Radcliffe vs Scarborough Athletic Predictions

Prediction by The Numbers Desk — No extreme form or market signal — routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
National League - NorthNational League - North · England
medium confidence
Radcliffe

Radcliffe

Full Time

4 - 1

AI predicted 1 - 2

Scarborough Athletic

Scarborough Athletic

🗓️ Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 15:00 BST (venue time) · 14:00 UTC (your time)

Win Probability (1X2)

Radcliffe 22%Draw 34%Scarborough Athletic 44%

Best Value Pick

See full breakdown below

Match Result

7.8/10

Radcliffe Run Riot with 4-1 Triumph Over Scarborough Athletic

Radcliffe produced a commanding display to sweep aside Scarborough Athletic 4-1 in the National League North. The hosts seized control early and never relinquished their grip, opening the scoring in the 24th minute and adding three more in a rampant second-half showing. Scarborough managed a late consolation, but it was far too little, too late to trouble the outcome. With goals arriving at regular intervals—particularly a devastating double salvo in the 73rd and 76th minutes—Radcliffe showcased their attacking prowess and maintained a relentless tempo throughout. Scarborough’s late strike in the 87th minute was scant consolation on an afternoon thoroughly dominated by the home side.

😅 AI Prediction Report

CLOSE BUT NO CIGAR

Predicted

1 - 2

⚡

Actual

4 - 1

❌Result
❌BTTS
✅O/U 2.5
❌Score

Key Moments

24' — Goal

Radcliffe open the scoring, seizing early control.

73' — Goal

Radcliffe double their lead, breaking Scarborough’s resistance.

76' — Goal

Radcliffe strike again just three minutes later, effectively sealing the win.

87' — Goal

Scarborough Athletic pull one back with a late consolation.

90' — Goal

Radcliffe add a fourth to cap a dominant display.

Radcliffe

Radcliffe

8.5/10

Radcliffe were in imperious form, dictating the rhythm from the outset and capitalizing on their chances with clinical efficiency. Their ability to strike in quick succession during the second half killed off any hopes of a Scarborough comeback. The home side’s attacking unit was sharp and inventive, while the defense remained largely untroubled until the closing stages. A late fourth goal put the seal on a performance that was as stylish as it was ruthless, underlining Radcliffe's credentials as a force in the division.

Key Players

First Goalscorer (24'): Opened the scoring to set Radcliffe on their way.
Second Half Double Scorer (73', 76'): Scored twice in three minutes to put the result beyond doubt.
Fourth Goalscorer (90'): Added gloss to the scoreline with a late strike.

Strengths

Clinical finishingSustained attacking pressureAbility to score in quick succession

Weaknesses

Conceded a late consolation goal
Scarborough Athletic

Scarborough Athletic

5/10

Scarborough Athletic struggled to match Radcliffe’s intensity and found themselves chasing the game after conceding in the first half. Their defensive structure was breached repeatedly, particularly during a punishing spell midway through the second half. The visitors did show some late attacking intent, pulling a goal back in the 87th minute, but by then the contest was already settled. A lack of attacking threat for most of the match and defensive lapses ultimately cost Scarborough dearly on a difficult afternoon.

Key Players

Late Goalscorer (87'): Scored the consolation goal for Scarborough Athletic.

Strengths

Persistence to score late

Weaknesses

Defensive vulnerabilitiesLack of attacking threat until lateStruggled to respond to Radcliffe's intensity

Tactical Analysis

Despite unavailable lineup data, Radcliffe’s ability to score four times and net twice in quick succession suggests a high-pressing, attack-minded approach with fluid movement in the final third. Their rapid-fire goals in the second half indicate effective tactical adjustments, possibly exploiting Scarborough’s defensive frailties with pace and directness. Scarborough Athletic, meanwhile, appeared unable to cope with Radcliffe’s attacking waves, and their late goal hints at a more open approach as they chased the game, leaving them vulnerable at the back. The absence of bookings points to a match played at high tempo but with discipline from both sides.

Turning Point

Radcliffe’s quickfire double in the 73rd and 76th minutes, which put the match out of Scarborough’s reach.

Man of the Match

Second Half Double Scorer (73', 76')

Delivered the decisive blows with two goals in three minutes to kill the contest.

