Qingdao Youth Island vs Chongqing Tongliang Long Predictions
Super League · China
Qingdao Youth Island
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 1
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Match Result
4/10Stalemate in Qingdao: Youth Island and Chongqing Tongliang Long Play Out Goalless Draw
Qingdao Youth Island and Chongqing Tongliang Long battled to a 0-0 draw at the Guzhenkou University Sports Center in a match that ultimately lacked cutting edge in the final third. Despite both teams' efforts, neither side could break the deadlock, with clear-cut chances at a premium and defenses largely on top throughout the contest. The match saw few moments of real attacking quality, as both sides struggled to impose themselves offensively. Chongqing Tongliang Long picked up the only yellow card of the match, but otherwise, the encounter was played in a largely fair spirit. With neither team able to find a breakthrough, both will be left reflecting on missed opportunities to claim all three points.
🔥 AI Prediction Report
CERTIFIED WPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
0 - 0
💰 Bet Results1/2 hit
Key Moments
37' — Yellow Card
Chongqing Tongliang Long player shown the only yellow card of the match for a foul.
Qingdao Youth Island
Qingdao Youth Island showed defensive discipline and organization, keeping Chongqing Tongliang Long at bay for the full 90 minutes. However, their inability to create or convert meaningful chances in attack meant they rarely threatened to take control of the match. The lack of offensive spark will be a concern as they look to turn draws into wins in future fixtures.
Strengths
Weaknesses
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Chongqing Tongliang Long matched their hosts for effort and defensive solidity, but, like Qingdao, they were unable to find the cutting edge required to secure victory. The visitors picked up the only booking of the match, but otherwise kept their composure and shape well. Ultimately, their attacking play lacked the creativity needed to unlock the home defense.
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With both teams' formations and starting XIs unavailable, the match nevertheless unfolded as a tight, cautious affair, with both sides prioritizing defensive structure over attacking risk. The lack of goalscoring opportunities suggests both teams sat deep and were reluctant to commit numbers forward, resulting in a congested midfield and few clear openings. Set pieces and wide play failed to provide a breakthrough, and substitutions—if any—did not significantly alter the tactical balance. Both Qingdao Youth Island and Chongqing Tongliang Long appeared content to avoid defeat rather than push aggressively for a win, leading to a match defined by discipline and organization rather than attacking flair.
Turning Point
The only yellow card of the match in the 37th minute was the closest the game came to a flashpoint, but it failed to spark either side into life.
Man of the Match
N/A
No individual stood out in a match lacking decisive contributions at either end.
Qingdao Youth Island vs Chongqing Tongliang Long: Match Preview
Qingdao Youth Island approach this fixture second in the league, buoyed by back-to-back wins and an unbeaten home record (4W, 7D). Their campaign has been defined by resilience rather than firepower, with ten draws in 21 matches and a negative goal difference despite their lofty position. Chongqing Tongliang Long, third in the table, have stumbled recently with two straight league defeats and only one win in their last five, but remain within striking distance of Qingdao.
Statistically, this is a clash of evenly matched sides. Qingdao average 1.24 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game, while Chongqing post 1.10 and 1.14 respectively. Both teams’ last five league matches have seen them score just 0.8 goals per game, and the combined over 2.5 goal rate across the season is only 35.7%. Qingdao’s home defence (0.82 goals conceded per game) faces a Chongqing attack that has managed just 0.82 per away game, while the reverse matchup is similarly balanced. Disciplinary and set-piece metrics are moderate, with neither side showing a pronounced edge in corners or cards.
Given these rates, the model expects a low-event match, with a draw the most probable outcome. Both teams’ propensity for stalemates, coupled with their conservative attacking output and solid defensive records, points to a 1-1 scoreline as the modal result. A single moment or set piece could tip the balance, but the underlying numbers favour another shared result.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.05
Expected goals · model says 0.85
Over 2.5 Goals
30%
BTTS: Yes
37%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 0-0 · 1-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Qingdao Youth Island vs Chongqing Tongliang Long Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Qingdao Youth Island vs Chongqing Tongliang Long that most previews miss.
- 1Qingdao Youth Island have drawn 7 of 11 home matches this season, the highest home draw rate in the league’s top half.
- 2Chongqing Tongliang Long’s away games average just 2.09 total goals, with only 3 of 11 going over 2.5 goals.
- 3Across both H2H fixtures this season, the aggregate score is 2-2, with both matches featuring under 2.5 goals.
