Stuttgart II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg Predictions

Prediction by The Numbers Desk — No extreme form or market signal — routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
3. Liga3. Liga · Germany
high confidence
Stuttgart II

Stuttgart II

Full Time

3 - 3

AI predicted 2 - 2

SSV Jahn Regensburg

SSV Jahn Regensburg

🗓️ Saturday, 19 Sept 2026 at 14:00 CEST (venue time) · 12:00 UTC (your time)📍 comtech Arena, Aspache

Win Probability (1X2)

Stuttgart II 36%Draw 31%SSV Jahn Regensburg 33%

Best Value Pick

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Match Result

8.5/10

Six-Goal Thriller: Stuttgart II and Jahn Regensburg Share the Spoils in Dramatic Draw

Stuttgart II and SSV Jahn Regensburg delivered a pulsating 3-3 draw at the comtech Arena, as both sides traded blows in a match brimming with attacking verve and momentum swings. The visitors surged into a commanding 3-0 lead inside the opening 33 minutes, only for Stuttgart II to mount a spirited comeback, capped by a late equalizer in the 75th minute. Regensburg looked to have the match under control after goals in the 13th, 22nd, and 33rd minutes, but Stuttgart II responded with strikes just before halftime and continued to press after the interval. Despite both teams creating chances—Stuttgart II with 57% possession and Regensburg firing seven shots (five on target)—neither could find a winner in a frenetic second half.

🔥 AI Prediction Report

CERTIFIED W

Predicted

2 - 2

⚡

Actual

3 - 3

❌Result
✅BTTS
✅O/U 2.5
❌Score

💰 Bet Results2/2 hit

Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5
✅
Both Teams to Score — Yes
✅

Key Moments

13' — Goal

N. Boujellab opens the scoring for Regensburg, finishing a swift move.

22' — Goal

Regensburg double their lead, capitalizing on defensive uncertainty.

33' — Goal

Regensburg make it 3-0, seemingly putting the match beyond doubt.

36' — Goal

Stuttgart II pull one back, igniting hopes of a comeback.

45' — Goal

N. Sessa scores just before halftime, reducing the deficit to 3-2.

75' — Goal

Stuttgart II complete the comeback with an equalizer.

Assorted' — Yellow Cards

A total of five yellow cards are shown as tempers flare in a tense contest.

Stuttgart II

Stuttgart II

7.5/10

Stuttgart II showed remarkable resilience to claw back from a three-goal deficit. Their 4-4-2 setup allowed for width and attacking intent, especially as they gained control of possession (57%). Although their defense was breached three times in the first half-hour, they regrouped, tightened up at the back, and pressed forward to level the match. The midfield, led by L. Penna and N. Sessa, played a pivotal role in the comeback, while the front two capitalized on their limited chances, converting four shots on target into three goals.

Key Players

N. Sessa: Scored a crucial goal just before halftime to spark the comeback.
T. van der Leij: Led the line energetically and contributed to the attacking resurgence.

Strengths

Resilience under pressureEffective use of possessionClinical finishing

Weaknesses

Slow defensive startVulnerable to quick attacksLimited set-piece threat (only 1 corner)
SSV Jahn Regensburg

SSV Jahn Regensburg

7/10

Regensburg's 3-5-2 formation initially paid dividends as they exploited gaps in Stuttgart II's defense, racing to a 3-0 lead with incisive attacking play. The midfield five provided numerical superiority in central areas, and the front two were sharp in transition. However, after conceding just before halftime, Regensburg lost their grip on the match, struggled to regain control, and ultimately surrendered their lead. Despite creating more corners (4) and matching Stuttgart II for shots on target, their defensive frailties were exposed as the hosts fought back.

Key Players

N. Boujellab: Scored in the opening exchanges to set the tone for Regensburg's fast start.
O. Schönfelder: Instrumental in midfield, helping link play and contributing to the early dominance.

Strengths

Fast, clinical counter-attacksMidfield control in first halfSet-piece threat (4 corners)

Weaknesses

Inability to hold a leadSecond-half defensive lapsesDiscipline (3 yellow cards)

Tactical Analysis

Stuttgart II lined up in a 4-4-2, seeking to control the midfield through possession and use their wide players to stretch Regensburg's back three. However, their initial defensive shape was exposed by Regensburg's quick transitions and overloads from the 3-5-2 system. The visitors' wing-backs and midfielders found space between the lines, leading to their early goals. As the match wore on, Stuttgart II adjusted, pressing higher and committing more bodies forward. Their increased possession and midfield aggression paid off, especially as Regensburg began to tire and drop deeper. Set-pieces favored Regensburg (4 corners to 1), but Stuttgart II's open-play combinations were decisive in their comeback.

