Pagham vs Hanworth Villa Predictions
FA Cup · England
Pagham
Full Time
0 - 6
AI predicted 1 - 2
Hanworth Villa
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Hanworth Villa Win
Match Result
7/10Hanworth Villa Hit Pagham for Six in FA Cup Rout
Hanworth Villa produced a devastating attacking display to dismantle Pagham 6-0 in the FA Cup, stamping their authority from start to finish. The visitors were relentless, scoring at regular intervals and never allowing the hosts a foothold in the match. Pagham, meanwhile, were overwhelmed and failed to register a response as Hanworth Villa cruised into the next round. The gulf in class was evident throughout, with Hanworth Villa controlling proceedings and converting their chances with ruthless efficiency. Pagham struggled to cope with the visitors’ intensity and attacking movement, and by the final whistle, the scoreline reflected the one-sided nature of the contest.
🔥 AI Prediction Report
CERTIFIED WPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
0 - 6
💰 Bet Results2/2 hit
Key Moments
N/A' — Goal
Hanworth Villa scored six unanswered goals, dominating the match from start to finish.
Pagham
Pagham endured a torrid afternoon, conceding six goals without reply in front of their home fans. Unable to muster any attacking threat or defensive solidity, they were second best in every department. The hosts struggled to contain Hanworth Villa’s forward line and offered little resistance as the goals continued to flow. With no goals scored and a heavy defeat to digest, Pagham will need to regroup quickly if they are to bounce back from this humbling FA Cup exit.
Weaknesses
Hanworth Villa
Hanworth Villa were in imperious form, dispatching Pagham with a clinical 6-0 victory. Their attacking play was incisive and their finishing ruthless, as they dominated from the opening whistle. The visitors’ defense remained untroubled throughout, allowing them to push forward with confidence and rack up an emphatic scoreline. This commanding performance will give Hanworth Villa plenty of confidence as they progress in the competition, having demonstrated both attacking flair and defensive solidity.
Strengths
Tactical Analysis
With no lineup or formation data available, the tactical story is told through the sheer dominance of Hanworth Villa. Their ability to repeatedly breach Pagham’s defense suggests a well-organized attacking setup, likely exploiting width and movement to create space and opportunities. Pagham, by contrast, were unable to impose themselves in any area of the pitch, struggling to maintain shape and discipline as the goals mounted. The lack of bookings or cards points to a match played with little resistance from the hosts and efficient professionalism from the visitors. Hanworth Villa’s tactical discipline allowed them to control the tempo and flow, while Pagham’s inability to adapt or respond tactically contributed to the heavy defeat.
Turning Point
Hanworth Villa’s early breakthrough set the tone, and once the first goal went in, Pagham never recovered as the visitors continued to pile on the pressure.
Man of the Match
Hanworth Villa Forward
Instrumental in the attacking display that resulted in a 6-0 victory, leading the line with clinical finishing.
Pagham vs Hanworth Villa: Match Preview
Pagham come into this FA Cup tie on the back of a 2-0 home win over Ascot United, which ended a three-match losing streak in the competition. Their recent form string of 'WDLLL' reflects a side that has struggled defensively, conceding 14 goals in their last five FA Cup appearances. Hanworth Villa, by contrast, have posted a 'WWDWL' run, including three matches where they scored four goals, and look to be carrying more momentum into this clash.
Statistically, the contest is shaped by Hanworth Villa’s attacking output against a Pagham defence that has yet to show consistency. Hanworth Villa average 2.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game over their last five, while Pagham have managed just 1.4 goals scored and 2.8 conceded in the same span. Both sides have seen BTTS in three of their last five, and neither has established a strong clean sheet record, suggesting a match with chances at both ends. With little data on set pieces or cards, the focus remains on open-play rates.
The model expects Hanworth Villa’s offensive edge to prove decisive, projecting a 2-1 away win. Pagham’s home advantage and recent improvement may keep them competitive, but the away side’s higher scoring rate and defensive solidity tip the balance. The most plausible deviation would be a low-scoring draw if Hanworth Villa’s attack is stifled.
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Expected goals · model says 1.30
Expected goals · model says 1.65
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS: Yes
59%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Pagham vs Hanworth Villa Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Pagham vs Hanworth Villa that most previews miss.
- 1Hanworth Villa have scored four goals in three of their last five matches, averaging 2.4 per game.
