Sichuan Jiuniu vs Hangzhou Greentown Predictions
Super League · China
Sichuan Jiuniu
Full Time
1 - 1
AI predicted 1 - 2
Hangzhou Greentown
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
BTTS: Yes
Match Result
7.2/10Late Hangzhou Equalizer Denies Sichuan Jiuniu in Tense Chengdu Standoff
Sichuan Jiuniu and Hangzhou Greentown battled to a 1-1 draw at the Longquanyi Stadium in Chengdu, with both sides showing flashes of quality but ultimately unable to find a winner. The hosts took the lead in the 58th minute, only for Hangzhou to claw back level with a late equalizer in the 83rd minute, ensuring the spoils were shared in this closely contested Super League encounter. The match was a tale of two halves, with Hangzhou Greentown dominating possession (57%) and marginally edging the shot count (11 shots, 5 on target), while Sichuan Jiuniu relied on direct play and set pieces, registering 11 shots with 4 on target. Both teams had their moments, but resolute defending and a lack of clinical finishing kept the scoreline tight until the final whistle.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
1 - 1
💰 Bet Results1/2 hit
Key Moments
58' — Goal
Wesley Moraes puts Sichuan Jiuniu ahead, finishing off a quick attacking move.
83' — Goal
Felippe Cardoso equalizes for Hangzhou Greentown, capitalizing on sustained pressure.
70' — Yellow Card
Sichuan's physical approach earns them a third yellow, increasing defensive risk.
Sichuan Jiuniu
Sichuan Jiuniu set up in a 4-4-2 formation, looking to stay compact and hit Hangzhou on the break. Their approach paid dividends in the 58th minute when they broke the deadlock, capitalizing on a rare lapse in the visitors' defense. However, despite creating several promising moments—especially from set pieces, as evidenced by their 6 corners—they struggled to maintain control and allowed Hangzhou back into the contest late on. Defensively, Jiuniu were robust, but their 18 fouls and three yellow cards highlighted a physical approach that at times bordered on reckless. Ultimately, their inability to hold onto the lead cost them two points.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Hangzhou Greentown
Hangzhou Greentown deployed a 4-2-3-1, controlling much of the ball and dictating the tempo through midfield. Despite falling behind just before the hour mark, they remained composed, probing patiently for openings. Their persistence paid off with an 83rd-minute equalizer, a testament to their attacking intent and superior possession. Hangzhou's 7 corners and 5 shots on target reflected their attacking ambition, but they were occasionally vulnerable to Jiuniu's counterattacks. A relatively disciplined performance (17 fouls, 1 yellow card) helped them avoid costly mistakes and ensured they left Chengdu with a deserved point.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Sichuan Jiuniu's 4-4-2 focused on defensive solidity and quick transitions, often bypassing midfield to exploit the pace and strength of their front two. Their reliance on set pieces was evident with 6 corners and several dangerous deliveries. However, their inability to control possession (43%) left them chasing the ball for long stretches, leading to fatigue and late defensive lapses. Hangzhou Greentown's 4-2-3-1 provided midfield dominance, with Alexandru Mitriță orchestrating play and the wide men stretching the Jiuniu back line. Their patient build-up and willingness to commit men forward in the closing stages eventually paid off. Substitutions appeared to inject fresh energy, helping them sustain pressure and find the equalizer.
Turning Point
Felippe Cardoso's 83rd-minute equalizer shifted the momentum, denying Sichuan Jiuniu a home victory and rewarding Hangzhou's persistent attacking play.
Man of the Match
Felippe Cardoso
His late equalizer capped a determined performance and rescued a valuable point for Hangzhou Greentown.
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Hangzhou Greentown: Match Preview
Sichuan Jiuniu enter this fixture in 12th place, just one point behind Hangzhou Greentown, but with a negative goal difference and three losses in their last five. Their home form is a relative strength (6 wins from 11), but defensive frailty persists, as shown by 41 goals conceded in 22 matches. Hangzhou, sitting 9th, have been inconsistent but more productive in attack, scoring 31 in 21, and have not failed to score in any of their last five games.
Statistically, this match is shaped by high concession rates on both sides: Sichuan allow 1.86 goals per game, Hangzhou 1.71, while both average over 1.3 goals scored per match. The last five for each team have seen an average of 3.6 total goals per game combined. Hangzhou's away record (15 scored, 22 conceded in 11) mirrors Sichuan's home profile, making BTTS and over 2.5 goals the most probable outcomes. Set-piece threat is moderate (both average around 4-5 corners per match), while discipline could be an issue, with both sides averaging over 1.4 yellow cards per game.
Given these rates, the model expects an open contest with both attacks finding space, but Hangzhou's superior away scoring and dominance in the recent H2H (five wins in eight, including the last two) make them slight favourites. A 2-1 away win is the likeliest result, but volatility remains high given both teams' defensive records.
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Expected goals · model says 1.40
Expected goals · model says 1.75
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
BTTS: Yes
62%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Hangzhou Greentown Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Sichuan Jiuniu vs Hangzhou Greentown that most previews miss.
