SV Wehen vs Waldhof Mannheim Predictions
3. Liga · Germany
SV Wehen
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 2
Waldhof Mannheim
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Draw
@ 3.6(+4% edge)
Match Result
7.2/10Waldhof Mannheim Snatch Victory as Wehen Rue Missed Chances in Wiesbaden
Waldhof Mannheim pulled off a smash-and-grab 1-0 win over SV Wehen at the BRITA-Arena, surviving a relentless onslaught from the hosts. Despite Wehen dominating possession with 67% and registering 15 shots (5 on target), it was Mannheim who made their limited opportunities count, netting the decisive goal in the 20th minute. The visitors, set up in a compact 4-3-3, were content to absorb pressure and hit on the break, and their defensive discipline ultimately frustrated the home side. The match was a tale of missed opportunities for Wehen, who forced 7 corners and spent much of the contest camped in Mannheim's half. However, wastefulness in front of goal and a resolute performance from Mannheim goalkeeper T. Nijhuis kept them at bay. As Wehen pushed forward, tempers flared, resulting in five yellow cards for the hosts, but they could not find a way past the visitors' stubborn rearguard.
😅 AI Prediction Report
CLOSE BUT NO CIGARPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
0 - 1
💰 Bet Results0/1 hit
Key Moments
20' — Goal
Gonçalo Gregório finishes off a rare Mannheim attack to put the visitors ahead.
35' — Yellow Card
Wehen's frustration shows as the first of five bookings is handed out.
60' — Save
T. Nijhuis denies M. Müller with a crucial stop to keep Mannheim in front.
75' — Corner
Wehen pile on pressure with their seventh corner, but Mannheim clear their lines.
85' — Yellow Card
Another Wehen booking as tempers flare late on.
SV Wehen
SV Wehen controlled the game from the outset, dictating play with their 4-4-2 formation and enjoying a commanding 67% possession. They created plenty of chances, firing 15 shots and forcing 5 saves, but their finishing let them down. Despite their attacking intent and a flurry of corners, they were unable to break down a well-organized Mannheim defense. Frustration grew as the match wore on, reflected in the five yellow cards picked up by Wehen players.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Waldhof Mannheim
Waldhof Mannheim executed their game plan to perfection, conceding possession but remaining compact and organized in defense. Their 4-3-3 shape allowed them to soak up pressure and spring forward when opportunities arose. With only 5 shots (1 on target), they made their solitary effort count, scoring the winner in the 20th minute. The back four, marshaled by C. Kammerknecht and Moritz Polte, stood firm under heavy fire, while T. Nijhuis made several crucial saves to preserve the lead.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Wehen's 4-4-2 focused on width and sustained pressure, with full-backs pushing high and midfielders looking to overload the flanks. Their approach yielded territorial dominance and numerous set pieces, but Mannheim's deep defensive block and compact midfield stifled clear-cut opportunities. The visitors' 4-3-3 was more of a defensive 4-5-1 in practice, with wide forwards tracking back and the midfield trio screening the back line. Substitutions, though not detailed, likely aimed to inject fresh legs for Wehen and reinforce Mannheim's defensive posture as the match wore on. Set pieces were a key avenue for Wehen, but Mannheim's aerial presence and organization proved decisive. The away side's rare forays forward were direct and purposeful, culminating in the game's only goal.
Turning Point
Gonçalo Gregório's goal in the 20th minute gave Mannheim a precious lead and forced Wehen to chase the game, setting the tone for the remainder of the match.
Man of the Match
T. Nijhuis
Produced a series of vital saves to frustrate Wehen and secure a clean sheet for Mannheim.
SV Wehen vs Waldhof Mannheim: Match Preview
SV Wehen enter this match rooted to the bottom of the 3. Liga table, winless in four with just two points and a -6 goal difference. Their attack has been the league's bluntest so far, averaging just 0.5 goals per game and failing to score in three of their last five. Waldhof Mannheim have fared only slightly better, sitting 15th with four points, but their defence has been leaky, conceding eight goals in four league outings and yet to record a clean sheet.
Statistically, the matchup is defined by Wehen's inability to create chances (5.4 shots, 2.2 on target per game in the last five) against a Mannheim defence that allows 2.0 goals per match. Waldhof's attack is more productive, averaging 1.75 goals per game and five goals in two away fixtures, but their concession rate (2.0 per game) keeps opponents in matches. Both sides see a high proportion of goals in the first half (Mannheim: 5 first-half goals in last five), and discipline could be a factor with both averaging over three yellow cards recently.
