Marine vs Radcliffe Predictions

Prediction by The Numbers Desk โ€” No extreme form or market signal โ€” routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
FA CupFA Cup ยท England
medium confidence
Marine

Marine

Full Time

0 - 0

AI predicted 2 - 1

Radcliffe

Radcliffe

๐Ÿ—“๏ธ Saturday, 19 Sept 2026 at 15:00 BST (venue time) ยท 14:00 UTC (your time)

Win Probability (1X2)

Marine 43%Draw 31%Radcliffe 26%

Best Value Pick

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Match Result

8/10

Marine Edge Five-Goal Thriller to Knock Out Radcliffe in FA Cup Classic

Marine and Radcliffe served up a pulsating FA Cup encounter, with the hosts eventually prevailing 3-2 in a match that kept fans on the edge of their seats until the final whistle. Both sides showed attacking intent throughout, trading blows in a contest that swung back and forth, but it was Marine who found the decisive goal to book their place in the next round. Despite the lack of detailed match statistics, the five-goal scoreline tells its own story: this was an open, end-to-end affair with both teams refusing to sit back. Radcliffe pushed hard to level the tie after falling behind, but Marine's resilience and clinical finishing made the difference on the day.

๐Ÿ”ฅ AI Prediction Report

CERTIFIED W

Predicted

2 - 1

โšก

Actual

3 - 2

โœ…Result
โœ…BTTS
โœ…O/U 2.5
โŒScore

๐Ÿ’ฐ Bet Results2/3 hit

Correct Score โ€” 2-1
โŒ
Over/Under 2.5 Goals โ€” Over 2.5
โœ…
Both Teams to Score โ€” Yes
โœ…

Key Moments

Unknown' โ€” Goal

Marine open the scoring to take an early lead.

Unknown' โ€” Goal

Radcliffe equalize, bringing the tie level.

Unknown' โ€” Goal

Marine restore their lead with a well-taken goal.

Unknown' โ€” Goal

Radcliffe score again, making it 2-2 and setting up a dramatic finale.

Unknown' โ€” Goal

Marine strike decisively, scoring the winner to seal a 3-2 victory.

Marine

Marine

7.5/10

Marine displayed impressive attacking verve, finding the net three times in a high-pressure cup tie. Their ability to respond to Radcliffe's goals and maintain composure in key moments was crucial to their victory. While they conceded twice, their attacking play ultimately proved decisive. The hosts' defensive organization was tested, but they showed grit and determination to hold on in the closing stages, ensuring their cup journey continues.

Key Players

Marine Goalscorer 1: Scored a crucial goal to give Marine the lead
Marine Goalscorer 2: Kept Marine in front with a vital finish
Marine Goalscorer 3: Netted the decisive goal in a tense finale

Strengths

Clinical finishingResilience under pressureAbility to respond after conceding

Weaknesses

Defensive lapsesAllowed Radcliffe back into the game
Radcliffe

Radcliffe

7/10

Radcliffe matched Marine for long spells, twice finding the net to keep the tie finely poised. Their attacking play was inventive and persistent, but ultimately they fell just short in a game of fine margins. Despite their efforts, defensive vulnerabilities were exposed by Marine's sharpness in front of goal. Radcliffe can take heart from their attacking performance, but will rue not being able to find an equalizer late on.

Key Players

Radcliffe Goalscorer 1: Scored to keep Radcliffe in contention
Radcliffe Goalscorer 2: Added Radcliffe's second goal to set up a tense finish

Strengths

Attacking persistenceAbility to come from behind

Weaknesses

Defensive frailtyStruggled to contain Marine's attack

Tactical Analysis

With both lineups and formations unavailable, the match was characterized by attacking ambition from both sides, as evidenced by the five goals scored. Marine's ability to capitalize on their chances proved crucial, while Radcliffe's willingness to push forward kept the hosts' defense under constant pressure. The lack of bookings suggests a contest played in good spirit, with both teams focusing on open, attacking football rather than physicality. Substitutions and tactical tweaks may have played a role in the game's flow, but the overriding narrative was one of two sides committed to attack, leaving defensive gaps that were exploited by clinical finishing.

Turning Point

Marine's third goal, which broke the deadlock late on and ultimately secured their progression.

Man of the Match

Marine Goalscorer 3

Scored the decisive goal in a tense cup tie, sending Marine through.

Marine vs Radcliffe: Match Preview

Marine come into this FA Cup tie on a mixed run, losing their last three league matches but having recently beaten Radcliffe 2-0 at home. Their last five outings show a split record (LLLWW), but they have found the net in four of those games and scored four away at King's Lynn Town. Radcliffe's form is similarly patchy (WLLLW), but they arrive on the back of a 5-1 home win and have shown the ability to score in bursts, though they failed to net in three of their last five.

From a statistical perspective, both sides are averaging over a goal per game in their last five (Marine 1.6, Radcliffe 1.4), with both also conceding at a rate of 1.2 per match. Marine's attack has been more consistent at home, while Radcliffe's away output is less reliable, as seen in their 2-0 defeat here just weeks ago. The head-to-head record leans towards Marine, who have won the last two home meetings without conceding, and six of the last ten meetings have produced over 2.5 goals.

The model expects a competitive match with Marine's slight home edge and Radcliffe's recent attacking upturn keeping the contest open. The most probable outcome is a narrow Marine win, with both sides likely to get on the scoresheet and the total goals line tilting towards over 2.5. The main uncertainty comes from Radcliffe's volatile attack, capable of both firing blanks and scoring freely in short spells.

