in that span.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5@ 1.95
Maidstone's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 75% of league games this season, and Farnham's in 62.5%, with both teams averaging at least 1.75 goals scored per game and conceding over 1.1.
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Match Result: Draw@ 3.6
Both teams are in positive form but closely matched on underlying metrics, and a high-scoring stalemate is plausible given their recent scoring and conceding rates.
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More National League - South Predictions
The Case For This Maidstone Utd vs Farnham Town Prediction
A meeting between two of the National League South's most productive attacks, with both Maidstone United and Farnham Town averaging over 1.7 goals per game and showing recent form that points to a high-scoring contest. Defensive records are less convincing on both sides, and neither has shown a consistent ability to shut out quality opposition. The statistical profile suggests an open game with both teams likely to find the net and little to separate them over ninety minutes.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Both teams rank in the top five for goals scored in the division, and their matches are above league average for over 2.5 goals.
Defence
- →Maidstone have scored in every one of their last five matches but have also conceded in all of them.
- →Farnham Town's last five games feature an average of 3 goals scored and just 0.8 conceded per match, but with only two clean sheets.
How Maidstone Utd and Farnham Town Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Maidstone Utd vs Farnham Town Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Maidstone Utdlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Farnham Townlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Maidstone United have claimed three wins from their last five, including back-to-back victories, but have not managed a clean sheet in that span. Farnham Town are even hotter, with four wins in five and a +10 goal difference over that stretch, highlighted by a 6-0 rout of Braintree. Both sides are trending upwards, but defensive vulnerabilities persist.
Maidstone Utd vs Farnham Town — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 75% of games this season
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
Things to Watch: Maidstone Utd vs Farnham Town
- ⚠️No head-to-head data is available for this fixture, increasing uncertainty around matchup-specific dynamics.
- ⚠️Lack of shots, possession, and set piece data limits precision in estimating corners and cards markets.
- ⚠️No injury or suspension news reported, but late changes to lineups could impact attacking output or defensive stability.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Maidstone Utd 2–2 Farnham TownThe data points to a high-scoring draw, with a 2-2 result the most likely given both teams’ strong attacking output and tendency to concede. The single strongest data point is Maidstone’s 75% over 2.5 goal rate, supported by Farnham’s 2.0 goals scored per game. The main risk is that one side’s attack outpaces the other’s, especially if Farnham’s recent surge in scoring continues or Maidstone’s defensive issues worsen.
Maidstone Utd vs Farnham Town: Common Questions
Who will win Maidstone United vs Farnham Town?
The model gives Farnham Town a slight edge (37% win probability) over Maidstone United (33%), with a draw also highly plausible (30%). Both teams are in strong form and closely matched on season-long metrics.
Will both teams score in Maidstone United vs Farnham Town?
Yes, both teams to score is rated at 69% probability, supported by Maidstone’s 100% BTTS record in their last five and Farnham’s high-scoring recent matches.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in Maidstone United vs Farnham Town?
Over 2.5 goals is rated at 67% probability, with Maidstone’s matches clearing that line in 75% of league games and Farnham’s in 62.5%.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Maidstone Utd vs Farnham Town: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 14 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.