- 2Pagham have conceded at least two goals in four of their last five FA Cup matches.
- 3Both teams have seen BTTS in three of their last five, but only one clean sheet each in that span.
Who do you think wins: Pagham vs Hanworth Villa?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Pagham vs Hanworth Villa(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Hanworth Villa Win
Hanworth Villa average 2.4 goals scored and just 0.8 conceded per game over their last five, while Pagham have conceded 2.8 per game in the same span, suggesting the away side's attack is likely to edge this matchup.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both sides have seen BTTS in 3 of their last 5, and Hanworth Villa's matches have averaged 3.2 total goals in that period, pointing towards a higher-scoring contest.
Read more ↓
More FA Cup Predictions
The Case For This Pagham vs Hanworth Villa Prediction
The statistical profile points to a contest where Hanworth Villa’s superior attacking output meets a Pagham side that has struggled defensively in recent cup campaigns. The away side’s recent run of scoring four goals in three of their last five matches stands in sharp contrast to Pagham’s average of 2.8 goals conceded per game over the same period. Pagham’s only clean sheet came against Ascot United, while Hanworth Villa have failed to score just twice in their last five but otherwise look potent. The matchup is likely to be decided by Hanworth Villa’s ability to convert their attacking momentum into goals against a Pagham defence that has yet to prove itself at this level. While Pagham have improved with a 2-0 win last time out, their underlying rates remain concerning. Both teams have seen BTTS in three of their last five, and neither side has established a strong defensive baseline, with Hanworth Villa’s only clean sheet coming in a goalless draw. Given these rates, the model expects Hanworth Villa to find the net at least twice, with Pagham’s home advantage enough to keep them in the contest but not to tilt the balance. The likeliest scenario is an away win in a game featuring multiple goals, with Hanworth Villa’s recent scoring streak the single strongest indicator.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Both teams have seen BTTS in three of their last five matches.
Defence
- →Hanworth Villa average 2.4 goals scored per game and 0.8 conceded in their last five matches.
- →Pagham have conceded 2.8 goals per game across their last five, with only one clean sheet.
How Pagham and Hanworth Villa Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Pagham vs Hanworth Villa Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Paghamlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Hanworth Villalast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Hanworth Villa arrive with momentum, having won three of their last five and scored four goals in each of those victories. Pagham, on the other hand, have just ended a three-match losing streak with a 2-0 win but have struggled defensively, conceding nearly three goals per game recently.
Pagham vs Hanworth Villa — Last 3 Matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 3.2 conceded/game
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 3.2 goals/game (last 5)
- +50% clean sheet rate this season
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
What History Says: Pagham vs Hanworth Villa
There is no head-to-head data available between Pagham and Hanworth Villa, so no direct historical trends can be drawn for this fixture.
Pagham vs Hanworth Villa Head-to-Head History
Last 1 meeting between these sides
0
Pagham wins
0
Draws
1
Hanworth Villa wins
Things to Watch: Pagham vs Hanworth Villa
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️No head-to-head or league standings data; team strength is inferred solely from recent FA Cup and league results.
- ⚠️Limited sample sizes and lack of advanced stats (shots, possession, corners) reduce confidence in precise goal and card estimates.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Pagham 1–2 Hanworth VillaA 2-1 win for Hanworth Villa is the most statistically supported outcome, with their recent 2.4 goals per game and Pagham’s defensive record the decisive factors. The main risk is overestimating Hanworth Villa’s attack if Pagham’s recent defensive improvement holds up, which could lead to a tighter, lower-scoring contest.
Pagham vs Hanworth Villa: Common Questions
Who will win Pagham vs Hanworth Villa?
Hanworth Villa are favoured by the model with a 44% probability of winning, compared to 28% for Pagham and 28% for the draw. This is based on Hanworth Villa’s higher scoring rate and Pagham’s recent defensive struggles.
Will both teams score in Pagham vs Hanworth Villa?
There is a 56% chance of both teams scoring, as both sides have seen BTTS in three of their last five matches and neither has a consistent record of clean sheets.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in Pagham vs Hanworth Villa?
The probability for over 2.5 goals is 58%, reflecting Hanworth Villa’s recent high-scoring matches and Pagham’s average of 2.8 goals conceded per game over their last five.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Pagham vs Hanworth Villa: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 12 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.