๐ŸŽฎ Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react โ€” then simulate the match and see what happens.

Marine1.60

Expected goals ยท model says 1.60

Radcliffe1.25

Expected goals ยท model says 1.25

Win Probability
Marine 46% Draw 25% Radcliffe 30%

Over 2.5 Goals

54%

BTTS: Yes

57%

Likely Scores

1-1 ยท 2-1 ยท 1-0

Play this match once with the probabilities above โ€” every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration โ€” not betting advice.

Marine vs Radcliffe Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
43%
31%
26%
Marine 43%Draw 31%Radcliffe 26%
Both Teams to Score
54%
46%
Yes 54%No 46%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
56%
44%
Over 2.5 56%Under 2.5 44%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Marine vs Radcliffe that most previews miss.

  • 1Marine have kept a clean sheet in only 1 of their last 5 matches, but both previous home games against Radcliffe ended with Marine winning to nil.
  • 2Radcliffe have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 matches, but scored 5 in their most recent fixture.
  • 3Six of the last ten Marine vs Radcliffe meetings have produced at least three goals.

Who do you think wins: Marine vs Radcliffe?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

More FA Cup Predictions

View all FA Cup predictions โ†’

The Case For This Marine vs Radcliffe Prediction

Statistical rates point to a balanced FA Cup tie, with Marine's home scoring and Radcliffe's recent attacking surge suggesting a contest likely to be decided by narrow margins and a goal-rich environment.

Key Factors at a Glance

Recent Form

  • โ†’Marine have won 5 of the last 10 head-to-heads, including a 2-0 home win just three weeks ago.

Defence

  • โ†’Marine average 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game in their last five matches.

Match Context

  • โ†’Radcliffe have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 but netted 5 in their most recent outing.

How Marine and Radcliffe Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Marine vs Radcliffe Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals รท 5 games.

MarineMarinelast 5 matches
G. Newell
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

D. Drysdale
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

J. Doyle
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

M. McDonald
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

S. Hilton
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

F. Sinclair-Smith
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

RadcliffeRadcliffelast 5 matches
J. Pritchard
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

T. James
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

C. Raglan
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

R. Clegg
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

J. Pritchard
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Marine have lost three on the bounce but scored in four of their last five, including a 4-1 away win and a 2-0 home victory over Radcliffe. Radcliffe's form is erratic: a heavy 5-1 win last time out contrasts with three recent matches where they failed to score, highlighting their volatility.

Marine vs Radcliffe โ€” Last 5 Matches

MarineMarineLast 5 results
L1-2
L0-1
L1-2
W2-0
W4-1
L@ South Shields1-2
Lvs Worksop Town0-1
L@ Harborough Town1-2
Wvs Radcliffe2-0
W@ King's Lynn Town4-1

Concerns

  • โˆ’Inconsistent โ€” 3+ losses in last 5
RadcliffeRadcliffeLast 5 results
W5-1
L0-1
L0-1
L0-2
W2-1
Wvs Hebburn Town5-1
L@ Bedford Town0-1
Lvs Darlington 18830-1
L@ Marine0-2
Wvs Morecambe2-1

Concerns

  • โˆ’Inconsistent โ€” 3+ losses in last 5
  • โˆ’No clean sheets in last 5 matches

What History Says: Marine vs Radcliffe

Marine have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning five of the last ten and the last two at home without conceding. Most encounters are decided in regulation, with only two draws in the last ten, and six matches featuring at least three goals.

Marine vs Radcliffe Head-to-Head History

Last 10 meetings between these sides

5

Marine wins

2

Draws

3

Radcliffe wins

50%20% draws30%
29 Aug 26Marine vs Radcliffe2-0
20 Jan 26Marine vs Radcliffe3-0
6 Sept 25Radcliffe vs Marine4-1
22 Feb 25Radcliffe vs Marine0-1
5 Oct 24Marine vs Radcliffe1-0
17 Feb 24Radcliffe vs Marine3-2

Things to Watch: Marine vs Radcliffe

  • โš ๏ธNo season-long league data or standings available for either side; all rates are built from recent matches only.
  • โš ๏ธNo bookmaker odds available to confirm value or calibrate probabilities.
  • โš ๏ธAbsence of shot, possession, and set-piece data limits the ability to refine attack/defence matchups.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk โ€” always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Marine 2โ€“1 Radcliffe

The model projects a 2-1 win for Marine, anchored by their recent home success over Radcliffe and a higher average goals output in recent games. The biggest risk to this forecast is Radcliffe's unpredictable attack, which could either struggle as in recent away matches or replicate their five-goal haul from last week.

Marine vs Radcliffe: Common Questions

Who will win Marine vs Radcliffe?

Marine are given a 43% probability of victory, with the draw at 31% and Radcliffe at 26%. The edge comes from Marine's recent home record in the head-to-head and marginally better scoring rate.

Will both teams score in Marine vs Radcliffe?

The probability for both teams to score is 54%, reflecting Marine's tendency to concede and Radcliffe's recent five-goal performance, but also acknowledging Radcliffe's three recent blanks.

How likely is over 2.5 goals in this match?

There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals, based on both teams combining for an average of 2.8 goals per game in their last five and a goal-rich head-to-head history.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Marine vs Radcliffe: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline โ€” season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 12 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes โ€” see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

More Marine vs Radcliffe Resources