Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns Predictions

Prediction by The Form Guide — Qingdao Jonoon arrive on a 5-match losing run — routed to The Form Guide, which weights momentum most heavily.
Super LeagueSuper League · China
high confidence
Qingdao Jonoon

Qingdao Jonoon

Full Time

1 - 5

AI predicted 1 - 2

Wuhan Three Towns

Wuhan Three Towns

🗓️ Saturday, 29 Aug 2026 at 17:00 GMT+8 (venue time) · 09:00 UTC (your time)📍 Qingdao Youth Football Stadium, Qingdao

Win Probability (1X2)

Qingdao Jonoon 21%Draw 33%Wuhan Three Towns 46%

Best Value Pick

Double Chance: Draw or Wuhan Three Towns

Match Result

8.2/10

Wuhan Three Towns Run Riot in Qingdao with 5-1 Statement Win

Wuhan Three Towns delivered a dominant attacking display to overwhelm Qingdao Jonoon 5-1 at the Qingdao Youth Football Stadium. The visitors seized control early and never looked back, with five different goals across both halves to silence the home crowd. Despite a spirited effort from Qingdao Jonoon, including a late consolation goal, Wuhan's clinical edge and superior possession proved decisive. The match saw Wuhan Three Towns edge possession with 53% and fire 9 shots on target from 19 attempts, compared to Qingdao's 7 on target from 20. Qingdao's discipline wavered, picking up three yellow cards, while Wuhan managed the game with just one booking. The result cements Wuhan's attacking credentials and leaves Qingdao searching for answers after a heavy home defeat.

🔥 AI Prediction Report

CERTIFIED W

Predicted

1 - 2

⚡

Actual

1 - 5

✅Result
❌BTTS
✅O/U 2.5
❌Score

💰 Bet Results2/2 hit

1x2 — away
✅
double_chance — X2
❓
over_under_2_5 — over
✅

Key Moments

28' — Goal

Wuhan Three Towns open the scoring, seizing early momentum.

40' — Goal

Wuhan double their lead before halftime, putting Qingdao on the back foot.

61' — Goal

Wuhan Three Towns make it 3-0, effectively sealing the contest.

78' — Goal

Fourth goal for Wuhan, capping a dominant second half.

79' — Goal

Wuhan add a fifth just a minute later, highlighting Qingdao's defensive collapse.

90' — Goal

Qingdao Jonoon score a late consolation goal to avoid a shutout.

Qingdao Jonoon

Qingdao Jonoon

4.5/10

Qingdao Jonoon struggled to contain Wuhan's relentless attack, conceding five goals and finding themselves outplayed in key moments. Despite generating 20 shots and 7 on target, their finishing lacked the precision needed to keep pace. The hosts' frustrations boiled over with three yellow cards and a late consolation goal in the 90th minute, but the damage was already done. While Qingdao showed flashes of attacking intent, their defensive organization faltered, particularly in the second half as Wuhan pulled away. The home side will need to regroup quickly to address their vulnerabilities at the back.

Key Players

Qingdao Jonoon goalscorer (90'): Scored the late consolation goal to salvage some pride for the hosts.

Strengths

Created a high volume of chances (20 shots)Showed late determination to score

Weaknesses

Defensive lapsesPoor discipline (3 yellow cards)Struggled to convert chancesOverrun in midfield
Wuhan Three Towns

Wuhan Three Towns

8.5/10

Wuhan Three Towns put on a clinical and controlled performance, dominating possession and ruthlessly exploiting Qingdao's defensive frailties. Their 5-1 victory was built on sharp finishing, with 9 shots on target and goals spread across both halves, including a devastating two-goal burst in the 78th and 79th minutes that killed off any hope of a Qingdao comeback. Wuhan's discipline and game management were evident, conceding just one yellow card and keeping their composure throughout. Their ability to control the tempo and capitalize on set pieces and open play alike underlined their status as title contenders.

Key Players

Wuhan Three Towns scorer (28'): Opened the scoring to set the tone for the visitors.
Wuhan Three Towns scorer (40'): Doubled the lead before halftime, giving Wuhan a cushion.
Wuhan Three Towns scorer (61'): Extended the lead and put the result beyond doubt.
Wuhan Three Towns scorer (78', 79'): Scored two goals in quick succession to cap a ruthless attacking display.

Strengths

Clinical finishingControlled possession (53%)Disciplined defensive playEffective use of attacking width

Weaknesses

Allowed 20 shots againstBrief lapse in concentration late on

Tactical Analysis

Both teams approached the match with attacking intent, as evidenced by the combined 39 shots. Wuhan Three Towns' tactical discipline and control in midfield allowed them to dictate the tempo, using their 53% possession to stretch Qingdao and create high-quality chances. Their pressing forced errors and led to quick transitions, particularly in the second half when Qingdao chased the game. Qingdao Jonoon, despite generating a similar number of shots, lacked the composure and defensive organization required at this level. Their attempts to push forward left them exposed at the back, a vulnerability Wuhan exploited ruthlessly with quick, incisive attacks and well-timed runs into the box.