The underlying rates point to a match with goals at both ends, but not an all-out shootout. Waldhof's superior attacking output and Wehen's defensive frailty make the visitors slight favourites, but the high draw rate in recent H2H meetings and both sides' inconsistency suggest a close contest, likely decided by a single goal or a stalemate.
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Expected goals · model says 1.25
Expected goals · model says 1.60
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS: Yes
57%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
SV Wehen vs Waldhof Mannheim Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind SV Wehen vs Waldhof Mannheim that most previews miss.
- 1Waldhof Mannheim's away matches average 5.5 total goals so far this league season (5 scored, 6 conceded in two games).
- 2SV Wehen have failed to score in three of their last five matches, but have scored in both of their last two.
- 3The last three competitive meetings at Wehen's ground have all seen both teams score and at least three total goals.
Who do you think wins: SV Wehen vs Waldhof Mannheim?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: SV Wehen vs Waldhof Mannheim(1)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw@ 3.47
The model gives a 29% probability for the draw, slightly above the 27.8% implied by 3.6 odds. Both sides have combined for four draws in their last ten H2H meetings and Wehen have drawn two of four league matches this season.
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More 3. Liga Predictions
The Case For This SV Wehen vs Waldhof Mannheim Prediction
This fixture pits the league's lowest-scoring attack against a defence that has yet to keep a clean sheet, with both teams conceding at least two goals per game on average. Waldhof Mannheim's away matches are trending high-scoring, but SV Wehen's struggles in front of goal temper expectations for a true shootout.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →SV Wehen average just 0.5 goals scored per league match, lowest in the division.
- →Six of the last ten H2H meetings have ended in a draw or with both teams scoring.
Defence
- →Waldhof Mannheim have conceded in every match this season, with a 0% clean sheet rate.
🚩 SV Wehen vs Waldhof Mannheim Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.8 corners for SV Wehen and 4.8 for Waldhof Mannheim, for an expected total of 9.6. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (51%). Over 8.5: 62% · Over 10.5: 37%.
How SV Wehen and Waldhof Mannheim Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
SV Wehen vs Waldhof Mannheim Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
SV Wehenlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Waldhof Mannheimlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
SV Wehen are winless in their last five, with a form string of DDLLL and only two goals scored across those matches. Waldhof Mannheim have also struggled for consistency, losing their last two but showing more attacking threat with seven goals in four league games. Both sides are conceding at a high rate, but Mannheim's attack gives them a slight edge in momentum.
SV Wehen vs Waldhof Mannheim — Last 4 Matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Struggling to score — 0.4 goals/game
- −Leaky defence — 2.4 conceded/game
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 75% of games this season
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: SV Wehen vs Waldhof Mannheim
The last ten meetings have produced five draws, including three of the last four at Wehen's ground, and both teams have scored in five of the last six. Neither side has dominated the fixture, with only two wins by more than one goal in that span.
SV Wehen vs Waldhof Mannheim Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
3
SV Wehen wins
5
Draws
2
Waldhof Mannheim wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: SV Wehen vs Waldhof Mannheim
The draw market offers the clearest value, with the model's 29% probability slightly above the 27.8% implied by current odds. No strong value signals on the 1X2 for either side, and lack of bookmaker odds on goals markets limits value analysis elsewhere.
Odds from Betfair. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: SV Wehen vs Waldhof Mannheim
- ⚠️Small sample size: Only four league matches played for each side this season.
- ⚠️Some missing match stats (shots, possession) for earlier fixtures may reduce model precision.
- ⚠️No injuries reported, but lineups not confirmed at time of analysis.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
SV Wehen 1–2 Waldhof MannheimThe model projects a 2-1 away win for Waldhof Mannheim, driven by their far higher scoring rate (1.75 per game) and Wehen's league-worst attack. However, the high draw frequency in the head-to-head and both teams' defensive frailties mean a 1-1 or 2-2 result is a plausible risk, especially if Wehen improve their shot conversion.
SV Wehen vs Waldhof Mannheim: Common Questions
Who will win SV Wehen vs Waldhof Mannheim?
Waldhof Mannheim are given a 43% chance of victory by the model, compared to 28% for SV Wehen and 29% for the draw. Mannheim's stronger attack and Wehen's scoring struggles tilt the probabilities toward the visitors.
Will both teams score in SV Wehen vs Waldhof Mannheim?
The model estimates a 54% probability for both teams to score, reflecting Waldhof's leaky defence (0% clean sheets) and Wehen's improved attacking output in their last two matches.
Is there value in backing the draw for this match?
Yes, the draw is priced at 3.6 (27.8% implied), while the model sees a 29% chance, a small but positive edge. With six draws in the last ten H2H meetings and both teams inconsistent, the draw is a viable value selection.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for SV Wehen vs Waldhof Mannheim: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 9 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.