Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra Predictions
Premier League · Egypt
Smouha SC
Full Time
0 - 2
AI predicted 0 - 1
Ceramica Cleopatra
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Match Result
6.5/10Ceramica Cleopatra Punish Wasteful Smouha SC With Second-Half Double
Ceramica Cleopatra emerged victorious at Smouha SC with a clinical 2-0 win, capitalizing on a dominant second-half display. After a cagey first half where both sides struggled to create clear-cut chances, the visitors seized control after the break, striking twice in quick succession through Mohamed Reda and N. Gradišar. Smouha, despite enjoying nearly equal possession and firing nine shots, lacked the cutting edge in front of goal and were ultimately undone by Ceramica Cleopatra’s superior efficiency. The match was marked by a physical midfield battle, with Smouha picking up three yellow cards as frustration grew. Ceramica Cleopatra, meanwhile, managed the game smartly after taking the lead, restricting Smouha to speculative efforts and seeing out the result with disciplined defending. The win cements Ceramica Cleopatra’s strong start to the season, while Smouha are left to rue missed opportunities and lapses in concentration.
🔥 AI Prediction Report
CERTIFIED WPredicted
0 - 1
Actual
0 - 2
💰 Bet Results2/2 hit
Key Moments
49' — Goal
Mohamed Reda scores to give Ceramica Cleopatra a 1-0 lead.
57' — Goal
N. Gradišar doubles the visitors’ advantage with a composed finish.
62' — Yellow Card
Smouha’s frustration shows as Amr El Sisi is booked.
74' — Yellow Card
Another Smouha player, Mohamed Ragab, goes into the book.
80' — Yellow Card
Final yellow for Smouha, as Mohamed Desouki is cautioned.
Smouha SC
Smouha SC started brightly, matching Ceramica Cleopatra in possession (48%) and showing intent with nine shots, but only three of those tested the goalkeeper. Their 4-1-4-1 setup provided midfield solidity, but the lack of a creative spark in the final third proved costly. As the game wore on, Smouha’s frustration became evident, culminating in three yellow cards and a loss of composure after falling behind. Despite some promising moments from Mohamed Saeed and Khaled El Ghandour, Smouha could not break down a well-organized Ceramica Cleopatra defense. The home side’s attempts to chase the game after going two goals down were stifled by poor decision-making and a lack of incisiveness.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Ceramica Cleopatra
Ceramica Cleopatra executed their 4-4-2 game plan with discipline and tactical intelligence, edging possession (52%) and matching Smouha for shots on target (3). Their breakthrough came early in the second half, when Mohamed Reda finished off a swift move in the 49th minute. Buoyed by the opener, Ceramica Cleopatra pressed their advantage, with N. Gradišar doubling the lead just eight minutes later. After establishing a two-goal cushion, Ceramica Cleopatra managed the tempo, absorbing pressure and frustrating the hosts. Their defensive line, marshaled by J. Arthur and Ahmed Ramadan, limited Smouha’s chances and ensured a clean sheet. The win was a testament to their clinical edge and game management.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Smouha SC lined up in a 4-1-4-1, aiming for midfield control and width through Mohamed Saeed and Khaled El Ghandour, but struggled to translate possession into penetration. Their single striker, P. Badji, was often isolated, and the lack of support from the midfield limited their attacking threat. Ceramica Cleopatra’s 4-4-2 proved effective, with two forwards pressing high and the midfield maintaining compactness, especially after taking the lead. Ceramica Cleopatra’s tactical shift after scoring was evident: they sat deeper, tightened their lines, and relied on quick transitions. Their defensive unit, led by J. Arthur, was well-drilled, and the midfield duo of Samir El Eraki and Ahmed Belhadji broke up play efficiently. Set pieces were not a major factor, with both sides earning few corners and failing to capitalize.
Turning Point
Mohamed Reda’s goal in the 49th minute broke the deadlock and shifted momentum decisively in Ceramica Cleopatra’s favor.
Man of the Match
Mohamed Reda
His opening goal set the tone for Ceramica Cleopatra’s second-half dominance and was instrumental in the win.
Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra: Match Preview
Smouha SC enter this fixture still searching for their first league win of the season, having drawn 0-0 with Asyut Petrol and lost 0-1 at Al Masry. Their form string of DLLLL is underpinned by a chronic lack of goals: they've failed to score in four of their last five and sit 14th in the table with just one point. Ceramica Cleopatra, meanwhile, have been more enterprising, bouncing back from an opening 1-2 home defeat to Olympic El Qanah with a 3-1 away win at Al Ittihad, and currently occupy 9th place.
