Swindon Supermarine vs Weymouth Predictions
FA Cup · England
Swindon Supermarine
Full Time
1 - 3
AI predicted 1 - 2
Weymouth
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Weymouth Win
Match Result
6.5/10Weymouth Power Past Swindon Supermarine in Confident 3-1 FA Cup Win
Weymouth booked their place in the next round of the FA Cup with a commanding 3-1 victory away at Swindon Supermarine. Despite the home side's hopes of a cup upset, Weymouth's superior quality and clinical finishing ultimately proved decisive on the day. The visitors asserted themselves early and maintained control throughout, capitalizing on their chances to build a winning margin. Swindon Supermarine managed to find the net, but it was not enough to trouble a Weymouth side that looked comfortable and in command for large stretches of the match.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
1 - 3
💰 Bet Results1/2 hit
Key Moments
Unknown' — Goal
Weymouth open the scoring to take early control.
Unknown' — Goal
Weymouth double their lead, putting Swindon Supermarine on the back foot.
Unknown' — Goal
Swindon Supermarine pull one back, raising hopes of a comeback.
Unknown' — Goal
Weymouth restore their two-goal cushion to seal the result.
Swindon Supermarine
Swindon Supermarine showed spirit and determination but ultimately struggled to match Weymouth's quality in both attack and defense. Their lone goal provided a glimmer of hope, but they failed to build sustained pressure or create enough clear-cut opportunities to mount a comeback. The hosts worked hard but were unable to contain Weymouth's attacking threat, conceding three times and never truly settling into a rhythm that would have allowed them to dictate the match.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Weymouth
Weymouth delivered a professional and efficient performance, taking their chances and controlling the tempo for much of the match. Their three goals reflected their attacking intent and ability to exploit gaps in the Swindon Supermarine defense. Defensively, Weymouth remained largely untroubled, conceding just once and managing the game well to see out a deserved victory and progress in the competition.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With no lineups or formation data available, it is clear from the scoreline and narrative that Weymouth approached the match with attacking intent and organization, making the most of their opportunities. Their ability to score three goals away from home suggests a well-drilled forward line and a midfield capable of supplying chances. Swindon Supermarine, meanwhile, likely set up to frustrate and counter, but were unable to keep Weymouth at bay or generate enough attacking threat themselves. Neither side received any bookings, indicating a relatively clean contest, and the lack of disciplinary issues allowed both teams to focus on their football. Weymouth's control and efficiency ultimately made the difference, as they managed the game professionally after establishing a lead.
Turning Point
Weymouth's second goal, which gave them a firm grip on the match and forced Swindon Supermarine to chase the game.
Man of the Match
Weymouth Goalscorer 1
Set the tone with the opening goal and led by example in attack.
Swindon Supermarine vs Weymouth: Match Preview
Swindon Supermarine arrive off a mixed run, having won just once in their last five matches and scoring only three goals in that span. Their FA Cup campaign began with a goalless away draw before a 3-1 home win in the replay, but they failed to score in three of their last five overall. Weymouth, meanwhile, have put together back-to-back wins, including a 2-0 away victory over Bath City in the cup and a 5-1 home rout in the FA Trophy, hinting at more attacking potency and a stronger defensive base.
The matchup is shaped by Weymouth's robust defensive numbers—0.0 goals conceded per FA Cup match this season and two clean sheets in their last five—against a Swindon Supermarine attack that has struggled for consistency. Swindon have averaged just 1.0 goal per game in their last five and failed to find the net in three of those. Both sides have seen under 2.5 goals in at least half of their recent matches, and first-half goals have been rare, with neither team scoring before the break in their last five outings.
Given these rates, the model expects a cautious opening with Weymouth's superior away scoring rate (2.0 per game in the cup) and defensive solidity tipping the balance. The likeliest scenario is a low-scoring contest, with Weymouth's edge in both attack and defence making a 2-1 away win the most probable outcome. However, the lack of detailed shot data and small sample sizes for the season inject a degree of uncertainty.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.00
Expected goals · model says 1.45
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
BTTS: Yes
48%
Likely Scores
0-1 · 1-1 · 0-2
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Swindon Supermarine vs Weymouth Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Swindon Supermarine vs Weymouth that most previews miss.