Radcliffe vs Scarborough Athletic: Match Preview

Radcliffe enter this fixture bottom of the National League North, having lost three straight matches and conceded 20 goals in just 10 games. Their only bright spot at home was a 5-1 win over Hebburn Town, but otherwise, they've struggled for consistency and defensive solidity. Scarborough Athletic sit 14th, unbeaten in their last three league outings and with a more balanced profile, having scored 15 and conceded 12 so far.

Statistically, Scarborough's attack (1.5 goals per game) matches up well against a Radcliffe defence that has failed to keep a clean sheet all season and concedes an average of 2.0 per match. Radcliffe's home matches see 3.0 goals on average, while Scarborough's away games average 3.2, suggesting a moderate goal environment. Both sides have been stronger in the second half, but Scarborough's recent defensive record—just 0.4 conceded per game over their last five—contrasts with Radcliffe's tendency to leak goals early.

The model expects Scarborough's superior away scoring rate and Radcliffe's defensive frailty to decide the outcome, with the visitors more likely to strike first and manage the game from there. While Radcliffe's attack can occasionally spark, the distribution of season-long rates makes a 2-1 away win the likeliest scenario.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Radcliffe1.15

Expected goals · model says 1.15

Scarborough Athletic1.60

Expected goals · model says 1.60

Win Probability
Radcliffe 27% Draw 25% Scarborough Athletic 48%

Over 2.5 Goals

52%

BTTS: Yes

55%

Likely Scores

1-1 · 0-1 · 1-2

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Radcliffe vs Scarborough Athletic Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
22%
34%
44%
Radcliffe 22%Draw 34%Scarborough Athletic 44%
Both Teams to Score
48%
52%
Yes 48%No 52%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
56%
44%
Over 2.5 56%Under 2.5 44%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Radcliffe vs Scarborough Athletic that most previews miss.

  • 1Radcliffe have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their 10 league matches this season.
  • 2Scarborough's last five away games have averaged 3.2 total goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of those fixtures.
  • 3Four of the last five head-to-head meetings have featured at least three goals.

Who do you think wins: Radcliffe vs Scarborough Athletic?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

More National League - North Predictions

The Case For This Radcliffe vs Scarborough Athletic Prediction

Radcliffe are rooted to the foot of the table after 10 matches, with only two wins and a worrying average of 2.0 goals conceded per game. Scarborough Athletic, though mid-table, have shown resilience away from home and boast a positive goal difference, underpinned by a stronger defensive record and a more reliable attack over the season. The underlying rates point to Scarborough's edge, particularly against a Radcliffe side that has failed to keep a single clean sheet this campaign.

Key Factors at a Glance

Attack

  • →Scarborough Athletic average 1.5 goals scored per game and have taken points in three of five away matches.

Defence

  • →Radcliffe have lost eight of their first ten league matches and have the division's worst defensive record (20 conceded).

Match Context

  • →Radcliffe's home matches average 3.0 goals, while Scarborough's away games average 3.2, supporting a moderate goal expectation.

How Radcliffe and Scarborough Athletic Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Radcliffe vs Scarborough Athletic Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.

RadcliffeRadcliffelast 5 matches
T. James
4 goals in 5
80%

In exceptional form

J. Pritchard
3 goals in 5
60%

Scoring consistently

C. Raglan
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

F. McAllister
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Scarborough AthleticScarborough Athleticlast 5 matches
R. Allan
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

M. Fadera
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

L. Hall
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

K. Weledji
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Radcliffe have lost four of their last five league games, conceding 12 goals in that stretch, and their only recent win was a 5-1 home result against Hebburn Town. Scarborough Athletic are unbeaten in their last three league matches, including two away draws, and have conceded just two goals in their last five. The momentum clearly favours the visitors, who have been more consistent defensively.

