ST Mirren vs Kilmarnock Predictions
Premiership · Scotland
ST Mirren
AI Predicted Score
1 - 1
Kilmarnock
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
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Expected goals · model says 1.20
Expected goals · model says 1.10
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS: Yes
47%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
ST Mirren vs Kilmarnock Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: ST Mirren vs Kilmarnock?
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Where the Model Sees Value: ST Mirren vs Kilmarnock(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw
Both teams are low on confidence, with similar poor form and defensive vulnerabilities. H2H meetings have produced 3 draws in the last 10 and both sides have a high draw rate this season.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
ST Mirren's home games are low-scoring (10 goals in 17 home matches), and Kilmarnock have failed to score in 2 of their last 5. Only 1 of the last 4 H2H at this venue went over 2.5.
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Double Chance: ST Mirren or Draw
ST Mirren's home record is stronger than Kilmarnock's away record (5 home wins vs 1 away win), and Kilmarnock have conceded 39 away goals this season.
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More Premiership Predictions
The Case For This ST Mirren vs Kilmarnock Prediction
This is a clash between two struggling sides in the lower half of the Scottish Premiership, with ST Mirren slightly ahead in the table and at home. Both teams have struggled for wins and goals recently, with ST Mirren scoring just 10 goals in 17 home games and Kilmarnock only 15 in 17 away. Defensive records are poor, but neither attack is clinical. Recent H2H meetings have been close, with several draws and low-scoring matches. Expect a cagey, tense affair with few clear chances and a high probability of a draw or narrow win either way.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Recent H2H meetings are tight: 3 draws in last 10, and 2 of last 3 ended 0-0 or 2-2.
Attack
- →Both teams have a high draw rate and low-scoring tendencies, especially ST Mirren at home.
Defence
- →Kilmarnock have just 1 away win all season and have conceded 39 away goals.
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
Match Context
- →ST Mirren have only 1 win in their last 5 and have failed to score in 3 of those.
🚩 ST Mirren vs Kilmarnock Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 6.2 corners for ST Mirren and 5 for Kilmarnock, for an expected total of 11.2. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (68%). Over 8.5: 79% · Over 10.5: 56%.
How ST Mirren and Kilmarnock Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
ST Mirren vs Kilmarnock Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
ST Mirrenlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Kilmarnocklast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
ST Mirren vs Kilmarnock — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
What History Says: ST Mirren vs Kilmarnock
ST Mirren vs Kilmarnock Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
1
ST Mirren wins
3
Draws
6
Kilmarnock wins
Things to Watch: ST Mirren vs Kilmarnock
- ⚠️Odds data is missing, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Some recent matches lack full stats (shots, possession, etc.), reducing model confidence.
- ⚠️Both teams are inconsistent and can be unpredictable in low-stakes end-of-season matches.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for ST Mirren vs Kilmarnock: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 2 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.