Tenerife vs Cadiz Predictions
Segunda División · Spain
Tenerife
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 2 - 0
Cadiz
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Tenerife Win
Match Result
6.8/10Late Cadiz Equaliser Denies Tenerife in Tense Segunda División Draw
Tenerife and Cadiz played out a tightly contested 1-1 draw at the Heliodoro Rodríguez López, with both sides having their moments but ultimately unable to find a winner. Tenerife struck first, capitalizing on their early momentum with a goal in the 25th minute, but Cadiz responded resolutely, growing into the game and eventually leveling the score with a well-taken goal in the 74th minute. The match was a tale of shifting control: Cadiz enjoyed more possession (56%) and registered more total shots (12 to Tenerife's 10), but both teams ended with just three shots on target apiece. Tactical discipline and defensive organization were on display, with neither side able to break the deadlock in the closing stages despite some late pressure.
😅 AI Prediction Report
CLOSE BUT NO CIGARPredicted
2 - 0
Actual
1 - 1
💰 Bet Results1/3 hit
Key Moments
25' — Goal
Enric Gallego finished off a swift Tenerife move to give the hosts the lead.
38' — Yellow Card
Cadiz's Borja Vazquez booked for a late challenge as Cadiz pushed for a response.
55' — Yellow Card
Jandro Orellana (Cadiz) cautioned for a tactical foul, halting a Tenerife counter.
60' — Substitution
Cadiz introduced fresh legs in midfield to increase attacking impetus.
74' — Goal
V. Kopotun equalized for Cadiz, finishing a well-worked team move.
80' — Yellow Card
J. Diaz Peregrina (Cadiz) booked for dissent as tensions rose.
85' — Yellow Card
Tenerife's M. Pečar shown yellow for a late tackle, breaking up a Cadiz attack.
Tenerife
Tenerife started brightly, pressing high and making their early possession count with a well-worked opener in the 25th minute. Their 4-4-2 setup allowed them to threaten on the break, but as the match wore on, they found themselves increasingly pegged back by Cadiz's midfield control. Despite only having 44% possession and managing just one corner, Tenerife defended stoutly and looked dangerous in transition, though they struggled to create clear-cut chances after the break. Defensively, Tenerife were largely solid, conceding only three shots on target, but a lack of attacking impetus in the second half allowed Cadiz back into the contest.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Cadiz
Cadiz grew into the match after a slow start, gradually asserting their authority in midfield and enjoying 56% of the ball. Their 4-2-3-1 formation allowed for fluid movement and control, and they generated more shots (12) and corners (2) than their hosts. Despite falling behind early, Cadiz remained composed and eventually found their reward with a deserved equalizer in the 74th minute. While Cadiz looked the more likely to snatch a winner in the closing stages, a lack of cutting edge in the final third and some wasteful finishing prevented them from taking all three points.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Tenerife lined up in a classic 4-4-2, prioritizing defensive solidity and quick transitions. Their two banks of four limited Cadiz's space between the lines early on, and their forwards pressed aggressively in the opening stages. However, as Cadiz settled into their 4-2-3-1, they began to dominate the midfield battle, with Orellana and Doué dictating play and allowing the visitors to push higher up the pitch. Substitutions in the second half saw Cadiz inject more energy and attacking intent, tilting the balance further in their favor. Tenerife, meanwhile, became more conservative, dropping deeper and relying on counter-attacks. Set pieces were few and far between, with both sides earning minimal corners, and neither could capitalize on dead-ball situations.
Turning Point
V. Kopotun's 74th-minute equalizer shifted the momentum decisively, ensuring Cadiz left with a deserved point.
Man of the Match
V. Kopotun
His well-taken equalizer capped a strong all-round display and rescued a point for Cadiz.
Tenerife vs Cadiz: Match Preview
Tenerife come into this fixture riding a wave of early-season momentum, having picked up three wins from their opening five matches and sitting fourth in the table. Their recent run includes a pair of home victories with clean sheets and a solid away win at Eibar, signalling a side in sync at both ends. Cadiz, in contrast, are mired in a winless start, with just three points from five games and back-to-back defeats leaving them languishing in 20th. The difference in confidence and rhythm between these two sides is stark, with Tenerife’s form string (WDLWW) a mirror image of Cadiz’s (LLDDD).
The tactical matchup favours the hosts: Tenerife’s defensive structure has been exemplary, conceding just 0.6 goals per game across their last five, and their ability to strike early is underlined by four first-half goals in that stretch. Cadiz have struggled to convert possession into chances, averaging only 2.8 shots on target per game, and have failed to score in two of their last five. Set pieces could be a factor, with Tenerife averaging 3.8 corners and Cadiz conceding more than one goal per away game. Discipline may play a role too, as Cadiz are picking up 3.4 yellows per match.
Given the momentum in Tenerife’s favour and Cadiz’s ongoing search for a spark, the model expects the home side to control proceedings, likely breaking through before the interval. A low-scoring contest is probable, with Tenerife’s defensive edge and Cadiz’s blunt attack suggesting a 2-0 home win as the most plausible outcome.
How Tenerife and Cadiz Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Tenerife vs Cadiz Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Tenerifelast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Cadizlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Tenerife are flying high after three wins in their last five, including two home clean sheets and a comprehensive 3-1 away win at Eibar. Their form string (WDLWW) reflects a side growing in confidence, particularly at the back. Cadiz, on the other hand, are yet to register a win this campaign, with two straight losses and only five goals scored in five matches, leaving them near the foot of the table.