Radcliffe vs Scarborough Athletic — Last 10 Matches

RadcliffeRadcliffeLast 10 results
W4-1
L1-4
L0-3
W5-1
L0-1
L0-1
L0-2
W2-1
L0-3
L1-2
Wvs Scarborough Athletic4-1
L@ Hednesford Town1-4
Lvs Oxford City0-3
Wvs Hebburn Town5-1
L@ Bedford Town0-1
Lvs Darlington 18830-1
L@ Marine0-2
Wvs Morecambe2-1
L@ Hereford0-3
L@ Macclesfield1-2

Strengths

  • +Prolific attack — 2.4 goals/game (last 5)
  • +Both teams scoring in most recent games

Concerns

  • −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
  • −Leaky defence — 2.4 conceded/game
  • −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Scarborough AthleticScarborough AthleticLast 10 results
L1-4
D1-1
D0-0
D0-0
L0-1
L1-3
W5-1
L1-2
W3-0
W4-3
L@ Radcliffe1-4
D@ Brackley Town1-1
Dvs Merthyr Town0-0
D@ Macclesfield0-0
Lvs AFC Telford United0-1
L@ King's Lynn Town1-3
Wvs Southport5-1
L@ Chorley1-2
Wvs Spennymoor Town3-0
W@ Hednesford Town4-3

What History Says: Radcliffe vs Scarborough Athletic

Scarborough Athletic have dominated the recent head-to-head, winning five of the last ten meetings and claiming a 4-1 victory at Radcliffe earlier this year. Goals have been a feature, with four of the last five meetings producing at least three goals. Radcliffe's last home win over Scarborough was in 2019.

Radcliffe vs Scarborough Athletic Head-to-Head History

Last 10 meetings between these sides

2

Radcliffe wins

3

Draws

5

Scarborough Athletic wins

20%30% draws50%
10 Oct 26Radcliffe vs Scarborough Athletic4-1
27 Jan 26Radcliffe vs Scarborough Athletic1-4
16 Dec 25Scarborough Athletic vs Radcliffe0-3
4 Feb 25Scarborough Athletic vs Radcliffe2-0
10 Aug 24Radcliffe vs Scarborough Athletic3-3
23 Apr 22Scarborough Athletic vs Radcliffe5-2

Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Radcliffe vs Scarborough Athletic

No bookmaker odds are available for this fixture, so value analysis and recommended bets cannot be provided. Once prices are published, the model's probabilities suggest the strongest value is likely to be found in the away and over 2.5 goals markets, given the underlying rates.

Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.

1X2

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Radcliffe Win2.8022.0%-13.7%
Drawvalue3.4034.0%+4.6%
Scarborough Athletic Win2.1544.0%-2.5%

Over/Under 2.5

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Over 2.51.6756.0%-3.9%
Under 2.52.1544.0%-2.5%

Both Teams Score

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Yes1.5748.0%-15.7%
Novalue2.2552.0%+7.6%

Best Value Markets Found by the Model

1X2: Draw @ 3.40EV +0.156
Both Teams Score: No @ 2.25EV +0.170

EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.

Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.

Things to Watch: Radcliffe vs Scarborough Athletic

  • ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so no value calculations or recommended bets provided.
  • ⚠️Shot, possession, and set piece data missing for both teams, limiting tactical granularity.
  • ⚠️Recent form for both sides shows volatility, especially in Radcliffe's results.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Radcliffe 1–2 Scarborough Athletic

The numbers point to a 2-1 win for Scarborough Athletic, with Radcliffe's league-worst defensive record (2.0 conceded per game) the single strongest data point. The most plausible way this goes wrong is if Radcliffe replicate their rare attacking outburst at home, as seen in their 5-1 win over Hebburn, but their overall rates make that an outlier.

Radcliffe vs Scarborough Athletic: Common Questions

Who will win Radcliffe vs Scarborough Athletic?

Scarborough Athletic are favoured with a 44% win probability, compared to 22% for Radcliffe and 34% for the draw. This is driven by Scarborough's stronger season-long attack and Radcliffe's defensive issues.

Will both teams score in Radcliffe vs Scarborough Athletic?

The model gives a 48% probability for both teams to score, with Radcliffe failing to score in two of their last five and Scarborough keeping three clean sheets in the same span. The underlying rates suggest a slight lean towards 'no'.

Is over 2.5 goals likely in Radcliffe vs Scarborough Athletic?

Over 2.5 goals is rated at 56% probability, supported by both teams' matches averaging over 3 goals per game this season and four of the last five head-to-heads going over this line.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Radcliffe vs Scarborough Athletic: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 3 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

More Radcliffe vs Scarborough Athletic Resources