Stuttgart II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg Predictions

Stuttgart II
Full Time
3 - 3
AI predicted 2 - 2

SSV Jahn Regensburg
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Match Result
8.5/10Six-Goal Thriller: Stuttgart II and Jahn Regensburg Share the Spoils in Dramatic Draw
Stuttgart II and SSV Jahn Regensburg delivered a pulsating 3-3 draw at the comtech Arena, as both sides traded blows in a match brimming with attacking verve and momentum swings. The visitors surged into a commanding 3-0 lead inside the opening 33 minutes, only for Stuttgart II to mount a spirited comeback, capped by a late equalizer in the 75th minute. Regensburg looked to have the match under control after goals in the 13th, 22nd, and 33rd minutes, but Stuttgart II responded with strikes just before halftime and continued to press after the interval. Despite both teams creating chances—Stuttgart II with 57% possession and Regensburg firing seven shots (five on target)—neither could find a winner in a frenetic second half.
🔥 AI Prediction Report
CERTIFIED WPredicted
2 - 2
Actual
3 - 3
💰 Bet Results2/2 hit
Key Moments
13' — Goal
N. Boujellab opens the scoring for Regensburg, finishing a swift move.
22' — Goal
Regensburg double their lead, capitalizing on defensive uncertainty.
33' — Goal
Regensburg make it 3-0, seemingly putting the match beyond doubt.
36' — Goal
Stuttgart II pull one back, igniting hopes of a comeback.
45' — Goal
N. Sessa scores just before halftime, reducing the deficit to 3-2.
75' — Goal
Stuttgart II complete the comeback with an equalizer.
Assorted' — Yellow Cards
A total of five yellow cards are shown as tempers flare in a tense contest.
Stuttgart II
Stuttgart II showed remarkable resilience to claw back from a three-goal deficit. Their 4-4-2 setup allowed for width and attacking intent, especially as they gained control of possession (57%). Although their defense was breached three times in the first half-hour, they regrouped, tightened up at the back, and pressed forward to level the match. The midfield, led by L. Penna and N. Sessa, played a pivotal role in the comeback, while the front two capitalized on their limited chances, converting four shots on target into three goals.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
SSV Jahn Regensburg
Regensburg's 3-5-2 formation initially paid dividends as they exploited gaps in Stuttgart II's defense, racing to a 3-0 lead with incisive attacking play. The midfield five provided numerical superiority in central areas, and the front two were sharp in transition. However, after conceding just before halftime, Regensburg lost their grip on the match, struggled to regain control, and ultimately surrendered their lead. Despite creating more corners (4) and matching Stuttgart II for shots on target, their defensive frailties were exposed as the hosts fought back.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Stuttgart II lined up in a 4-4-2, seeking to control the midfield through possession and use their wide players to stretch Regensburg's back three. However, their initial defensive shape was exposed by Regensburg's quick transitions and overloads from the 3-5-2 system. The visitors' wing-backs and midfielders found space between the lines, leading to their early goals. As the match wore on, Stuttgart II adjusted, pressing higher and committing more bodies forward. Their increased possession and midfield aggression paid off, especially as Regensburg began to tire and drop deeper. Set-pieces favored Regensburg (4 corners to 1), but Stuttgart II's open-play combinations were decisive in their comeback.
Turning Point
N. Sessa's goal on the stroke of halftime shifted the momentum, giving Stuttgart II belief and setting the stage for their second-half resurgence.
Man of the Match
N. Sessa
His goal just before halftime was pivotal, and he orchestrated much of Stuttgart II's attacking play during the comeback.
Stuttgart II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg: Match Preview
Stuttgart II arrive in mid-table with a mixed record (WLLW), having shown attacking intent but also defensive fragility, conceding seven goals in four league matches. Regensburg, sitting 18th, have lost three on the bounce and are leaking goals at a concerning rate, but did post a 5-2 away win on opening day. Both teams are seeking stability, with Stuttgart II looking to build on a recent away victory and Regensburg desperate to halt their slide.
The statistical matchup points to a high-scoring contest: Stuttgart II average 1.5 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per game, while Regensburg’s figures are even more extreme at 1.75 scored and 2.5 conceded. Both sides have a 75% over 2.5 goals rate in league play and have failed to keep a clean sheet. Regensburg’s away games have averaged 6.5 total goals, and Stuttgart II’s only home match ended 1-3. Both teams’ shot and corner numbers are modest, but their defensive openness is the dominant trend.
