Stourbridge vs Rushall Olympic Predictions

Prediction by The Numbers Desk โ€” No extreme form or market signal โ€” routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
FA CupFA Cup ยท England
high confidence
Stourbridge

Stourbridge

AI Predicted Score

2 - 2

Rushall Olympic

Rushall Olympic

๐Ÿ—“๏ธ Saturday, 5 Sept 2026 at 15:00 BST (venue time) ยท 14:00 UTC (your time)

Win Probability (1X2)

Stourbridge 36%Draw 32%Rushall Olympic 32%

Best Value Pick

BTTS: Yes

Stourbridge vs Rushall Olympic: Match Preview

Stourbridge enter this FA Cup tie with a mixed recent record: two wins, two draws, and a heavy friendly defeat in their last five, averaging 1.8 goals scored but conceding 2.2 per game. Rushall Olympic arrive with momentum, having won four of their last five, including three straight competitive victories, and they have found the net in every outing. With no league table context yet available, both sides will see this as a winnable tie and a chance to build early-season confidence.

The underlying rates point to a high-goal environment. Stourbridge's defensive record is fragile, with just one clean sheet in five and an average of over two goals conceded, while Rushall Olympic have yet to keep a clean sheet themselves. Both teams have seen BTTS in at least three of their last five, and their combined last ten matches have produced 36 goalsโ€”an average of 3.6 per game. First-half scoring has been prominent, with Stourbridge netting seven before the break in their last five, and Rushall Olympic six.

Given the attacking output and defensive frailties on both sides, the model projects a match with multiple goals and a high chance of both teams scoring. The most likely outcome is a draw, with the 2-2 scoreline the statistical favourite, though either side could edge it if they convert their early chances. The lack of set-piece and discipline data introduces some uncertainty, but the goal rates are decisive.

๐ŸŽฎ Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react โ€” then simulate the match and see what happens.

Stourbridge1.65

Expected goals ยท model says 1.65

Rushall Olympic1.55

Expected goals ยท model says 1.55

Win Probability
Stourbridge 40% Draw 23% Rushall Olympic 36%

Over 2.5 Goals

62%

BTTS: Yes

64%

Likely Scores

1-1 ยท 2-1 ยท 1-2

Play this match once with the probabilities above โ€” every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration โ€” not betting advice.

Stourbridge vs Rushall Olympic Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
36%
32%
32%
Stourbridge 36%Draw 32%Rushall Olympic 32%
Both Teams to Score
71%
29%
Yes 71%No 29%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
65%
35%
Over 2.5 65%Under 2.5 35%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Stourbridge vs Rushall Olympic that most previews miss.

  • 1Stourbridge's matches have averaged 4.0 total goals across their last five competitive fixtures.
  • 2Rushall Olympic have not kept a clean sheet in any of their last five, but have scored in all five.
  • 3Four of the last five H2H meetings have been decided by a margin of two or more goals.

Who do you think wins: Stourbridge vs Rushall Olympic?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

More FA Cup Predictions

View all FA Cup predictions โ†’

The Case For This Stourbridge vs Rushall Olympic Prediction

A statistical dead heat between two attack-minded sides, with both Stourbridge and Rushall Olympic showing a recent tendency for high-scoring, open matches. The data signals a strong likelihood of goals at both ends and little to separate the teams over ninety minutes.

Key Factors at a Glance

Defence

  • โ†’Stourbridge have averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded across their last five matches.

Match Context

  • โ†’Rushall Olympic have scored in every one of their last five, averaging 2.0 per game.
  • โ†’Both teams have seen BTTS land in at least three of their last five outings.

How Stourbridge and Rushall Olympic Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Stourbridge vs Rushall Olympic Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals รท 5 games.

