Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra Predictions
Premier League · Egypt
Smouha SC
AI Predicted Score
1 - 1
Ceramica Cleopatra
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Draw
@ 2.62(+10% edge)
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Expected goals · model says 0.50
Expected goals · model says 0.45
Over 2.5 Goals
7%
BTTS: Yes
14%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 1-0 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw@ 2.62
Both teams have strong defensive records, Ceramica Cleopatra are on a run of 5 straight draws, and H2H history is draw-heavy. The model sees a higher probability of a draw than the implied odds, providing a value edge.
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BTTS: No@ 1.11
Both teams have low BTTS rates recently (Smouha 2/5, Ceramica Cleopatra 5/5 but mostly low scores), and the league overall is low-scoring. However, the odds are very short, so only minimal value.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5@ 1.08
Both teams have under 2.5 in 16/22 matches (72.7%), and recent matches are low-scoring. Odds are very short, so not a strong value, but highly likely outcome.
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More Premier League Predictions
The Case For This Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra Prediction
This fixture features two defensively solid sides in the Egyptian Premier League. Smouha SC have lost their last two but generally keep games tight, especially at home. Ceramica Cleopatra are unbeaten in five but have drawn all of those matches, with every recent game featuring both teams scoring but rarely more than two goals. Historical head-to-heads are also tight and draw-heavy, with a 1-1 or 1-0 either way common. Expect a cautious, low-scoring encounter with both teams likely to cancel each other out.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Ceramica Cleopatra have drawn their last 5 matches, all with both teams scoring but low totals.
- →Recent H2H matches are low-scoring and draw-heavy.
Defence
- →Smouha SC have lost 3 of their last 5 but are defensively solid at home.
- →Both teams have similar defensive stats and clean sheet rates.
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
Match Context
- →Both teams have under 2.5 goals in 72.7% of league matches this season.
🚩 Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4 corners for Smouha SC and 4.4 for Ceramica Cleopatra, for an expected total of 8.4. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (66%). Over 8.5: 47% · Over 10.5: 23%.
How Smouha SC and Ceramica Cleopatra Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Smouha SClast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Ceramica Cleopatralast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
What History Says: Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra
Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
4
Smouha SC wins
4
Draws
2
Ceramica Cleopatra wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra
Odds from William Hill. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra
- ⚠️Very low odds on 'under 2.5' and 'BTTS no' reduce betting value.
- ⚠️Small sample of recent matches with full stats; some missing data for shots, corners, etc.
- ⚠️Ceramica Cleopatra's recent BTTS streak slightly increases risk on 'BTTS no'.
- ⚠️Both teams could push for a win given league positions, increasing late-game volatility.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 16 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.