Statistically, this is a contest between Smouha SC's defensive rigidity and attacking bluntness versus Ceramica Cleopatra's higher shot and possession numbers. Smouha average just 0.2 goals scored and 2.8 shots on target per game over their last five, while Ceramica Cleopatra have averaged 1.0 goals scored and 4.8 shots on target, with a notable 61% possession in their last away outing. However, Smouha's defence has kept one clean sheet in two league matches and concedes just 0.5 goals per game this season. Both teams' matches trend under: Smouha's season over 2.5 goal rate is 0%, and Ceramica Cleopatra's away matches have typically been low-scoring barring their most recent result.
The model expects a low-tempo, cagey match, with Ceramica Cleopatra's greater attacking variety likely to find a breakthrough against a Smouha side struggling for ideas in the final third. The likeliest scenario is a narrow away win or a goalless draw, with the rates pointing to a 0-1 or 0-0 outcome. Under 2.5 goals and 'no' on both teams to score are strongly supported by the underlying numbers.
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Expected goals · model says 0.70
Expected goals · model says 0.85
Over 2.5 Goals
20%
BTTS: Yes
29%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 0-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra that most previews miss.
- 1Smouha SC have scored just once in their last five league matches, failing to score in four of those.
- 2Ceramica Cleopatra's last five away matches in all competitions have averaged only 1.8 total goals per game.
- 3Six of the last ten head-to-heads between these sides have finished under 2.5 goals.
Who do you think wins: Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both sides have combined for just one over 2.5 in their last ten league matches, and Smouha SC have failed to score in four of their last five, while Ceramica Cleopatra's only away match this season finished 3-1 but their broader away scoring rate is modest.
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BTTS: No
Smouha SC have failed to score in four of their last five and Ceramica Cleopatra have kept no clean sheets but face a home side averaging just 0.2 goals per game over their last five.
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More Premier League Predictions
The Case For This Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra Prediction
This fixture features a clash between Smouha SC's blunt attack and Ceramica Cleopatra's more dynamic, if inconsistent, forward line. The underlying rates suggest a low-scoring contest, with the away side's recent 3-1 win at Al Ittihad an outlier against a longer trend of tight games involving both teams.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Smouha SC average just 0.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game over their last five matches.
- →Ceramica Cleopatra have scored in three of their last five but have not kept a clean sheet in that span.
Match Context
- →Smouha SC have failed to score in four of their last five, including both league matches this season.
🚩 Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.8 corners for Smouha SC and 4.7 for Ceramica Cleopatra, for an expected total of 10.5. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (60%). Over 8.5: 72% · Over 10.5: 48%.
How Smouha SC and Ceramica Cleopatra Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Smouha SClast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Ceramica Cleopatralast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Smouha SC are winless in their last five, with a form string of DLLLL and just one goal scored in that span. Ceramica Cleopatra have been inconsistent but showed attacking promise in their most recent 3-1 away win, offsetting a loss and a draw in their previous two. The momentum favours the away side, but neither team has established a strong early-season rhythm.
Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra — Last 4 Matches
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Struggling to score — 0.2 goals/game
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +50% clean sheet rate this season
- +Dominant in possession — 64% avg
What History Says: Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra
The last ten meetings have been evenly split, with Smouha SC holding a slight edge (four wins to three) and three draws. Low scores are common, as six of those ten games finished under 2.5 goals, and the most recent encounter saw Ceramica Cleopatra win 2-0 away.
Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
4
Smouha SC wins
2
Draws
4
Ceramica Cleopatra wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra
With no bookmaker odds available at present, it is not possible to quantify value edges precisely. However, the model's strong lean towards under 2.5 goals (77%) and 'no' on both teams to score (72%) suggests these markets would offer the best value if prices reflect league averages. The 1X2 market is finely balanced, with the draw slightly more likely than either side winning outright.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra
- ⚠️Both teams have played only two league matches this season, so season averages are based on a very small sample.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available at time of analysis, so value edges cannot be precisely quantified.
- ⚠️Recent Ceramica Cleopatra away performance (3-1 win) may overstate their typical attacking output.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Smouha SC 0–1 Ceramica CleopatraThe most probable outcome is a 1-0 win for Ceramica Cleopatra, driven by Smouha SC's anaemic attack (0.2 goals per game over their last five) and a head-to-head history that rarely produces high scores. The main risk is that Ceramica Cleopatra's recent 3-1 away win signals a more open game than the underlying rates suggest.
Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra: Common Questions
Who will win Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra?
Ceramica Cleopatra are slight favourites with a 34% win probability, compared to 27% for Smouha SC and 39% for the draw. The most likely result is a narrow away win or a draw, reflecting Smouha's struggles in attack and Ceramica Cleopatra's marginally stronger scoring rates.
Will both teams score in Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra?
The model gives just a 28% chance of both teams scoring, with both sides trending towards low-scoring matches and Smouha SC failing to score in four of their last five games.
How likely is under 2.5 goals in Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra?
Under 2.5 goals is rated at 77% probability, with Smouha SC's matches this season all finishing under and six of the last ten head-to-heads also producing two goals or fewer.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 1 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.