Schwaz vs FC Augsburg Predictions
Friendlies Clubs · World
Schwaz
AI Predicted Score
2 - 4
FC Augsburg
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Schwaz vs FC Augsburg: Match Preview
Schwaz approach this friendly on the back of a mixed run, alternating wins and losses in their last five, but every match has been a goal-fest—most notably a 7-1 win over Wörgl and a 3-4 loss to Bischofshofen. Augsburg, meanwhile, arrive off the back of a 2-5 defeat to Bournemouth and a 1-1 draw with Saarbrücken, but their closing Bundesliga form included away and home wins with three goals scored in each. With both teams conceding freely and neither side keeping a clean sheet in their last five, the defensive baseline is low.
The statistical matchup tilts towards goals: Schwaz average 3.2 scored and 2.4 conceded per game over their last five, while Augsburg's recent average is 1.8 for and 2.4 against. Both sides have seen BTTS in at least four of their last five, and Schwaz's only home match this season finished 7-1. Augsburg's shot volumes (8 total, 3.6 on target per game) and Bundesliga-level attack should stretch Schwaz, whose defensive numbers are already suspect against regional opposition.
Given these rates, the model expects a high-tempo, open match with Augsburg's superior finishing and depth telling as the game progresses. Early goals are likely—72% chance of a goal before the 30th minute—and the away side is favoured to score first and ultimately pull clear. The likeliest scorelines cluster around 2-4 and 1-3, with over 2.5 goals a strong statistical favourite.
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Expected goals · model says 1.35
Expected goals · model says 2.95
Over 2.5 Goals
80%
BTTS: Yes
70%
Likely Scores
1-2 · 1-3 · 0-2
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Schwaz vs FC Augsburg Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Schwaz vs FC Augsburg that most previews miss.
- 1Schwaz have seen over 2.5 goals in 100% of their last five matches, averaging 5.6 total goals per game.
- 2Both teams have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five matches, with BTTS hitting in 90% of those fixtures combined.
- 3Augsburg's last two competitive away matches produced three goals scored each, despite sub-40% possession.
Who do you think wins: Schwaz vs FC Augsburg?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Schwaz vs FC Augsburg(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both sides average over 2.4 goals conceded per game in their last five, and Schwaz have seen 100% of their season and recent matches go over 2.5 goals.
Read more ↓
BTTS: Yes
BTTS has landed in 5/5 Schwaz matches and 4/5 Augsburg matches, with both teams showing defensive frailty and consistent scoring.
Match Result: FC Augsburg Win
Augsburg's attack is operating at a higher level, with recent Bundesliga wins away and a much higher baseline than Schwaz, whose defensive numbers are weak even against lower-tier opposition.
Read more ↓
More Friendlies Clubs Predictions
The Case For This Schwaz vs FC Augsburg Prediction
Statistically, this friendly has all the hallmarks of a high-scoring affair, with both Schwaz and Augsburg conceding over two goals per game on recent form and neither side posting a clean sheet in their last five. Schwaz's open style yields goals at both ends, while Augsburg's Bundesliga pedigree and attacking depth should tell over 90 minutes.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Both teams have seen BTTS in at least four of their last five matches.
Defence
- →Schwaz have averaged 3.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded in their last five matches, with no clean sheets.
- →Augsburg's last five show 1.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game, including 3+ goals in three of those matches.
🚩 Schwaz vs FC Augsburg Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5 corners for Schwaz and 5.4 for FC Augsburg, for an expected total of 10.4. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (59%). Over 8.5: 71% · Over 10.5: 47%.
How Schwaz and FC Augsburg Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Schwaz vs FC Augsburg Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Schwazlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
FC Augsburglast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Scoring consistently
Scoring consistently
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Schwaz's recent form is defined by volatility and high scores, with a 3.2 goals for and 2.4 against average in their last five, but no clean sheets. Augsburg, though coming off a heavy friendly defeat, closed their Bundesliga campaign with two strong wins and have maintained a steady attacking output, averaging 1.8 goals scored per game in their last five.
Schwaz vs FC Augsburg — Last 3 Matches
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.6 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 4.6 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 4.2 goals/game (last 5)
- +Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of games this season
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
What History Says: Schwaz vs FC Augsburg
There is no available head-to-head data for this fixture, so no historical trends or recurring scorelines can be referenced.
Schwaz vs FC Augsburg Head-to-Head History
Last 1 meeting between these sides
0
Schwaz wins
0
Draws
1
FC Augsburg wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Schwaz vs FC Augsburg
With bookmaker odds unavailable, value assessment is limited. However, the model's high probabilities for over 2.5 goals and BTTS suggest these would be the angles to monitor for value if prices become available.
Odds from Betfair. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Schwaz vs FC Augsburg
- ⚠️No head-to-head or standings data available; club friendly context increases unpredictability.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Lineups and tactical intent in friendlies can be highly variable, especially for the away side.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Schwaz 2–4 FC AugsburgAugsburg's attacking baseline and Schwaz's porous defence point to a 4-2 away win, with the strongest statistical signal coming from Schwaz's 100% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches. The main risk is that Augsburg rotate heavily or approach the friendly at a lower intensity, which could narrow the margin or see defensive lapses at both ends.
Schwaz vs FC Augsburg: Common Questions
Who will win Schwaz vs FC Augsburg?
The model gives Augsburg a 69% chance of victory, with Schwaz at 13% and a draw at 18%. Augsburg's higher attacking output and Bundesliga pedigree are decisive factors.
Will both teams score in Schwaz vs Augsburg?
Yes is rated at 74% probability, as both teams have seen BTTS in at least four of their last five matches and neither has kept a clean sheet recently.
How likely is over 2.5 goals in Schwaz vs Augsburg?
There is an 81% chance of over 2.5 goals, with Schwaz's matches averaging 5.6 total goals and Augsburg also conceding heavily in recent outings.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Schwaz vs FC Augsburg: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 3 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.