Given these rates, the model expects a match where both teams find the net and neither can control the tempo for long. The likeliest outcomes are score draws or narrow wins either way, with the 2-2 correct score leading the distribution. The main risk is that attacking output dips due to early-season volatility, but the underlying rates make a strong case for goals.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.60
Expected goals · model says 1.55
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
BTTS: Yes
63%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-2
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Stuttgart II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Stuttgart II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg that most previews miss.
- 1Regensburg’s two away league games have averaged 6.5 total goals (6 for, 7 against).
- 2Neither team has kept a clean sheet in league play; both have a 0% clean sheet rate through four rounds.
- 3Six of the last eight H2H meetings have finished with three or more goals.
Who do you think wins: Stuttgart II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Stuttgart II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have seen at least three goals in 75% of their league matches so far, and their combined average is 3.25 goals per game (Stuttgart II 1.5 scored/1.75 conceded; Regensburg 1.75 scored/2.5 conceded).
Read more ↓
BTTS: Yes
Each side has scored in three of their last five, and neither has kept a clean sheet in the league this season (0% clean sheet rate for both).
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More 3. Liga Predictions
The Case For This Stuttgart II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg Prediction
Statistically, this shapes up as one of the round’s most open fixtures, with both sides posting high goals-for and goals-against rates and little sign of defensive solidity. Stuttgart II’s home record is limited but concerning (1-3 defeat in their only home game), while Regensburg’s away matches have produced 13 goals in just two outings.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Both teams average over 3 goals per game combined (Stuttgart II: 1.5 for/1.75 against; Regensburg: 1.75 for/2.5 against).
Defence
- →Neither side has kept a clean sheet in league play this season.
- →Regensburg have conceded 5+ goals in two of their last three matches.
🚩 Stuttgart II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 3.4 corners for Stuttgart II and 4.2 for SSV Jahn Regensburg, for an expected total of 7.6. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (77%). Over 8.5: 35% · Over 10.5: 14%.
How Stuttgart II and SSV Jahn Regensburg Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Stuttgart II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Scoring consistently
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Scoring consistently
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Stuttgart II have alternated wins and losses in their last four league matches (WLLW), most recently winning away at Würzburger Kickers. Regensburg, by contrast, are on a three-match losing streak, conceding eight goals in their last two outings. Both sides have shown more in attack than defence, with neither able to string together clean sheets or consistent results.
Stuttgart II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg — Last 7 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 85.71% of games this season
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 85.71% of games this season
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.8 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Stuttgart II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg
Regensburg have dominated the recent head-to-head, winning five of the last eight, but Stuttgart II won their most recent home meeting 3-1. High-scoring games are common in this fixture, with six of the last eight producing at least three goals and both teams scoring in five of those.
Stuttgart II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg Head-to-Head History
Last 9 meetings between these sides
2
Stuttgart II wins
2
Draws
5
SSV Jahn Regensburg wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Stuttgart II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg
With no bookmaker odds available, value edges cannot be formally identified. However, the model’s high probabilities for both teams to score and over 2.5 goals suggest these markets would be the first to check for value if odds become available. The goal environment is the clearest statistical edge in this matchup.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Stuttgart II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg
- ⚠️Small sample size for home/away splits: Stuttgart II have played just one home league match; Regensburg only two away.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be computed.
- ⚠️Early season volatility means underlying rates may not fully reflect true team strength.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Stuttgart II 2–2 SSV Jahn RegensburgA 2-2 draw is the model’s baseline, with the single most compelling number being the combined 3.25 goals per game these teams produce and concede. The main way this goes wrong is if one side’s attack stalls or defensive adjustments finally take hold, but the early-season evidence points overwhelmingly toward goals at both ends.
Stuttgart II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg: Common Questions
Who will win Stuttgart II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg?
The model gives Stuttgart II a 36% chance of winning, Regensburg a 33% chance, and a draw 31%. Both teams have shown attacking potential but defensive frailties, so a score draw is the most likely outcome.
Will both teams score in Stuttgart II vs Regensburg?
There’s a 62% probability that both teams will score. Neither side has kept a clean sheet in the league this season, and both average over a goal per game.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in Stuttgart II vs Regensburg?
The probability for over 2.5 goals is 64%. Both teams have seen three or more goals in 75% of their league matches, and their combined average is 3.25 goals per game.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Stuttgart II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 12 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.