Turning Point

Wuhan's third goal in the 61st minute, which extinguished any realistic hope of a Qingdao comeback and set the stage for the late onslaught.

Man of the Match

Wuhan Three Towns scorer (78', 79')

A devastating two-minute brace that put the result beyond doubt and showcased clinical finishing.

Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns: Match Preview

Qingdao Jonoon enter this fixture mired in crisis, having lost five consecutive matches and scoring just twice in that stretch. Their attack has dried up at precisely the wrong moment, and a run of three straight home defeats has left them bottom of the table, one point adrift of Wuhan Three Towns. For both sides, this is a match that could define their survival hopes, with the loser at risk of being cut adrift.

Wuhan Three Towns, by contrast, have found a spark in recent weeks. Their form string of 'LDWWL' includes two home wins and a gritty away draw, and they have scored in every one of their last five matches, averaging 1.6 goals per game. Their last two away outings have both ended level, and their attack—led by the consistent J. Cadiz—has looked sharper, with 6.6 shots on target per game over the last five. Qingdao's defence, conceding 2.4 goals per game recently, faces a stern test.

The model expects Wuhan's momentum to tilt the balance, even away from home. Qingdao's underlying numbers offer little hope: they have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five, and their average of just 0.4 goals scored per game in that period is the lowest in the league. Wuhan's improved attacking output and ability to strike early (six first-half goals in five matches) gives them the edge in a match likely to be decided by which side handles the pressure better.

How Qingdao Jonoon and Wuhan Three Towns Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.

Qingdao JonoonQingdao Jonoonlast 5 matches
Song Wenjiesub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

C. StrandbergXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Jin YonghaoXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Wuhan Three TownsWuhan Three Townslast 5 matches
J. CadizXI
3 goals in 5
60%

Scoring consistently

Gustavo SauerXI
3 goals in 5
60%

Scoring consistently

K. BevisXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

A. LeauteyXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Li AngXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Qingdao Jonoon's form is in freefall, with five consecutive defeats and just two goals scored in that sequence. Their attack has lost all rhythm, and defensive lapses have become routine, conceding 12 in five. Wuhan Three Towns, meanwhile, have turned a corner: two wins and a draw in their last four, with goals in every match and a sharper, more clinical edge to their play.

Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns — Last 10 Matches

Qingdao JonoonQingdao JonoonLast 10 results
L1-5
L1-2
L1-3
L0-1
L0-2
L0-2
L1-5
L2-3
D1-1
W4-2
Lvs Wuhan Three Towns1-5
L@ SHANGHAI SIPG1-2
L@ Shandong Luneng1-3
Lvs Shanghai Shenhua0-1
L@ Qingdao Youth Island0-2
Lvs Tianjin Teda0-2
L@ Henan Jianye1-5
L@ Hangzhou Greentown2-3
Dvs Chengdu Better City1-1
Wvs Yunnan Yukun4-2

Strengths

  • +High-volume attack — 15 shots/game

Concerns

  • −5/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
  • −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
  • −Leaky defence — 2.6 conceded/game
Wuhan Three TownsWuhan Three TownsLast 10 results
W5-1
D0-0
L2-3
D1-1
W1-0
W2-0
L2-3
L0-1
D1-1
D3-3
W@ Qingdao Jonoon5-1
Dvs Tianjin Teda0-0
Lvs SHANGHAI SIPG2-3
D@ Chengdu Better City1-1
Wvs Chongqing Tongliang Long1-0
Wvs Sichuan Jiuniu2-0
L@ Dalian Zhixing2-3
L@ Beijing Guoan0-1
Dvs Yunnan Yukun1-1
D@ Shandong Luneng3-3

Strengths

  • +High-volume attack — 17 shots/game

Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
21%
33%
46%
Qingdao Jonoon 21%Draw 33%Wuhan Three Towns 46%
Both Teams to Score
48%
52%
Yes 48%No 52%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
54%
46%
Over 2.5 54%Under 2.5 46%
Corners (Over/Under 9.5)
57%
43%
Over 9.5 57%Under 9.5 43%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns that most previews miss.

