Remo vs Coritiba Predictions
Serie A · Brazil
Remo
Full Time
2 - 3
AI predicted 1 - 1
Coritiba
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Draw
@ 3.1(+2% edge)
Match Result
8.5/10Coritiba Stun Remo with Dramatic Late Winner in Five-Goal Thriller at Mangueirão
Coritiba produced a remarkable late comeback to snatch a 3-2 away victory over Remo in a pulsating Serie A clash at Mangueirão. Despite Remo’s dominance in possession (61%) and a barrage of 32 shots, it was Coritiba who showed the greater clinical edge, overturning a 2-1 deficit with goals in the 76th and 90th minutes. The hosts looked to have the match in their grasp after quickfire goals from Gabriel Taliari and Antonio Galeano early in the second half, but Coritiba’s resilience and opportunism turned the tide. Remo paid the price for missed chances and lapses in concentration, as Coritiba capitalized on their limited opportunities—scoring three times from just five shots on target. The match was a showcase of attacking intent, tactical adjustments, and late drama, leaving the home crowd stunned and the visitors celebrating a hard-fought win.
💀 AI Prediction Report
DOWN BADPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
2 - 3
💰 Bet Results0/2 hit
Key Moments
47' — Goal
Coritiba open the scoring early in the second half, stunning the hosts.
61' — Goal
Gabriel Taliari levels for Remo after sustained pressure.
64' — Goal
Antonio Galeano completes Remo’s quick turnaround, putting them 2-1 ahead.
76' — Goal
Coritiba equalize, shifting the momentum and setting up a tense finish.
90' — Goal
Pedro Rocha scores the dramatic late winner for Coritiba.
Remo
Remo controlled large stretches of the match, dictating play with 61% possession and relentless attacking intent, racking up 32 shots and 9 corners. Their 4-2-3-1 setup allowed for fluid movement in midfield, with Yago Pikachu and Zé Ricardo orchestrating play. However, profligacy in front of goal and defensive lapses ultimately cost them dearly, as they failed to convert dominance into points. Despite a spirited second-half surge, Remo’s inability to manage the game after taking the lead and their vulnerability to Coritiba’s counterattacks proved decisive. Three yellow cards also reflected a growing frustration as the match slipped away.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Coritiba
Coritiba delivered a masterclass in efficiency and resilience, converting five shots on target into three crucial goals. Their 4-2-3-1 formation provided defensive solidity in the first half, before a more adventurous approach in the closing stages paid dividends. Despite conceding twice in quick succession, Coritiba responded with character, equalizing in the 76th minute and completing the turnaround with a dramatic winner at the death. The visitors’ ability to soak up pressure and strike decisively on the break was key, while Pedro Rocha led the line with intelligence and Sebastián Gómez anchored the midfield effectively.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Both teams lined up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, but Remo’s approach was more proactive, seeking to dominate the ball and overload the flanks. Their full-backs pushed high, allowing wingers like Antonio Galeano to cut inside and create overloads. Coritiba, meanwhile, were content to sit deeper and spring forward quickly, using the pace of Breno Lopes and the intelligence of Pedro Rocha on the break. Substitutions in the second half injected fresh legs and attacking impetus, particularly for Coritiba as they chased the game. Remo’s defensive line struggled to adapt to the increased tempo, and Coritiba’s tactical discipline in transition proved decisive, especially in exploiting spaces left behind as Remo pressed for a winner.
Turning Point
The 76th-minute equalizer for Coritiba, which shifted momentum and set the stage for their late winner.
Man of the Match
Pedro Rocha
Scored the decisive 90th-minute goal and led the line with composure and threat throughout.
Remo vs Coritiba: Match Preview
Remo enter this contest in the relegation zone, having managed just one win in their last six league matches and averaging only 0.8 goals per game over the last five. Their home form is middling (3W, 5D, 3L), but they have struggled to keep clean sheets, managing just one in their last five outings. Coritiba, sitting mid-table, have also shown inconsistency, with a single win in their last five and a similar attacking output (0.8 goals per game recently), though their away record is stable (4W, 4D, 4L).
Statistically, the matchup is defined by symmetry: both sides average 1.2 goals scored and conceded over their last five, and their season-long home/away splits are almost mirror images. Remo’s attack is blunt at home (1.36 goals per game), while Coritiba’s away defence concedes at a rate of 1.42 per match. Set-piece threat is limited, with neither side averaging more than 3.6 corners per game in recent matches, and discipline is moderate, with Remo collecting 2 yellow cards per game and Coritiba just 1.
