Quorn vs Shepshed Dynamo Predictions

Prediction by The Numbers Desk — No extreme form or market signal — routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
FA CupFA Cup · England
medium confidence
Quorn

Quorn

AI Predicted Score

1 - 1

Shepshed Dynamo

Shepshed Dynamo

🗓️ Friday, 4 Sept 2026 at 19:45 BST (venue time) · 18:45 UTC (your time)

Win Probability (1X2)

Quorn 36%Draw 38%Shepshed Dynamo 26%

Best Value Pick

See full breakdown below

Quorn vs Shepshed Dynamo: Match Preview

Quorn approach this FA Cup fixture without a win in their last five outings (form string: DDLDL), struggling particularly at the back with 11 goals conceded in that span. Shepshed Dynamo, meanwhile, arrive with momentum from consecutive wins to close last season, though those results came at a lower division level. The head-to-head record is finely balanced, with three draws in the last seven meetings, and neither side establishing clear dominance.

Statistically, Quorn's defensive record is the key concern—no clean sheets in five and a 0-5 home defeat highlight their vulnerability. Offensively, they have averaged just 1.0 goals per game recently, while Shepshed Dynamo have been slightly more productive at 1.6 per game, but also leak goals at 1.4 per match. Both teams have seen BTTS in the majority of recent games (Quorn 3/5, Shepshed 4/5), and neither side has been able to impose control through set pieces or discipline, with minimal data on corners and cards.

Given these trends, the model expects a closely-fought contest with limited attacking quality on show. The most probable outcome is a draw, with a 1-1 scoreline leading the probabilities. Both teams' tendency to concede, combined with the absence of a dominant attacking force, points towards a low-scoring stalemate, though a late goal either way could tip the balance.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Quorn1.40

Expected goals · model says 1.40

Shepshed Dynamo1.20

Expected goals · model says 1.20

Win Probability
Quorn 42% Draw 26% Shepshed Dynamo 32%

Over 2.5 Goals

48%

BTTS: Yes

53%

Likely Scores

1-1 · 1-0 · 0-1

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Quorn vs Shepshed Dynamo Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
36%
38%
26%
Quorn 36%Draw 38%Shepshed Dynamo 26%
Both Teams to Score
57%
43%
Yes 57%No 43%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
51%
49%
Over 2.5 51%Under 2.5 49%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Quorn vs Shepshed Dynamo that most previews miss.

  • 1Quorn have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five matches, conceding 11 goals in that span.
  • 2Four of Shepshed Dynamo's last five matches have seen both teams score, with an average total goals per game of 3.0.
  • 3Three of the last seven head-to-head meetings have ended in draws, highlighting the historic parity between these sides.

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The Case For This Quorn vs Shepshed Dynamo Prediction

This FA Cup tie features Quorn, winless in their last five, against a Shepshed Dynamo side coming off back-to-back wins but from a lower division. Quorn have averaged just 1.0 goals scored and 2.2 conceded over their recent run, while Shepshed Dynamo have posted 1.6 for and 1.4 against, with both sides rarely keeping clean sheets. The head-to-head record is tight, with three draws in the last seven meetings and neither side dominating outright. Both teams' recent games have trended towards both teams scoring, with Quorn seeing BTTS in three of their last five and Shepshed in four. Quorn's defensive frailties are evident—no clean sheets in five and a five-goal home defeat recently—while Shepshed's attack has improved but remains inconsistent away from home. The statistical shape points to a contest where neither side is likely to control, and the goal environment hovers around the 2-3 total range. The model projects a close, low-scoring game with a slight lean to the draw (38%) and a 1-1 scoreline the most probable outcome. The lack of sharp attacking output from either side, combined with historic H2H parity and a cup setting, suggests a contest decided by fine margins, with the draw and both teams to score emerging as the likeliest outcomes.

Key Factors at a Glance

Defence

  • →Quorn have conceded 2.2 goals per game across their last five matches, failing to keep a single clean sheet.
  • →Shepshed Dynamo have scored in four of their last five, averaging 1.6 goals per game, but have also failed to keep a clean sheet in that span.