StourbridgeStourbridgelast 5 matches
C. Pavey
3 goals in 5
60%

Scoring consistently

C. Wragg
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

D. Lewis
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

J. Massidi
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

J. Quaynor
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

P. Harvey
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Rushall OlympicRushall Olympiclast 5 matches
C. Lycett
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

L. Yates
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

A. Moore
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

L. Yates
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

T. Roberts
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

L. McAlinden
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Stourbridge have been inconsistent, mixing two wins and two draws with a heavy 0-5 friendly defeat, but have scored in four of their last five. Rushall Olympic carry stronger momentum, winning four of five and scoring in every match, though their defence has not kept a clean sheet in that span.

Stourbridge vs Rushall Olympic โ€” Last 5 Matches

StourbridgeStourbridgeLast 5 results
D2-2
W2-1
W2-0
L0-5
D3-3
Dvs Leiston2-2
W@ Peterborough Sports2-1
Wvs Stamford2-0
Lvs Kidderminster Harriers0-5
D@ Halesowen Town3-3

Concerns

  • โˆ’Leaky defence โ€” 2.2 conceded/game
Rushall OlympicRushall OlympicLast 5 results
W3-2
W2-1
L1-2
W2-1
W2-1
Wvs Banbury United3-2
W@ Leiston2-1
L@ Bromsgrove Sporting1-2
Wvs Hitchin Town2-1
W@ Malvern Town2-1

Strengths

  • +4/5 wins in last 5 โ€” excellent form
  • +Prolific attack โ€” 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
  • +Both teams scoring in most recent games

Concerns

  • โˆ’No clean sheets in last 5 matches

What History Says: Stourbridge vs Rushall Olympic

Stourbridge have the edge historically, winning three of the last five meetings, but Rushall Olympic's 6-0 win in 2023 shows the fixture can swing dramatically. Only one of the last five H2Hs ended level, and high margins have been common.

Stourbridge vs Rushall Olympic Head-to-Head History

Last 5 meetings between these sides

3

Stourbridge wins

0

Draws

2

Rushall Olympic wins

60%0% draws40%
8 Jul 23Rushall Olympic vs Stourbridge6-0
15 Apr 23Stourbridge vs Rushall Olympic2-0
12 Nov 22Rushall Olympic vs Stourbridge2-0
10 Oct 15Stourbridge vs Rushall Olympic1-0
29 Oct 11Stourbridge vs Rushall Olympic5-0

Things to Watch: Stourbridge vs Rushall Olympic

  • โš ๏ธNo current season league form or standings data is available for either side.
  • โš ๏ธAbsence of bookmaker odds prevents identification of value edges.
  • โš ๏ธLimited sample size and lack of shot/corner data reduces model confidence in set-piece and discipline markets.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk โ€” always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Stourbridge 2โ€“2 Rushall Olympic

The model calls this as a 2-2 draw, driven by both teams' high scoring and concession ratesโ€”Stourbridge's 1.8 scored and 2.2 conceded per game, and Rushall Olympic's 2.0 scored and 1.4 conceded. The biggest risk is that one side's attack outpaces the other's defensive issues, leading to a more lopsided scoreline than the rates suggest.

Stourbridge vs Rushall Olympic: Common Questions

Who will win Stourbridge vs Rushall Olympic?

The probabilities are split: Stourbridge win 36%, draw 32%, Rushall Olympic win 32%. Recent scoring rates and a lack of clean sheets on either side point to a very even contest, with the draw narrowly favoured.

Will both teams score in Stourbridge vs Rushall Olympic?

Yes is strongly favoured at 71% probability, as both teams have scored in at least three of their last five matches and neither has kept a clean sheet in their last three competitive games.

How many goals are expected in Stourbridge vs Rushall Olympic?

The model gives a 65% probability to over 2.5 goals, with both teams averaging nearly two goals scored per game recently. A high-scoring match is expected based on recent form.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Stourbridge vs Rushall Olympic: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline โ€” season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 29 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes โ€” see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

More Stourbridge vs Rushall Olympic Resources