Tenerife vs Cadiz — Last 5 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
Tenerife vs Cadiz Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Tenerife vs Cadiz that most previews miss.
- 1Tenerife have scored four of their last seven goals before half-time, highlighting their fast starts at home.
- 2Cadiz have failed to win any of their last five league matches and have not kept a clean sheet away from home this season.
- 3Eight of the last ten head-to-head meetings have finished with under 2.5 goals, reinforcing the low-scoring trend.
🎮 Prediction Playground
Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.
Expected goals · model says 1.35
Expected goals · model says 0.65
Over 2.5 Goals
32%
BTTS: Yes
35%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 0-0 · 2-0
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Who do you think wins: Tenerife vs Cadiz?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
The Case For This Tenerife vs Cadiz Prediction
Tenerife’s early-season momentum is unmistakable, with three wins from five and a defence that’s conceded just three times so far. In stark contrast, Cadiz are still searching for their first league victory, having stumbled through a five-game winless run and back-to-back defeats. The form guide points sharply in the hosts’ favour, especially given their recent home shutouts and Cadiz’s struggles up front. Statistically, Tenerife’s defensive discipline stands out: they’ve allowed just 0.6 goals per game over their last five, and have kept two clean sheets in their last three at home. Cadiz, meanwhile, have managed only one goal in their last two away fixtures, and their shot output (2.8 on target per game) hints at a lack of real threat. The visitors’ defensive record is also suspect, conceding 1.4 per game, and their discipline remains a concern with 3.4 yellows per match. Expect Tenerife to assert themselves early, likely taking control before half-time, as their recent pattern shows four first-half goals in five. Cadiz’s inability to turn possession into clear chances should see them frustrated, and the hosts’ set-piece strength (3.8 corners per game) could provide the breakthrough. The model backs Tenerife’s form to continue, with a low-scoring home win the likeliest outcome.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Tenerife have won three of their last five and kept two home clean sheets in that span.
- →Tenerife’s defence has conceded just 0.6 goals per game over the last five, while Cadiz’s attack is averaging only 1.0.
Match Context
- →Cadiz are winless in five (LLDDD) and have failed to score in two of those matches.
Where the Model Sees Value: Tenerife vs Cadiz(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Tenerife Win
Tenerife have won three of their last five, including two home victories with clean sheets, while Cadiz arrive winless and on a two-game losing streak. The home side’s defensive solidity (0.6 goals conceded per game in the last five) and Cadiz’s lack of cutting edge (two failed to score in last five) point towards a strong home win probability.
Read more ↓
BTTS: No
Tenerife have kept clean sheets in two of their last three at home and Cadiz have failed to score in two of their last five, with only one away goal in their last two trips. The underlying shot data (Cadiz averaging just 2.8 shots on target per game) further supports a low likelihood of both teams scoring.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Only one of Tenerife’s last five has gone over 2.5 goals, and their matches average just 2.0 total goals per game. Cadiz have seen three of five stay under this line, and both sides’ defensive focus and modest attacking output suggest another low-scoring contest.
Read more ↓
More Segunda División Predictions
🚩 Tenerife vs Cadiz Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.7 corners for Tenerife and 4.4 for Cadiz, for an expected total of 9.1. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (58%). Over 8.5: 55% · Over 10.5: 30%.
What History Says: Tenerife vs Cadiz
The head-to-head record is tight, with five draws from the last ten meetings and neither side asserting dominance. Tenerife edged the most recent competitive encounter at home 2-1, but most clashes have been low-scoring and closely fought. The pattern suggests little margin for error, but Tenerife’s recent edge at home is notable.
Tenerife vs Cadiz Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
3
Tenerife wins
5
Draws
2
Cadiz wins
Things to Watch: Tenerife vs Cadiz
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Early in the season, so form lines may be volatile and underlying quality could shift quickly.
- ⚠️Cadiz have shown some attacking spark away (four goals in two away games), so a sudden improvement can’t be ruled out.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Tenerife 2–0 CadizThe strongest signal in the data is Tenerife’s defensive record and recent momentum, which sets them apart from a Cadiz side still searching for an identity. A 2-0 win for the hosts is the likeliest outcome, driven by their ability to control games early and limit opposition chances. The main risk is Cadiz rediscovering their away scoring touch, as shown in their two-goal haul at Eldense, but the form lines point firmly to a home victory.
Tenerife vs Cadiz: Common Questions
Who will win Tenerife vs Cadiz?
The model gives Tenerife a 53% chance of victory, with Cadiz at just 15% and the draw at 32%. Tenerife’s recent momentum and defensive solidity give them a clear edge.
Will both teams score in Tenerife vs Cadiz?
Both teams to score is rated at just 28%, with Tenerife’s defence conceding only 0.6 per game and Cadiz failing to score in two of their last five. The data points to at least one side keeping a clean sheet.
Can Tenerife’s strong form continue?
Tenerife have won three of their last five and kept two clean sheets at home, showing real momentum. With Cadiz winless and struggling for goals, the hosts’ form looks sustainable heading into this fixture.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Tenerife vs Cadiz: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 19 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.