Radomiak Radom vs Lechia Gdansk Predictions
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Radomiak Radom
AI Predicted Score
2 - 1
Lechia Gdansk
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
BTTS: Yes
@ 3.5(+22% edge)
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Expected goals · model says 1.40
Expected goals · model says 1.10
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS: Yes
50%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 0-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Radomiak Radom vs Lechia Gdansk Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Radomiak Radom vs Lechia Gdansk?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Radomiak Radom vs Lechia Gdansk(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5@ 3.6
Both teams have high season over 2.5 rates (Radomiak 56.7%, Lechia 70%), and both average over 1.4 goals conceded per game. Recent H2H also shows goal potential. Odds offer strong value versus model probability.
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BTTS: Yes@ 3.5
Lechia have scored in 4/5, Radomiak in 4/5, and both defences are weak (clean sheet rates below 20%). H2H also leans BTTS. Odds are much higher than model probability.
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Match Result: Radomiak Radom Win@ 1.65
Radomiak have a strong home record (8W/4D/3L), dominant H2H at home, and slightly better form. Not a huge value edge, but home win is the likeliest outcome.
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More Ekstraklasa Predictions
The Case For This Radomiak Radom vs Lechia Gdansk Prediction
Radomiak Radom host Lechia Gdansk in a mid-table clash where both teams have shown attacking intent but defensive frailties. Radomiak are strong at home and have dominated this H2H, while Lechia are more prolific but leaky, especially away. Expect a competitive game with both sides likely to score and a decent chance of seeing at least three goals.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Recent form: Radomiak W2, Lechia L1 but 2W in last 5.
Attack
- →H2H: Radomiak 6 wins in last 9, often high scoring.
Defence
- →Lechia's away defence: 31 conceded in 14 away games.
- →Both teams average over 1.4 goals conceded per game.
Injuries & Team News
- →No key injuries reported.
Match Context
- →Radomiak's home record: 8 wins, 29 goals in 15 games.
- →Both teams' over 2.5 and BTTS rates are high.
🚩 Radomiak Radom vs Lechia Gdansk Corners Prediction
high confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.9 corners for Radomiak Radom and 6.9 for Lechia Gdansk, for an expected total of 11.7. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (73%). Over 8.5: 83% · Over 10.5: 62%.
How Radomiak Radom and Lechia Gdansk Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Radomiak Radom vs Lechia Gdansk Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Radomiak Radomlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Lechia Gdansklast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Radomiak Radom vs Lechia Gdansk — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 70% of games this season
- +High-volume attack — 16 shots/game
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Radomiak Radom vs Lechia Gdansk
Radomiak Radom vs Lechia Gdansk Head-to-Head History
Last 9 meetings between these sides
6
Radomiak Radom wins
2
Draws
1
Lechia Gdansk wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Radomiak Radom vs Lechia Gdansk
Odds from 10Bet. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Radomiak Radom vs Lechia Gdansk
- ⚠️Some missing match stats for recent games.
- ⚠️Lineups not confirmed; late changes could impact.
- ⚠️Both teams are mid-table with limited motivation.
- ⚠️Lechia's away attack is inconsistent.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Radomiak Radom vs Lechia Gdansk: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 28 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.