Turning Point

N. Sessa's goal on the stroke of halftime shifted the momentum, giving Stuttgart II belief and setting the stage for their second-half resurgence.

Man of the Match

N. Sessa

His goal just before halftime was pivotal, and he orchestrated much of Stuttgart II's attacking play during the comeback.

Stuttgart II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg: Match Preview

Stuttgart II arrive in mid-table with a mixed record (WLLW), having shown attacking intent but also defensive fragility, conceding seven goals in four league matches. Regensburg, sitting 18th, have lost three on the bounce and are leaking goals at a concerning rate, but did post a 5-2 away win on opening day. Both teams are seeking stability, with Stuttgart II looking to build on a recent away victory and Regensburg desperate to halt their slide.

The statistical matchup points to a high-scoring contest: Stuttgart II average 1.5 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per game, while Regensburg’s figures are even more extreme at 1.75 scored and 2.5 conceded. Both sides have a 75% over 2.5 goals rate in league play and have failed to keep a clean sheet. Regensburg’s away games have averaged 6.5 total goals, and Stuttgart II’s only home match ended 1-3. Both teams’ shot and corner numbers are modest, but their defensive openness is the dominant trend.

Given these rates, the model expects a match where both teams find the net and neither can control the tempo for long. The likeliest outcomes are score draws or narrow wins either way, with the 2-2 correct score leading the distribution. The main risk is that attacking output dips due to early-season volatility, but the underlying rates make a strong case for goals.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Stuttgart II1.60

Expected goals · model says 1.60

SSV Jahn Regensburg1.55

Expected goals · model says 1.55

Win Probability
Stuttgart II 39% Draw 24% SSV Jahn Regensburg 37%

Over 2.5 Goals

61%

BTTS: Yes

63%

Likely Scores

1-1 · 2-1 · 1-2

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Stuttgart II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
36%
31%
33%
Stuttgart II 36%Draw 31%SSV Jahn Regensburg 33%
Both Teams to Score
62%
38%
Yes 62%No 38%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
64%
36%
Over 2.5 64%Under 2.5 36%
Corners (Over/Under 9.5)
23%
77%
Over 9.5 23%Under 9.5 77%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Stuttgart II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg that most previews miss.

  • 1Regensburg’s two away league games have averaged 6.5 total goals (6 for, 7 against).
  • 2Neither team has kept a clean sheet in league play; both have a 0% clean sheet rate through four rounds.
  • 3Six of the last eight H2H meetings have finished with three or more goals.

Who do you think wins: Stuttgart II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

More 3. Liga Predictions

The Case For This Stuttgart II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg Prediction

Statistically, this shapes up as one of the round’s most open fixtures, with both sides posting high goals-for and goals-against rates and little sign of defensive solidity. Stuttgart II’s home record is limited but concerning (1-3 defeat in their only home game), while Regensburg’s away matches have produced 13 goals in just two outings.

Key Factors at a Glance

Attack

  • →Both teams average over 3 goals per game combined (Stuttgart II: 1.5 for/1.75 against; Regensburg: 1.75 for/2.5 against).

Defence

  • →Neither side has kept a clean sheet in league play this season.
  • →Regensburg have conceded 5+ goals in two of their last three matches.

🚩 Stuttgart II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg Corners Prediction

medium confidence
7.6expected total corners
Over 23%
Under 77%
Over 9.5Under 9.5

Our corners model projects roughly 3.4 corners for Stuttgart II and 4.2 for SSV Jahn Regensburg, for an expected total of 7.6. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (77%). Over 8.5: 35% · Over 10.5: 14%.

More corners tips:Over 9.5 →Under 9.5 →

How Stuttgart II and SSV Jahn Regensburg Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Stuttgart II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.

Stuttgart IIStuttgart IIlast 5 matches
Oliver RölkeXI
3 goals in 5
60%

Scoring consistently

Lauri Lukas PennaXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

Collin SchrammXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Veit StangeXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Alexander GroissXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

SSV Jahn RegensburgSSV Jahn Regensburglast 5 matches
Lucas HermesXI
3 goals in 5
60%

Scoring consistently

Nassim BoujellabXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

Sascha HingerlXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

Nicolas kisilowskiXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Stuttgart II have alternated wins and losses in their last four league matches (WLLW), most recently winning away at Würzburger Kickers. Regensburg, by contrast, are on a three-match losing streak, conceding eight goals in their last two outings. Both sides have shown more in attack than defence, with neither able to string together clean sheets or consistent results.