Match Context

  • →The last seven head-to-head meetings have produced three draws and only one away win for Shepshed Dynamo.

How Quorn and Shepshed Dynamo Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Quorn vs Shepshed Dynamo Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.

QuornQuornlast 5 matches
P. Abimbola
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

T. Robinson
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

J. Friend
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

J. Campbell-Ryce
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

M. Frizelle
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Shepshed DynamoShepshed Dynamolast 5 matches

No scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.

Quorn have failed to win any of their last five matches, conceding heavily and drawing three times. Shepshed Dynamo, in contrast, closed last season with two wins and are unbeaten in their last three, though their results came against lower-tier opposition. Both teams have struggled defensively, each failing to keep a clean sheet in their last five outings.

Quorn vs Shepshed Dynamo — Last 5 Matches

QuornQuornLast 5 results
D2-2
D2-2
L0-1
D1-1
L0-5
Dvs Gainsborough Trinity2-2
D@ Lancaster City2-2
L@ Rylands0-1
Dvs Redcar Athletic1-1
Lvs Cleethorpes Town0-5

Concerns

  • −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
  • −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Shepshed DynamoShepshed DynamoLast 5 results
W3-1
W3-2
D1-1
L0-2
D1-1
Wvs Lichfield City3-1
W@ Wellingborough Town3-2
D@ Basford United1-1
Lvs Loughborough University0-2
D@ Racing Club Warwick1-1

Strengths

  • +Both teams scoring in most recent games

Concerns

  • −No clean sheets in last 5 matches

What History Says: Quorn vs Shepshed Dynamo

The head-to-head record between these sides is closely contested, with three draws in the last seven meetings and Quorn edging the overall tally with three wins to Shepshed Dynamo's one. Recent encounters have often been tight, with both teams scoring in four of the last six. The last match at Quorn saw the hosts win 4-1, but most meetings have been much closer.

Quorn vs Shepshed Dynamo Head-to-Head History

Last 7 meetings between these sides

3

Quorn wins

3

Draws

1

Shepshed Dynamo wins

43%43% draws14%
22 Jul 25Shepshed Dynamo vs Quorn1-2
21 Apr 25Shepshed Dynamo vs Quorn1-1
26 Dec 24Quorn vs Shepshed Dynamo4-1
1 Apr 24Quorn vs Shepshed Dynamo1-0
26 Dec 23Shepshed Dynamo vs Quorn1-1
14 Jul 21Quorn vs Shepshed Dynamo2-2

Things to Watch: Quorn vs Shepshed Dynamo

  • ⚠️No full-season data available for either side; all rates are based on last five matches only.
  • ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so no value edges or recommended bets can be identified.
  • ⚠️Lack of shots, corners, and possession data limits confidence in set piece and tempo projections.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Quorn 1–1 Shepshed Dynamo

A 1-1 draw is the most probable outcome, underpinned by both teams' inability to keep clean sheets and a head-to-head history of stalemates. The match's statistical shape is defined by Quorn's defensive frailty and Shepshed's step up in opposition quality. The main risk to this call is if either side's attack finds unexpected sharpness, particularly if Quorn's home advantage or Shepshed's recent momentum tips the balance.

Quorn vs Shepshed Dynamo: Common Questions

Who will win Quorn vs Shepshed Dynamo?

The model assigns a 36% probability to a Quorn win, 38% to a draw, and 26% to a Shepshed Dynamo win. The most likely outcome is a draw, reflecting both sides' recent defensive issues and the balanced head-to-head record.

Will both teams score in Quorn vs Shepshed Dynamo?

There is a 57% probability that both teams will score, based on recent trends—Quorn have seen BTTS in three of their last five, and Shepshed Dynamo in four of their last five matches.

How many goals are expected in Quorn vs Shepshed Dynamo?

The model projects a moderate goal environment: 51% probability for over 2.5 goals and 79% for over 1.5 goals, with a predicted scoreline of 1-1. Both sides have averaged over 2.5 total goals per game in recent matches.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Quorn vs Shepshed Dynamo: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 29 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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