- 1Hangzhou Greentown have seen BTTS in each of their last 5 league matches, with an average of 4 goals per game in that span.
- 2Sichuan Jiuniu's home matches average 3.36 total goals, with 73% going over 2.5 goals.
- 3Across the last 8 H2H meetings, the away side has won 5 times, including Hangzhou's 4-2 win in their last visit to Sichuan.
Who do you think wins: Sichuan Jiuniu vs Hangzhou Greentown?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Sichuan Jiuniu vs Hangzhou Greentown(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
BTTS: Yes
Both sides have seen BTTS in 6 of their last 10 combined league games, and Hangzhou have seen both teams score in all of their last 5 matches, with Sichuan failing to keep a clean sheet in 3 of their last 5.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Sichuan's games have gone over 2.5 goals in 54.5% of matches, Hangzhou's in 61.9%, and both average over 3 goals per match combined, pointing to a high likelihood of at least three goals.
Read more ↓
More Super League Predictions
The Case For This Sichuan Jiuniu vs Hangzhou Greentown Prediction
With both teams conceding nearly two goals per match on average and neither defence showing reliability, the statistical shape of this fixture points firmly toward a high-scoring, competitive contest. Hangzhou Greentown's away attack (1.36 goals per away game) faces a Sichuan Jiuniu home side that scores two per game at home but also concedes frequently. Recent form is patchy for both, but the underlying rates suggest a match where both sides are likely to find the net, with Hangzhou's slightly superior attacking output and H2H record tilting the balance.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Head-to-head: Hangzhou have won 5 of the last 8 meetings, including the last two, both with at least three total goals.
Attack
- →Hangzhou Greentown have scored in all of their last 5 matches, averaging 2.0 goals per game in that span.
Defence
- →Sichuan Jiuniu's home record is strong offensively (2.0 goals per home game) but undermined by a 1.36 conceded per home match.
🚩 Sichuan Jiuniu vs Hangzhou Greentown Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5 corners for Sichuan Jiuniu and 5.2 for Hangzhou Greentown, for an expected total of 10.2. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (56%). Over 8.5: 69% · Over 10.5: 44%.
How Sichuan Jiuniu and Hangzhou Greentown Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Hangzhou Greentown Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Sichuan Jiuniulast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Hangzhou Greentownlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Sichuan Jiuniu's recent form is erratic, with three losses and two wins in their last five, and a negative goal difference highlighting defensive issues. Hangzhou Greentown, meanwhile, have won two of their last five but have found the net in every match, suggesting greater attacking consistency. Both sides are conceding at a high rate, keeping neither momentum nor clean sheets.
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Hangzhou Greentown — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Sichuan Jiuniu vs Hangzhou Greentown
Hangzhou Greentown have the historical edge, winning five of the last eight meetings, including the last two. The fixture is typically high-scoring, with six of those eight games producing at least three goals and BTTS landing in five. Hangzhou's last visit to Sichuan ended in a 4-2 win.
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Hangzhou Greentown Head-to-Head History
Last 9 meetings between these sides
2
Sichuan Jiuniu wins
2
Draws
5
Hangzhou Greentown wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Sichuan Jiuniu vs Hangzhou Greentown
With no bookmaker odds available, value analysis cannot be performed. However, the model's high probabilities for both teams to score and over 2.5 goals suggest these are the most statistically robust angles, especially given the consistent goal rates and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Sichuan Jiuniu vs Hangzhou Greentown
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Both teams have volatile results and low clean sheet rates, increasing variance in goal and outcome markets.
- ⚠️Lineups are unknown; late changes could affect attacking or defensive stability.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Sichuan Jiuniu 1–2 Hangzhou GreentownThe model projects a 2-1 win for Hangzhou Greentown, with the strongest data point being the high combined over 2.5 goal rates (Sichuan 54.5%, Hangzhou 61.9%) and Hangzhou's consistent scoring run. The main risk is the volatility in both teams' defensive performances, which could swing the match toward a higher-scoring draw or an unexpected home win.
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Hangzhou Greentown: Common Questions
Who will win Sichuan Jiuniu vs Hangzhou Greentown?
Hangzhou Greentown are modelled as 43% likely winners, with Sichuan Jiuniu at 28% and the draw at 29%. Hangzhou's stronger away attack and recent H2H dominance give them the edge, but both teams' defensive issues mean all outcomes are in play.
Will both teams score in Sichuan Jiuniu vs Hangzhou Greentown?
The probability of both teams scoring is 66%, driven by Hangzhou's BTTS streak (5/5 recent matches) and both sides averaging nearly two goals conceded per game this season.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in this match?
Yes, the model gives a 62% probability for over 2.5 goals, with both teams' matches historically clearing this line more than half the time (Sichuan 54.5%, Hangzhou 61.9%).
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Sichuan Jiuniu vs Hangzhou Greentown: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 15 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More Sichuan Jiuniu vs Hangzhou Greentown Resources
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Hangzhou Greentown Predictions
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Sichuan Jiuniu vs Hangzhou Greentown Stats
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Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results