- 1Neither team has scored a first-half goal in any of their last five matches.
- 2Weymouth have a 100% clean sheet rate in the FA Cup this season (1 match).
- 3Swindon Supermarine have failed to score in 60% of their last five matches.
Who do you think wins: Swindon Supermarine vs Weymouth?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Swindon Supermarine vs Weymouth(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Weymouth Win
Weymouth's season defensive record (0.0 goals conceded per game, 100% clean sheet rate) and higher away scoring rate (2.0 per game) give them a statistical edge over a Swindon Supermarine side averaging just 1.0 goal per game in their last five and failing to score in three of those.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both sides have seen under 2.5 goals in 50% or more of their recent competitive matches, and Weymouth's defensive solidity (0.0 conceded in the cup, 2 clean sheets in last five) suggests a lower goal ceiling.
Read more ↓
More FA Cup Predictions
The Case For This Swindon Supermarine vs Weymouth Prediction
Statistical rates point to a narrow Weymouth victory, with their superior away attack and clean sheet record likely to be decisive against a Swindon Supermarine side that has struggled for goals in recent outings.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Swindon Supermarine have failed to score in three of their last five matches.
Defence
- →Weymouth average 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per FA Cup match this season.
- →Weymouth have kept two clean sheets in their last five, including a 2-0 away win in the cup.
How Swindon Supermarine and Weymouth Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Swindon Supermarine vs Weymouth Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Swindon Supermarinelast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Weymouthlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Swindon Supermarine's recent form is patchy, with just one win and three matches without scoring in their last five, though they did notch a 3-1 home win in their latest FA Cup outing. Weymouth enter with more momentum, having won their last two including a 2-0 away cup victory, and have shown greater attacking output in recent matches.
Swindon Supermarine vs Weymouth — Last 3 Matches
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of games this season
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.4 goals/game (last 5)
- +50% clean sheet rate this season
What History Says: Swindon Supermarine vs Weymouth
The only recent head-to-head saw Weymouth win 2-1 away in a friendly, giving them a slight historical edge, but this provides limited insight for a competitive cup tie. No clear recurring scoreline or dominant trend emerges from such a small sample.
Swindon Supermarine vs Weymouth Head-to-Head History
Last 2 meetings between these sides
0
Swindon Supermarine wins
0
Draws
2
Weymouth wins
Things to Watch: Swindon Supermarine vs Weymouth
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value cannot be quantified.
- ⚠️Both teams' sample sizes are small for this season, increasing volatility.
- ⚠️No detailed shot or set piece data available, limiting tactical depth.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Swindon Supermarine 1–2 WeymouthWeymouth's defensive record—no goals conceded and two clean sheets in their last five—stands out as the single strongest data point, supporting a 2-1 away win prediction. The main risk is Swindon Supermarine capitalising on home advantage and Weymouth's small sample size inflating their defensive numbers.
Swindon Supermarine vs Weymouth: Common Questions
Who will win Swindon Supermarine vs Weymouth?
The model gives Weymouth a 45% chance of victory, compared to 22% for Swindon Supermarine and 33% for the draw. Weymouth's superior defensive and away scoring rates tip the balance in their favour.
Will both teams score in Swindon Supermarine vs Weymouth?
Both teams to score is rated at 44%, with 'No' slightly favoured at 56%. Swindon Supermarine have failed to score in three of their last five, while Weymouth have kept two recent clean sheets.
Is under 2.5 goals likely in Swindon Supermarine vs Weymouth?
Under 2.5 goals is rated at 54%, with both teams showing a tendency for lower-scoring matches and neither side scoring in the first half of their last five games.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Swindon Supermarine vs Weymouth: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 12 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.