Who do you think wins: Qingdao Youth Island vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Qingdao Youth Island vs Chongqing Tongliang Long(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 1–1
Both teams average just over a goal scored per game and concede at similar rates, while each side has drawn nearly half their matches this season (Qingdao Youth Island 10/21, Chongqing 8/21), making 1-1 the modal outcome.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Season over 2.5 goal rates are 38.1% (Qingdao) and 33.3% (Chongqing), with both sides trending even lower in recent matches (last 5 combined: 4/10 over 2.5), pointing to a low-scoring contest.
Read more ↓
More Super League Predictions
The Case For This Qingdao Youth Island vs Chongqing Tongliang Long Prediction
A statistical deadlock is on the cards as Qingdao Youth Island, unbeaten at home but drawing seven of eleven there, host a Chongqing Tongliang Long side whose away record is similarly middling. Both teams’ season scoring and concession rates hover just above a goal per game, and their recent form is defined by tight margins and few goals. The model expects a low-event match, with a draw the likeliest outcome.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Qingdao Youth Island are unbeaten at home (4W, 7D, 0L) but have drawn 64% of their home matches.
Attack
- →Both teams’ last five league matches average under one goal scored per game.
Defence
- →Chongqing Tongliang Long have averaged 0.82 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per away game.
🚩 Qingdao Youth Island vs Chongqing Tongliang Long Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.2 corners for Qingdao Youth Island and 4.8 for Chongqing Tongliang Long, for an expected total of 9. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (58%). Over 8.5: 55% · Over 10.5: 30%.
How Qingdao Youth Island and Chongqing Tongliang Long Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Qingdao Youth Island vs Chongqing Tongliang Long Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Qingdao Youth Islandlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Chongqing Tongliang Longlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Qingdao Youth Island have found momentum with two consecutive wins and remain unbeaten at home, though draws have been their most common outcome. Chongqing Tongliang Long, by contrast, are on a two-game losing streak and have struggled to find the net, scoring just twice in their last five league outings. Both sides’ recent form suggests caution and low scoring.
Qingdao Youth Island vs Chongqing Tongliang Long — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Defensively solid — 0.4 conceded/game
- +4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Concerns
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
What History Says: Qingdao Youth Island vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
The two meetings between these sides this season have produced one draw (1-1) and one away win for Chongqing in the FA Cup (2-0). Both games were low scoring, and neither team has managed a home victory in the matchup so far.
Qingdao Youth Island vs Chongqing Tongliang Long Head-to-Head History
Last 3 meetings between these sides
0
Qingdao Youth Island wins
2
Draws
1
Chongqing Tongliang Long wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Qingdao Youth Island vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
With no bookmaker odds available, value cannot be quantified directly. However, the model’s strong lean towards under 2.5 goals and the draw, based on both teams’ season-long and recent scoring rates, would likely offer value if market prices overstate the chance of a decisive result or a high-scoring game.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Qingdao Youth Island vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
- ⚠️Only two recent head-to-head meetings, limiting H2H sample size.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value cannot be quantified.
- ⚠️Recent FA Cup tie between these sides may skew tactical approach.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Qingdao Youth Island 1–1 Chongqing Tongliang LongThe data points squarely to a draw, most likely 1-1, as both sides average just over a goal scored and conceded per game, and their head-to-head history is defined by low-scoring parity. The single strongest signal is Qingdao’s home draw rate (7/11), but a single defensive lapse or set-piece could easily swing it either way.
Qingdao Youth Island vs Chongqing Tongliang Long: Common Questions
Who will win Qingdao Youth Island vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
The model gives Qingdao Youth Island a 37% chance of victory, Chongqing Tongliang Long 25%, and a draw 38%. Both teams have drawn nearly half their matches this season, with the underlying rates pointing to a deadlock.
Will there be over or under 2.5 goals in Qingdao Youth Island vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
Under 2.5 goals is favoured at 66%, as both teams’ season over 2.5 rates are below 40% and recent matches have averaged less than one goal scored per side.
Is both teams to score likely in Qingdao Youth Island vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
Both teams to score is rated at 47%, slightly less likely than not, given that each side has failed to score in two of their last five league matches and their defences have been relatively solid.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Qingdao Youth Island vs Chongqing Tongliang Long: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 7 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More Qingdao Youth Island vs Chongqing Tongliang Long Resources
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Chongqing Tongliang Long Predictions
All Chongqing Tongliang Long fixtures & tips
Qingdao Youth Island vs Chongqing Tongliang Long Stats
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Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results