Given the even scoring rates and historical tendency for low-scoring encounters (three of the last five H2Hs under 2.5 goals), the model expects a tightly contested draw. The most likely scenario is a 1-1, with both teams’ modest attacks unable to consistently break down the other’s average defence. Margins are fine, and a single error or set piece could tip the balance, but the numbers point to parity.
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Expected goals · model says 1.20
Expected goals · model says 1.10
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS: Yes
47%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Remo vs Coritiba Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Remo vs Coritiba that most previews miss.
- 1Remo have drawn five of eleven home matches this season, the highest home draw rate in the bottom half.
- 2Coritiba’s away matches average just 2.67 goals, with 58% finishing under 2.5 goals.
- 3Across the last five H2H meetings, only one has seen both teams score.
Who do you think wins: Remo vs Coritiba?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Remo vs Coritiba(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw@ 3.12
Both teams average 1.2 goals scored and conceded per game over the season, and three of the last five H2H meetings have ended all square or with a one-goal margin. The model assigns a 33% probability to the draw, slightly above the market’s implied 32.3%.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5@ 1.7
Remo and Coritiba combine for under 2.5 goals in 56% of their matches this season, and both have averaged just 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over their last five. The model’s 59% probability for under 2.5 is marginally higher than the market.
Read more ↓
More Serie A Predictions
The Case For This Remo vs Coritiba Prediction
This fixture features two sides with nearly identical scoring and concession rates, both averaging just over a goal per game in attack and conceding at similar rates. Remo’s home record (3W, 5D, 3L, 15:13 GF:GA) is balanced by Coritiba’s away form (4W, 4D, 4L, 15:17 GF:GA), suggesting little to separate them over 90 minutes. With both teams struggling for momentum and neither defence consistently reliable, the statistical shape points to a low-scoring, closely contested match.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Remo’s home matches and Coritiba’s away matches both see an average of 2.55 goals per game across the season.
- →Three of the last five H2H meetings have finished either 1-0 or 0-0.
Defence
- →Remo and Coritiba both average 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over their last five matches.
🚩 Remo vs Coritiba Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.3 corners for Remo and 4.4 for Coritiba, for an expected total of 9.7. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (51%). Over 8.5: 64% · Over 10.5: 38%.
How Remo and Coritiba Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Remo vs Coritiba Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Remolast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Coritibalast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Remo have picked up just one win in their last five, with a form string of LDDLD and only three goals scored in that span. Coritiba’s recent form is similarly patchy (DWLDL), with their only win coming against Chapecoense and just four goals scored across five games. Both sides are struggling for momentum, reflected in their nearly identical recent averages.
Remo vs Coritiba — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +High-volume attack — 15 shots/game
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Remo vs Coritiba
In the last five meetings, Remo and Coritiba have split the results evenly (one win each, three draws), with three matches ending 1-0 or 0-0. These fixtures have consistently been low scoring, with only one game seeing both teams score. The historical pattern reinforces expectations of a tight, low-margin contest.
Remo vs Coritiba Head-to-Head History
Last 6 meetings between these sides
1
Remo wins
2
Draws
3
Coritiba wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Remo vs Coritiba
The model’s draw probability (33%) is marginally higher than the market’s implied 32.3%, suggesting a small edge on the stalemate. Under 2.5 goals is also slightly undervalued, with the model at 59% versus the market’s 58.8%. No major value on the win markets, as probabilities and odds are closely aligned.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Remo vs Coritiba
- ⚠️Coritiba’s shot volume is higher than Remo’s, but chance quality is unclear due to missing xG data.
- ⚠️Recent lineups and tactical setups may vary from the last five matches, introducing volatility.
- ⚠️No major injuries reported, but late changes could affect predicted balance.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Remo 1–1 CoritibaThe model projects a 1-1 draw as the most probable outcome, driven by both sides’ season-long averages of just over a goal scored and conceded per game, and a recent run of low-scoring, tightly balanced performances. The main risk is that Coritiba’s higher shot volume or a defensive lapse from Remo could swing the match, but the underlying rates and H2H history both point to a stalemate.
Remo vs Coritiba: Common Questions
Who will win Remo vs Coritiba?
The model gives Remo a 36% chance of victory, Coritiba 31%, and a draw 33%. Both teams have similar scoring and concession rates, making a draw the likeliest single result.
Will both teams score in Remo vs Coritiba?
There is a 47% probability that both teams will score. Three of the last five H2H meetings have seen at least one side fail to score, and both teams have averaged just 0.8 goals scored over their last five matches.
Is under 2.5 goals a good bet for Remo vs Coritiba?
The model assigns a 59% probability to under 2.5 goals, slightly higher than the market’s implied 58.8%. Both teams’ recent matches and H2H history support a low-scoring expectation.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Remo vs Coritiba: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 24 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.