  • 1Qingdao Jonoon have failed to score in three of their last five, averaging just 2.6 shots on target per match in that run.
  • 2Wuhan Three Towns have scored six first-half goals in their last five matches, compared to just two for Qingdao Jonoon.
  • 3Despite being winless away all season, Wuhan have drawn six of eleven on the road, including their last three.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Qingdao Jonoon1.10

Expected goals · model says 1.10

Wuhan Three Towns1.60

Expected goals · model says 1.60

Win Probability
Qingdao Jonoon 26% Draw 25% Wuhan Three Towns 49%

Over 2.5 Goals

51%

BTTS: Yes

53%

Likely Scores

1-1 · 0-1 · 1-2

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Who do you think wins: Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

The Case For This Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns Prediction

Qingdao Jonoon are in freefall, coming into this relegation six-pointer off five consecutive defeats and a blunt attack, while Wuhan Three Towns have stabilised with a pair of wins and a draw in their last four, showing renewed attacking intent and resilience. The league table underscores the stakes: 16th versus 15th, with just a single point separating the sides and both desperate to halt their slide. Recent momentum, not season averages, looks decisive here.

Key Factors at a Glance

Recent Form

  • →Wuhan Three Towns are unbeaten in their last three away matches, drawing all three.
  • →Wuhan have scored in each of their last five matches, while Qingdao have failed to score in three of five.

Attack

  • →Qingdao Jonoon have lost five straight, scoring just twice in that span.

More Super League Predictions

🚩 Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns Corners Prediction

medium confidence
10.2expected total corners
Over 57%
Under 43%
Over 9.5Under 9.5

Our corners model projects roughly 5.6 corners for Qingdao Jonoon and 4.6 for Wuhan Three Towns, for an expected total of 10.2. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (57%). Over 8.5: 69% · Over 10.5: 44%.

More corners tips:Over 9.5 →Under 9.5 →

What History Says: Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns

Wuhan Three Towns have dominated the recent head-to-head, winning four of the last seven, including a 3-1 away victory earlier this season. Qingdao Jonoon did win the previous home meeting 1-0, but away teams have a strong record in this fixture, with four wins in the last seven encounters.

Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns Head-to-Head History

Last 8 meetings between these sides

2

Qingdao Jonoon wins

1

Draws

5

Wuhan Three Towns wins

25%13% draws63%
29 Aug 26Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns1-5
6 May 26Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Jonoon1-3
2 Nov 25Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns1-0
13 Jun 25Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Jonoon2-0
15 Sept 24Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns1-1
5 May 24Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Jonoon1-0

Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns

With odds unavailable, the clearest value signals come from the model's strong lean to Wuhan Three Towns on current form and the relatively high probability for 'No' on BTTS. The market may underrate Wuhan due to their winless away record, but their recent momentum and Qingdao's collapse suggest that edge is overstated.

Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.

1X2

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Qingdao Jonoon Win2.6221.0%-17.2%
Drawvalue3.6033.0%+5.2%
Wuhan Three Towns Winvalue2.4546.0%+5.2%

Over/Under 2.5

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Over 2.51.5754.0%-9.7%
Under 2.5value2.3546.0%+3.4%

Both Teams Score

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Yes1.5748.0%-15.7%
Novalue2.2552.0%+7.6%

Best Value Markets Found by the Model

1X2: Draw @ 3.60EV +0.188
1X2: Wuhan Three Towns Win @ 2.45EV +0.127
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5 @ 2.35EV +0.081
Both Teams Score: No @ 2.25EV +0.170

EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.

Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.

Things to Watch: Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns

  • ⚠️Both teams are in the relegation zone, which may increase unpredictability due to desperation.
  • ⚠️Wuhan's away record is winless this season (0W, 6D, 5L), so their momentum must overcome a poor road trend.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Qingdao Jonoon 1–2 Wuhan Three Towns

Wuhan Three Towns are the form side, and their run of scoring in five straight matches gives them the edge over a Qingdao Jonoon team in freefall. The most compelling figure is Qingdao's five-match losing streak and anaemic attack, which makes it hard to see them outscoring a Wuhan side with renewed confidence. The main risk is Wuhan's winless away record this season, but their recent performances suggest they are due to break that streak.

Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns: Common Questions

Who will win Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Wuhan Three Towns are favoured with a 46% model probability of victory, compared to 21% for Qingdao Jonoon and 33% for the draw. Wuhan's recent scoring form and Qingdao's five straight losses tilt the balance in the visitors' favour.

Will both teams score in Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns?

The model gives a slight edge to 'No' on BTTS at 52%, with Qingdao failing to score in three of their last five and Wuhan keeping two clean sheets in that span. However, Wuhan have conceded in three of five, so a single Qingdao goal can't be ruled out.

Can Wuhan Three Towns finally win away from home?

Wuhan are winless in eleven away league matches this season but have drawn six, including their last three. With momentum on their side and Qingdao struggling badly, the model rates their chances of breaking that duck at 46%.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Qingdao Jonoon vs Wuhan Three Towns: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 22 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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