Stuttgart II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg — Last 7 Matches

Stuttgart IIStuttgart IILast 7 results
D3-3
L2-3
L1-2
W2-1
L0-1
L1-3
W3-2
Dvs SSV Jahn Regensburg3-3
L@ Hansa Rostock2-3
Lvs Preußen Münster1-2
W@ Würzburger Kickers2-1
L@ Fortuna Düsseldorf0-1
Lvs FC Viktoria Köln1-3
W@ Havelse3-2

Strengths

  • +Both teams scoring in most recent games
  • +Over 2.5 goals in 85.71% of games this season

Concerns

  • −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
  • −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
  • −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
SSV Jahn RegensburgSSV Jahn RegensburgLast 7 results
D3-3
L1-2
D2-2
L1-2
L1-5
L0-1
W5-2
D@ Stuttgart II3-3
Lvs Fortuna Düsseldorf1-2
D@ Alemannia Aachen2-2
Lvs MSV Duisburg1-2
L@ Hoffenheim II1-5
Lvs FC Saarbrücken0-1
W@ FC Viktoria Köln5-2

Strengths

  • +Both teams scoring in most recent games
  • +Over 2.5 goals in 85.71% of games this season

Concerns

  • −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
  • −Leaky defence — 2.8 conceded/game
  • −No clean sheets in last 5 matches

What History Says: Stuttgart II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg

Regensburg have dominated the recent head-to-head, winning five of the last eight, but Stuttgart II won their most recent home meeting 3-1. High-scoring games are common in this fixture, with six of the last eight producing at least three goals and both teams scoring in five of those.

Stuttgart II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg Head-to-Head History

Last 9 meetings between these sides

2

Stuttgart II wins

2

Draws

5

SSV Jahn Regensburg wins

22%22% draws56%
19 Sept 26Stuttgart II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg3-3
4 Apr 26Stuttgart II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg3-1
25 Oct 25SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Stuttgart II3-2
14 Feb 15Jahn Regensburg vs Stuttgart II4-1
27 Aug 14Stuttgart II vs Jahn Regensburg1-2
3 May 14Stuttgart II vs Jahn Regensburg1-1

Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Stuttgart II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg

With no bookmaker odds available, value edges cannot be formally identified. However, the model’s high probabilities for both teams to score and over 2.5 goals suggest these markets would be the first to check for value if odds become available. The goal environment is the clearest statistical edge in this matchup.

Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.

1X2

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Stuttgart II Win2.4036.0%-5.7%
Drawvalue3.6031.0%+3.2%
SSV Jahn Regensburg Win2.5033.0%-7.0%

Over/Under 2.5

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Over 2.51.4464.0%-5.4%
Under 2.52.7036.0%-1.0%

Both Teams Score

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Yes1.4062.0%-9.4%
No2.7538.0%+1.6%

Best Value Markets Found by the Model

1X2: Draw @ 3.60EV +0.116
Both Teams Score: No @ 2.75EV +0.045

EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.

Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.

Things to Watch: Stuttgart II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg

  • ⚠️Small sample size for home/away splits: Stuttgart II have played just one home league match; Regensburg only two away.
  • ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be computed.
  • ⚠️Early season volatility means underlying rates may not fully reflect true team strength.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Stuttgart II 2–2 SSV Jahn Regensburg

A 2-2 draw is the model’s baseline, with the single most compelling number being the combined 3.25 goals per game these teams produce and concede. The main way this goes wrong is if one side’s attack stalls or defensive adjustments finally take hold, but the early-season evidence points overwhelmingly toward goals at both ends.

Stuttgart II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg: Common Questions

Who will win Stuttgart II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg?

The model gives Stuttgart II a 36% chance of winning, Regensburg a 33% chance, and a draw 31%. Both teams have shown attacking potential but defensive frailties, so a score draw is the most likely outcome.

Will both teams score in Stuttgart II vs Regensburg?

There’s a 62% probability that both teams will score. Neither side has kept a clean sheet in the league this season, and both average over a goal per game.

Is over 2.5 goals likely in Stuttgart II vs Regensburg?

The probability for over 2.5 goals is 64%. Both teams have seen three or more goals in 75% of their league matches, and their combined average is 3.25 goals per game.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Stuttgart II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 12 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

More Stuttgart II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg Resources